⚽ Serie A
Udinese vs AC Milan Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Udinese vs AC Milan in the Serie A. Kick-off Sunday 25 October 2026, 19:45 UTC.
Udinese face AC Milan in the Serie A, kicking off Sunday 25 October 2026, 19:45 UTC. Recent form: Udinese have no wins from their last 5, while AC Milan have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Udinese won 1, AC Milan won 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an AC Milan win the most likely result at 57%, projecting a 1.1-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Udinese vs AC Milan with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| 2 | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| 3 | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Udinese vs AC Milan comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 70% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates an AC Milan win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 57%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (54%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Udinese and AC Milan. Wins shown from Udinese’s perspective: Udinese 1 · AC Milan 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | AC Milan | 0 – 3 | Udinese | W |
| 2025-09-20 | Udinese | 0 – 3 | AC Milan | L |
| 2025-04-11 | Udinese | 0 – 4 | AC Milan | L |
| 2024-10-19 | AC Milan | 1 – 0 | Udinese | L |
| 2024-01-20 | Udinese | 2 – 3 | AC Milan | L |
📈 Recent form
Udinese come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 12. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Lecce.
- LUdinese 0-3 LecceSerie A
- LTorino 2-1 UdineseSerie A
- DPogon Szczecin 1-1 UdineseFriendlies Clubs
- LUdinese 0-1 CagliariSerie A
- LInter 5-3 UdineseSerie A
AC Milan come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Red Bull Salzburg. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at home to Benfica.
- WAC Milan 3-2 AtalantaSerie A
- WRed Bull Salzburg 0-4 AC MilanUEFA Europa League
- DSassuolo 1-1 AC MilanSerie A
- WAC Milan 3-0 LecceSerie A
- LAC Milan 0-2 BenficaUEFA Europa League
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Udinese at 24% to win and AC Milan at 57%, with the draw at 19%. Our model makes an AC Milan win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan Win | 57% | 59% | @ 1.62 |
| Udinese Win | 24% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
| Draw | 19% | 25% | @ 3.80 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is AC Milan or Draw at 1.12 (79% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan or Draw | 79% | 84% | @ 1.12 |
| Udinese or Draw | 45% | 41% | @ 2.25 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 76% | @ 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 | 70% | 70% | @ 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 53% | @ 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 47% | @ 2.00 |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 30% | @ 3.20 |
| Under 1.5 | 24% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 52% | @ 1.80 |
| BTTS No | 46% | 48% | @ 1.95 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Udinese vs AC Milan?
Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 70% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.
Who is the favourite for Udinese vs AC Milan?
Our model makes an AC Milan win the most likely result at 57%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.7 scoreline for Udinese vs AC Milan.
What is the predicted score for Udinese vs AC Milan?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.09 for Udinese and 1.69 for AC Milan. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Udinese and AC Milan play?
Kick-off is Sunday 25 October 2026, 19:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Kairat Almatyvs
PanathinaikosUEFA Europa Conference LeagueThu 22 Oct14:30
Trabzonsporvs
Heart Of MidlothianUEFA Europa Conference LeagueThu 22 Oct16:45
FK Crvena Zvezdavs
FC CopenhagenUEFA Europa Conference LeagueThu 22 Oct16:45
Getafevs
FC LuganoUEFA Europa Conference LeagueFC Lugano Asian Handicap +1.5@ 1.31Thu 22 Oct16:45
FC Iberia 1999vs
Mjallby AIFUEFA Europa Conference LeagueThu 22 Oct16:45
Inter Club d'Escaldesvs
Universitatea CraiovaUEFA Europa Conference LeagueThu 22 Oct16:45Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.