Sat 31 Oct15:00Upcoming

⚽ Championship

Middlesbrough vs Charlton Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Middlesbrough vs Charlton in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Middlesbrough face Charlton in the Championship, kicking off Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:00 UTC. Recent form: Middlesbrough have 3 wins from their last 5, while Charlton have no wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Middlesbrough win the most likely result at 56%, projecting a 2.0-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Middlesbrough vs Charlton with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.73

65%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.03 – 0.97 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.0%	4.8%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%
1	10.1%	9.8%	4.8%	1.5%	0.4%
2	10.3%	10.0%	4.8%	1.6%	0.4%
3	6.9%	6.7%	3.3%	1.1%	0.3%
4	3.5%	3.4%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 2-0

Middlesbrough winDrawCharlton win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Middlesbrough vs Charlton comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.73, with a 65% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Middlesbrough win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 56%. Goals lean over 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points yes (54%).

📊 Key numbers

Middlesbrough 56%Draw 26%Charlton 18%

56%26%18%

56%

Middlesbrough Win

58%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at Bolton. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WBolton 1-5 MiddlesbroughChampionship
DMiddlesbrough 2-2 CardiffChampionship
WStoke City 2-3 MiddlesbroughChampionship
WMiddlesbrough 1-0 WolvesChampionship
DBirmingham 2-2 MiddlesbroughChampionship

Charlton

Charlton come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 11. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Norwich.

LCharlton 1-3 NorwichChampionship
LWatford 2-0 CharltonChampionship
DBurnley 2-2 CharltonChampionship
DCharlton 1-1 Bristol CityChampionship
LCardiff 3-1 CharltonChampionship

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Middlesbrough at 56% to win and Charlton at 18%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Middlesbrough win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Middlesbrough Win	56%	74%	@ 1.25
Draw	26%	17%	@ 5.50
Charlton Win	18%	10%	@ 9.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Middlesbrough or Draw at 1.07 (81% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Middlesbrough or Draw	81%	90%	@ 1.07
Charlton or Draw	42%	26%	@ 3.75

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	80%	84%	@ 1.12
Under 3.5	65%	55%	@ 1.73
Over 2.5	58%	66%	@ 1.44
Under 2.5	42%	34%	@ 2.75
Over 3.5	35%	45%	@ 2.10
Under 1.5	20%	16%	@ 6.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	54%	51%	@ 1.80
BTTS No	46%	49%	@ 1.91

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Middlesbrough vs Charlton?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.73, with a 65% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 55%.

Who is the favourite for Middlesbrough vs Charlton?

Our model makes a Middlesbrough win the most likely result at 56%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.0 scoreline for Middlesbrough vs Charlton.

What is the predicted score for Middlesbrough vs Charlton?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.03 for Middlesbrough and 0.97 for Charlton. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Middlesbrough and Charlton play?

Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.