Sat 31 Oct15:00Upcoming

⚽ Championship

Swansea vs Blackburn Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Swansea vs Blackburn in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Swansea face Blackburn in the Championship, kicking off Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:00 UTC. Recent form: Swansea have 3 wins from their last 5, while Blackburn have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Swansea won 3, Blackburn won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Swansea win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.4-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Swansea vs Blackburn with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.36

71%Bookmaker odds imply 71%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.36 – 1.04 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.1%	9.4%	4.9%	1.7%	0.4%
1	12.3%	12.8%	6.7%	2.3%	0.6%
2	8.4%	8.7%	4.5%	1.6%	0.4%
3	3.8%	4.0%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.3%	1.3%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Swansea winDrawBlackburn win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Swansea vs Blackburn comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Swansea win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean under 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points no (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Swansea 40%Draw 30%Blackburn 31%

40%30%31%

40%

Swansea Win

57%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Swansea and Blackburn. Wins shown from Swansea’s perspective: Swansea 3 · Blackburn 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2025-02-22	Swansea	3 – 0	Blackburn	W
2024-10-19	Blackburn	1 – 0	Swansea	L
2024-03-02	Swansea	2 – 1	Blackburn	W
2023-10-28	Blackburn	0 – 1	Swansea	W

📈 Recent form

Swansea

Swansea come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Millwall. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at QPR.

LQPR 5-0 SwanseaChampionship
LSwansea 0-1 West HamChampionship
WMillwall 0-1 SwanseaChampionship
WSwansea 2-1 NorwichChampionship
WLincoln 1-2 SwanseaChampionship

Blackburn

Blackburn come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Wrexham. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at West Brom.

WBlackburn 2-0 WrexhamChampionship
LWest Brom 3-2 BlackburnChampionship
WBristol City 0-1 BlackburnChampionship
WBlackburn 2-1 CardiffChampionship
DPortsmouth 2-2 BlackburnChampionship

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Swansea at 40% to win and Blackburn at 31%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Swansea win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Swansea Win	40%	53%	@ 1.70
Blackburn Win	31%	20%	@ 4.50
Draw	30%	27%	@ 3.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Swansea or Draw at 1.17 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Swansea or Draw	68%	80%	@ 1.17
Blackburn or Draw	59%	47%	@ 2.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	78%	70%	@ 1.36
Over 1.5	69%	75%	@ 1.28
Under 2.5	57%	50%	@ 1.91
Over 2.5	43%	50%	@ 1.91
Under 1.5	31%	25%	@ 3.75
Over 3.5	22%	30%	@ 3.20

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	52%	49%	@ 1.91
BTTS Yes	48%	51%	@ 1.80

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Swansea vs Blackburn?

Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 71% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Swansea vs Blackburn?

Our model makes a Swansea win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.0 scoreline for Swansea vs Blackburn.

What is the predicted score for Swansea vs Blackburn?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.36 for Swansea and 1.04 for Blackburn. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Swansea and Blackburn play?

Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.