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⚽ Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 24 October 2026, 19:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Columbus Crew face Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Saturday 24 October 2026, 19:30 UTC. Recent form: Columbus Crew have 4 wins from their last 5, while Toronto FC have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Columbus Crew won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Columbus Crew win the most likely result at 69%, projecting a 2.1-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Columbus Crew Win @ 1.62

69%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.09 – 1.23 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.6%	4.4%	2.7%	1.1%	0.3%
1	7.6%	9.3%	5.7%	2.3%	0.7%
2	7.9%	9.7%	6.0%	2.4%	0.8%
3	5.5%	6.8%	4.2%	1.7%	0.5%
4	2.9%	3.5%	2.2%	0.9%	0.3%

Projected score: 2-1

Columbus Crew winDrawToronto FC win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is a Columbus Crew win at odds 1.62, with a 69% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Columbus Crew win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 69%. Goals lean over 2.5 (64%), both teams to score points yes (59%).

📊 Key numbers

Columbus Crew 69%Draw 14%Toronto FC 17%

69%14%17%

69%

Columbus Crew Win

64%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Columbus Crew and Toronto FC. Wins shown from Columbus Crew’s perspective: Columbus Crew 3 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2024-09-18	Toronto FC	0 – 2	Columbus Crew	W
2024-07-06	Columbus Crew	4 – 0	Toronto FC	W
2023-08-26	Columbus Crew	2 – 0	Toronto FC	W
2023-03-12	Toronto FC	1 – 1	Columbus Crew	D

📈 Recent form

Columbus Crew

Columbus Crew come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at FC Cincinnati. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at Orlando City SC.

WFC Cincinnati 0-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
WColumbus Crew 3-1 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
LOrlando City SC 3-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
WColumbus Crew 2-1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
WCF Montreal 0-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer

Toronto FC

Toronto FC come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 9. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at New York Red Bulls. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Nashville SC.

WNew York Red Bulls 0-2 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
DToronto FC 3-3 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
WToronto FC 2-1 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
LNashville SC 2-0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
LSt. Louis City 3-1 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Columbus Crew at 69% to win and Toronto FC at 17%, with the draw at 14%. Our model makes a Columbus Crew win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Columbus Crew Win	69%	58%	@ 1.62
Toronto FC Win	17%	21%	@ 4.50
Draw	14%	22%	@ 4.33

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Columbus Crew or Draw at 1.18 (86% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Columbus Crew or Draw	86%	79%	@ 1.18
Toronto FC or Draw	34%	42%	@ 2.25

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 64% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	84%	84%	@ 1.12
Over 2.5	64%	65%	@ 1.44
Under 3.5	58%	56%	@ 1.67
Over 3.5	42%	44%	@ 2.10
Under 2.5	36%	35%	@ 2.70
Under 1.5	16%	16%	@ 6.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 59%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	59%	62%	@ 1.50
BTTS No	41%	38%	@ 2.50

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC?

Our model's pick is a Columbus Crew win at odds 1.62, with a 69% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 58%.

Who is the favourite for Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC?

Our model makes a Columbus Crew win the most likely result at 69%. It projects an expected 2.1-1.2 scoreline for Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC.

What is the predicted score for Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.09 for Columbus Crew and 1.23 for Toronto FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Columbus Crew and Toronto FC play?

Kick-off is Saturday 24 October 2026, 19:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.