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⚽ Serie A

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sassuolo vs Fiorentina in the Serie A. Kick-off Monday 02 November 2026, 17:30 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Sassuolo face Fiorentina in the Serie A, kicking off Monday 02 November 2026, 17:30 UTC. Recent form: Sassuolo have no wins from their last 5, while Fiorentina have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Sassuolo won 2, Fiorentina won 1, 1 drawn. The bookmaker market makes a Fiorentina win the most likely result at 40%, implying a 1.4-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sassuolo vs Fiorentina with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. One of the teams has fewer than three earlier matches in our data, too few for a reliable model view, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Sassuolo win	33%
Draw	27%
Fiorentina win	40%
Over 2.5 goals	57%
Both teams to score	61%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.40 – 1.55 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.2%	8.1%	6.3%	3.2%	1.3%
1	7.3%	11.4%	8.8%	4.5%	1.8%
2	5.1%	8.0%	6.2%	3.2%	1.2%
3	2.4%	3.7%	2.9%	1.5%	0.6%
4	0.8%	1.3%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Sassuolo winDrawFiorentina win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Sassuolo vs Fiorentina. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Fiorentina win is the most likely result at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 57%. Both teams to score: yes at 61%.

📊 Key numbers

Sassuolo 33%Draw 27%Fiorentina 40%

33%27%40%

40%

Fiorentina Win

57%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Sassuolo and Fiorentina. Wins shown from Sassuolo’s perspective: Sassuolo 2 · 1 drawn · Fiorentina 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-04-26	Fiorentina	0 – 0	Sassuolo	D
2025-12-06	Sassuolo	3 – 1	Fiorentina	W
2024-04-28	Fiorentina	5 – 1	Sassuolo	L
2024-01-06	Sassuolo	1 – 0	Fiorentina	W

📈 Recent form

Sassuolo

Sassuolo come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Juventus. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Como.

LComo 2-0 SassuoloSerie A
LFrosinone 4-2 SassuoloSerie A
DSassuolo 1-1 AC MilanSerie A
LMonza 2-1 SassuoloSerie A
WSassuolo 3-2 JuventusSerie A

Fiorentina

Fiorentina come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Pisa. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Inter.

LInter 2-1 FiorentinaSerie A
LFiorentina 1-3 ComoSerie A
LGenoa 2-1 FiorentinaSerie A
DFiorentina 1-1 NapoliSerie A
WFiorentina 3-0 PisaCoppa Italia

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Sassuolo

I. KonéBroken Leg
E. PieragnoloJumpers Knee
Fali CandéJumpers Knee
D. BolocaMuscle Bruise
Y. PazJumpers Knee

Fiorentina

R. SottilBack Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Sassuolo at 33% to win and Fiorentina at 40%, with the draw at 27%. The bookmaker market makes a Fiorentina win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Fiorentina Win	40%	@ 2.35
Sassuolo Win	33%	@ 2.80
Draw	27%	@ 3.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Fiorentina or Draw at 1.50 (67% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Fiorentina or Draw	67%	@ 1.50
Sassuolo or Draw	60%	@ 1.44

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.4-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	79%	@ 1.20
Under 3.5	64%	@ 1.50
Over 2.5	57%	@ 1.67
Under 2.5	43%	@ 2.20
Over 3.5	36%	@ 2.62
Under 1.5	21%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 61%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	61%	@ 1.53
BTTS No	39%	@ 2.38

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, a Fiorentina win is the most likely result at 40%.

Who is the favourite for Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?

Our model makes a Fiorentina win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.6 scoreline for Sassuolo vs Fiorentina.

What is the predicted score for Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.40 for Sassuolo and 1.55 for Fiorentina. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Sassuolo and Fiorentina play?

Kick-off is Monday 02 November 2026, 17:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this match we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. One of the teams has fewer than three earlier matches in our data, too few for a reliable model view, so we don't publish a model pick for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.