⚽ Serie A
Atalanta vs Parma Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Atalanta vs Parma in the Serie A. Kick-off Monday 02 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.
Atalanta face Parma in the Serie A, kicking off Monday 02 November 2026, 19:45 UTC. Recent form: Atalanta have 1 win from their last 5, while Parma have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Atalanta won 2, Parma won 1, 1 drawn. The bookmaker market makes an Atalanta win the most likely result at 66%, implying a 2.0-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Atalanta vs Parma with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
📈 Market view
We don’t publish a pick for this match. One of the teams has fewer than three earlier matches in our data, too few for a reliable model view, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.
| Outcome | Market % |
|---|---|
| Atalanta win | 66% |
| Draw | 22% |
| Parma win | 12% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Both teams to score | 48% |
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.4% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.8% | 9.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 12.8% | 9.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 8.5% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Market summary
This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Atalanta vs Parma. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Atalanta win is the most likely result at 66%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 53%. Both teams to score: no at 52%.
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 4 meetings between Atalanta and Parma. Wins shown from Atalanta’s perspective: Atalanta 2 · 1 drawn · Parma 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | Atalanta | 4 – 0 | Parma | W |
| 2025-08-30 | Parma | 1 – 1 | Atalanta | D |
| 2025-05-25 | Atalanta | 2 – 3 | Parma | L |
| 2024-11-23 | Parma | 1 – 3 | Atalanta | W |
📈 Recent form
Atalanta come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Pafos. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Ajax.
- DAtalanta 4-4 FrosinoneSerie A
- LAjax 2-0 AtalantaUEFA Europa Conference
- LAC Milan 3-2 AtalantaSerie A
- WAtalanta 3-1 PafosUEFA Europa Conference
- WAtalanta 3-1 VeneziaSerie A
Parma come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Genoa. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Lazio.
- LLazio 2-1 ParmaSerie A
- LParma 0-3 TorinoSerie A
- LInter 3-0 ParmaSerie A
- WParma 2-1 GenoaSerie A
- LComo 2-1 ParmaSerie A
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 1 player listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- I. HienMuscle Bruise
No absentees reported.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Atalanta at 66% to win and Parma at 12%, with the draw at 22%. The bookmaker market makes an Atalanta win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atalanta Win | 65% | @ 1.42 |
| Draw | 22% | @ 4.20 |
| Parma Win | 12% | @ 7.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Atalanta or Draw at 1.10 (88% market).
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atalanta or Draw | 88% | @ 1.10 |
| Parma or Draw | 35% | @ 2.75 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.0-0.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 76% | @ 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 | 68% | @ 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | @ 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | @ 2.00 |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | @ 3.00 |
| Under 1.5 | 24% | @ 4.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.
| Selection | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 52% | @ 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 48% | @ 1.95 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Atalanta vs Parma?
We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Atalanta win is the most likely result at 66%.
Who is the favourite for Atalanta vs Parma?
Our model makes an Atalanta win the most likely result at 66%. It projects an expected 2.0-0.8 scoreline for Atalanta vs Parma.
What is the predicted score for Atalanta vs Parma?
The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 2.00 for Atalanta and 0.75 for Parma. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Atalanta and Parma play?
Kick-off is Monday 02 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
For this match we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. One of the teams has fewer than three earlier matches in our data, too few for a reliable model view, so we don't publish a model pick for it. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.


