Sat 31 Oct12:30Upcoming

⚽ Championship

Stoke City vs Preston Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Stoke City vs Preston in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 31 October 2026, 12:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Stoke City face Preston in the Championship, kicking off Saturday 31 October 2026, 12:30 UTC. Recent form: Stoke City have 3 wins from their last 5, while Preston have no wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Stoke City won 1, Preston won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Stoke City win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 1.6-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Stoke City vs Preston with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.33

71%Bookmaker odds imply 71%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.64 – 1.09 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.5%	7.1%	3.9%	1.4%	0.4%
1	10.7%	11.7%	6.4%	2.3%	0.6%
2	8.8%	9.6%	5.2%	1.9%	0.5%
3	4.8%	5.2%	2.8%	1.0%	0.3%
4	2.0%	2.1%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Stoke City winDrawPreston win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Stoke City vs Preston comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Stoke City win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (53%).

📊 Key numbers

Stoke City 44%Draw 32%Preston 24%

44%32%24%

44%

Stoke City Win

51%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Stoke City and Preston. Wins shown from Stoke City’s perspective: Stoke City 1 · 2 drawn · Preston 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2025-04-05	Preston	1 – 1	Stoke City	D
2024-11-26	Stoke City	0 – 0	Preston	D
2024-03-09	Preston	1 – 2	Stoke City	W
2023-09-02	Stoke City	0 – 2	Preston	L

📈 Recent form

Stoke City

Stoke City come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Derby. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at home to Middlesbrough.

DStoke City 0-0 Bristol CityChampionship
WDerby 0-1 Stoke CityChampionship
LStoke City 2-3 MiddlesbroughChampionship
WBolton 1-2 Stoke CityChampionship
WStoke City 2-1 Sheffield UtdChampionship

Preston

Preston come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 12. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at Wrexham.

DPreston 1-1 West BromChampionship
LWrexham 4-1 PrestonChampionship
LBirmingham 4-0 PrestonChampionship
LPreston 0-1 MillwallChampionship
DQPR 2-2 PrestonChampionship

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Stoke City at 44% to win and Preston at 24%, with the draw at 32%. Our model makes a Stoke City win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Stoke City Win	44%	54%	@ 1.67
Draw	32%	25%	@ 3.70
Preston Win	24%	21%	@ 4.33

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Stoke City or Draw at 1.18 (73% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Stoke City or Draw	73%	79%	@ 1.18
Preston or Draw	53%	46%	@ 2.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	76%	75%	@ 1.28
Under 3.5	71%	72%	@ 1.33
Over 2.5	51%	50%	@ 1.91
Under 2.5	49%	50%	@ 1.91
Over 3.5	29%	28%	@ 3.40
Under 1.5	24%	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	53%	50%	@ 1.83
BTTS No	47%	50%	@ 1.83

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stoke City vs Preston?

Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Stoke City vs Preston?

Our model makes a Stoke City win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline for Stoke City vs Preston.

What is the predicted score for Stoke City vs Preston?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.64 for Stoke City and 1.09 for Preston. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Stoke City and Preston play?

Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026, 12:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.