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⚽ Serie A

Juventus vs Napoli Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Juventus vs Napoli in the Serie A. Kick-off Sunday 01 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.

Juventus face Napoli in the Serie A, kicking off Sunday 01 November 2026, 19:45 UTC. Recent form: Juventus have 2 wins from their last 5, while Napoli have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Juventus won 1, Napoli won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Juventus win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.2-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Juventus vs Napoli with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Under 2.5 @ 1.91
60%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.17 – 1.10 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 10.3% 11.4% 6.3% 2.3% 0.6%
1 12.1% 13.3% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7%
2 7.1% 7.8% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4%
3 2.8% 3.0% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Projected score: 1-1
Juventus winDrawNapoli win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Juventus vs Napoli comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.91, with a 60% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Juventus win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean under 2.5 (60%).

📊 Key numbers

Juventus 38%Draw 26%Napoli 36%
38%26%36%
38%
Juventus Win
60%
Under 2.5 goals

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Juventus and Napoli. Wins shown from Juventus’s perspective: Juventus 1 · 1 drawn · Napoli 3.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-01-25 Juventus 3 – 0 Napoli W
2025-12-07 Napoli 2 – 1 Juventus L
2025-01-25 Napoli 2 – 1 Juventus L
2024-09-21 Juventus 0 – 0 Napoli D
2024-03-03 Napoli 2 – 1 Juventus L

📈 Recent form

Juventus

Juventus come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Lecce. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at home to Lazio.

  • WLecce 0-2 JuventusSerie A
  • DJuventus 2-2 RennesUEFA Europa League
  • LJuventus 0-3 LazioSerie A
  • WCelta Vigo 1-2 JuventusUEFA Europa League
  • DCagliari 1-1 JuventusSerie A
Napoli

Napoli come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Frosinone. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Venezia.

  • DNapoli 3-3 AS RomaSerie A
  • WNapoli 4-3 Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League
  • LVenezia 1-0 NapoliSerie A
  • LVillarreal 3-1 NapoliUEFA Champions League
  • WNapoli 3-0 FrosinoneSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 1 player listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Juventus

No absentees reported.

Napoli
  • A. BuongiornoJumpers Knee

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Juventus at 38% to win and Napoli at 36%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Juventus win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Juventus Win 38% 52% @ 1.80
Napoli Win 36% 22% @ 4.20
Draw 26% 26% @ 3.60

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 60% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Under 2.5 60% 50% @ 1.91
Over 2.5 40% 50% @ 1.91

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juventus vs Napoli?

Our model's pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.91, with a 60% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 50%.

Who is the favourite for Juventus vs Napoli?

Our model makes a Juventus win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.1 scoreline for Juventus vs Napoli.

What is the predicted score for Juventus vs Napoli?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.17 for Juventus and 1.10 for Napoli. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Juventus and Napoli play?

Kick-off is Sunday 01 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.