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⚽ Championship

Southampton vs QPR Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Southampton vs QPR in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Southampton face QPR in the Championship, kicking off Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:00 UTC. Recent form: Southampton have 3 wins from their last 5, while QPR have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Southampton won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Southampton win the most likely result at 58%, projecting a 1.9-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Southampton vs QPR with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.62

70%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.86 – 0.92 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.2%	5.7%	2.6%	0.8%	0.2%
1	11.5%	10.6%	4.9%	1.5%	0.3%
2	10.7%	9.9%	4.5%	1.4%	0.3%
3	6.7%	6.1%	2.8%	0.9%	0.2%
4	3.1%	2.8%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Southampton winDrawQPR win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Southampton vs QPR comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.62, with a 70% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Southampton win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 58%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (51%).

📊 Key numbers

Southampton 58%Draw 26%QPR 17%

58%26%17%

58%

Southampton Win

53%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Southampton and QPR. Wins shown from Southampton’s perspective: Southampton 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2023-12-23	QPR	0 – 1	Southampton	W
2023-08-26	Southampton	2 – 1	QPR	W

📈 Recent form

Southampton

Southampton come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at West Ham. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Wrexham.

WWest Ham 2-3 SouthamptonChampionship
DSouthampton 0-0 BoltonChampionship
WNorwich 0-1 SouthamptonChampionship
WSouthampton 1-0 PortsmouthChampionship
LWrexham 2-1 SouthamptonChampionship

QPR

QPR come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Swansea. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at Birmingham.

WQPR 5-0 SwanseaChampionship
LBirmingham 3-0 QPRChampionship
WQPR 4-1 DerbyChampionship
DWest Ham 1-1 QPRChampionship
DQPR 2-2 PrestonChampionship

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Southampton at 58% to win and QPR at 17%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Southampton win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Southampton Win	58%	53%	@ 1.73
Draw	26%	24%	@ 3.90
QPR Win	17%	23%	@ 4.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Southampton or Draw at 1.22 (82% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Southampton or Draw	82%	77%	@ 1.22
QPR or Draw	41%	47%	@ 2.05

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	76%	81%	@ 1.17
Under 3.5	70%	59%	@ 1.62
Over 2.5	53%	62%	@ 1.53
Under 2.5	47%	38%	@ 2.50
Over 3.5	30%	41%	@ 2.30
Under 1.5	24%	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	51%	61%	@ 1.53
BTTS No	49%	39%	@ 2.38

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Southampton vs QPR?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.62, with a 70% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 59%.

Who is the favourite for Southampton vs QPR?

Our model makes a Southampton win the most likely result at 58%. It projects an expected 1.9-0.9 scoreline for Southampton vs QPR.

What is the predicted score for Southampton vs QPR?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.86 for Southampton and 0.92 for QPR. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Southampton and QPR play?

Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.