Marsaxlokk

Thu 9 Jul0-3Finished

Pyunik Yerevan

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 09 July 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Marsaxlokk 0-3 Pyunik Yerevan

Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan finished 0-3. Pyunik Yerevan won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, over 1.5 goals at 1.33, landed.

Marsaxlokk face Pyunik Yerevan in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 09 July 2026, 17:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Pyunik Yerevan won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Marsaxlokk win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 2.7-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.33

87%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.69 – 1.38 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	1.7%	2.4%	1.6%	0.7%	0.3%
1	4.6%	6.3%	4.4%	2.0%	0.7%
2	6.2%	8.5%	5.9%	2.7%	0.9%
3	5.5%	7.6%	5.3%	2.4%	0.8%
4	3.7%	5.1%	3.5%	1.6%	0.6%

Projected score: 2-1

Marsaxlokk winDrawPyunik Yerevan win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 87% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Marsaxlokk win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (77%), both teams to score points yes (67%).

📊 Key numbers

Marsaxlokk 39%Draw 26%Pyunik Yerevan 34%

39%26%34%

39%

Marsaxlokk Win

77%

Over 2.5 goals

67%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Marsaxlokk and Pyunik Yerevan. Wins shown from Marsaxlokk’s perspective: Pyunik Yerevan 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-07-16	Pyunik Yerevan	1 – 0	Marsaxlokk	L
2026-07-09	Marsaxlokk	0 – 3	Pyunik Yerevan	L

📈 Recent form

Marsaxlokk

Marsaxlokk come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at Floriana. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-4 at Hamrun Spartans.

LHamrun Spartans 4-1 MarsaxlokkPremier League
WFloriana 2-5 MarsaxlokkPremier League
DMarsaxlokk 1-1 MostaPremier League
WValletta FC 1-2 MarsaxlokkPremier League
WMarsaxlokk 1-0 HiberniansPremier League

Pyunik Yerevan

Pyunik Yerevan come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Shirak.

DAlashkert 3-3 Pyunik YerevanPremier League
WPyunik Yerevan 2-0 ShirakPremier League
DSyunik 0-0 Pyunik YerevanPremier League
WPyunik Yerevan 2-1 Ararat-ArmeniaPremier League
WArarat 0-2 Pyunik YerevanPremier League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Marsaxlokk at 39% to win and Pyunik Yerevan at 34%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Marsaxlokk win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Marsaxlokk Win	39%	22%	@ 4.20
Pyunik Yerevan Win	34%	51%	@ 1.83
Draw	26%	27%	@ 3.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Marsaxlokk or Draw at 1.86 (71% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Marsaxlokk or Draw	71%	49%	@ 1.86
Pyunik Yerevan or Draw	52%	78%	@ 1.18

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.7-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 77% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	91%	71%	@ 1.29
Over 2.5	77%	48%	@ 1.93
Over 3.5	58%	28%	@ 3.30
Under 3.5	42%	72%	@ 1.28
Under 2.5	23%	52%	@ 1.76
Under 1.5	9%	29%	@ 3.20

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 67%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	67%	51%	@ 1.80
BTTS No	33%	49%	@ 1.88

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 87% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.

Who is the favourite for Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan?

Our model makes a Marsaxlokk win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 2.7-1.4 scoreline for Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan.

What is the predicted score for Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.69 for Marsaxlokk and 1.38 for Pyunik Yerevan. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Marsaxlokk and Pyunik Yerevan play?

Kick-off is Thursday 09 July 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.