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⚽ Süper Lig

Başakşehir vs Samsunspor Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Başakşehir vs Samsunspor in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Sunday 01 November 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Başakşehir face Samsunspor in the Süper Lig, kicking off Sunday 01 November 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Başakşehir have 2 wins from their last 5, while Samsunspor have no wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Başakşehir win the most likely result at 74%, projecting a 2.8-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Başakşehir vs Samsunspor with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Başakşehir Win @ 1.73
74%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.79 – 1.06 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 2.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 5.9% 6.3% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3%
2 8.3% 8.8% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4%
3 7.7% 8.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
4 5.4% 5.7% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
Projected score: 2-1
Başakşehir winDrawSamsunspor win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Başakşehir vs Samsunspor comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is a Başakşehir win at odds 1.73, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Başakşehir win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 74%. Goals lean over 2.5 (74%), both teams to score points yes (60%).

📊 Key numbers

Başakşehir 74%Draw 14%Samsunspor 12%
74%14%12%
74%
Başakşehir Win
74%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Başakşehir

Başakşehir come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Gençlerbirliği. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Beşiktaş.

  • LBeşiktaş 2-0 BaşakşehirSüper Lig
  • WBaşakşehir 2-1 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
  • DKonyaspor 0-0 BaşakşehirSüper Lig
  • WBaşakşehir 4-0 GençlerbirliğiSüper Lig
  • LAmed 5-0 BaşakşehirSüper Lig
Samsunspor

Samsunspor come into this game with 5 defeats from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 15. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Amed.

  • LSamsunspor 1-2 AmedSüper Lig
  • LKasımpaşa 4-1 SamsunsporSüper Lig
  • LSamsunspor 0-3 TrabzonsporSüper Lig
  • LErzurumspor FK 1-0 SamsunsporSüper Lig
  • LSamsunspor 1-5 Çorum FKSüper Lig

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Başakşehir at 74% to win and Samsunspor at 12%, with the draw at 14%. Our model makes a Başakşehir win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Başakşehir Win 74% 54% @ 1.73
Draw 14% 24% @ 3.80
Samsunspor Win 12% 22% @ 4.20

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Başakşehir or Draw at 1.22 (89% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Başakşehir or Draw 89% 78% @ 1.22
Samsunspor or Draw 28% 46% @ 2.05

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.8-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 74% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 90% 79% @ 1.18
Over 2.5 74% 59% @ 1.60
Over 3.5 54% 38% @ 2.50
Under 3.5 46% 62% @ 1.50
Under 2.5 26% 41% @ 2.30
Under 1.5 10% 21% @ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 60% 59% @ 1.57
BTTS No 40% 41% @ 2.25

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Başakşehir vs Samsunspor?

Our model's pick is a Başakşehir win at odds 1.73, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 54%.

Who is the favourite for Başakşehir vs Samsunspor?

Our model makes a Başakşehir win the most likely result at 74%. It projects an expected 2.8-1.1 scoreline for Başakşehir vs Samsunspor.

What is the predicted score for Başakşehir vs Samsunspor?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.79 for Başakşehir and 1.06 for Samsunspor. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Başakşehir and Samsunspor play?

Kick-off is Sunday 01 November 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.