vs
⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League
FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 23 July 2026, 15:00 UTC.
Result: FK Liepaja 0-2 Austria Vienna
FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna finished 0-2. Austria Vienna won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, FK Liepaja Asian Handicap with a +2 start at 1.32, was void (stake returned).
FK Liepaja face Austria Vienna in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 23 July 2026, 15:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Austria Vienna win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.6-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| 2 | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Our prediction for FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is FK Liepaja Asian Handicap with a +2 start at odds 1.32, the selection our model is most confident in at 91%. On the match result, the model rates an Austria Vienna win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (71%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Austria Vienna to win by 2+ goals at odds 2.50 (+103.5% model value).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices FK Liepaja at 34% to win and Austria Vienna at 38%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes an Austria Vienna win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| FK Liepaja Win | 34% | 8.00 | +175.7% |
| Draw | 28% | 4.20 | +15.6% |
| Austria Vienna Win | 38% | 1.37 | -47.9% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 53% | 2.95 | +55.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 1.25 | +11.6% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.80 | +0.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 1.95 | -13.8% |
| Under 3.5 | 47% | 1.36 | -35.8% |
| Under 1.5 | 11% | 3.65 | -61.0% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 71%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 71% | 1.95 | +38.9% |
| BTTS No | 29% | 1.70 | -51.1% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when FK Liepaja or Austria Vienna is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| FK Liepaja +0 | 56% | 5.25 | +192.7% |
| FK Liepaja -0.25 | 50% | 5.75 | +185.4% |
| Austria Vienna -2 | 84% | 3.15 | +166.6% |
| FK Liepaja -0.5 | 44% | 6.00 | +161.1% |
| FK Liepaja +0.25 | 62% | 3.55 | +119.6% |
| Austria Vienna -1.75 | 81% | 2.50 | +103.5% |
| FK Liepaja +0.5 | 68% | 2.94 | +99.8% |
| FK Liepaja +0.75 | 72% | 2.61 | +89.1% |
| FK Liepaja +1 | 77% | 2.22 | +70.8% |
| Austria Vienna -1.5 | 78% | 2.10 | +63.3% |
| FK Liepaja +1.25 | 81% | 1.85 | +51.1% |
| FK Liepaja +1.5 | 86% | 1.68 | +43.9% |
| Austria Vienna -1.25 | 73% | 1.93 | +39.7% |
| FK Liepaja +1.75 | 88% | 1.48 | +30.1% |
| FK Liepaja +2 | 90% | 1.32 | +19.5% |
| Austria Vienna -1 | 67% | 1.61 | +8.2% |
| Austria Vienna -0.75 | 62% | 1.46 | -10.0% |
| Austria Vienna -0.5 | 56% | 1.36 | -22.9% |
| Austria Vienna -0.25 | 50% | 1.27 | -36.0% |
| Austria Vienna +0.25 | 38% | 1.14 | -56.5% |
| Austria Vienna +0.5 | 32% | 1.12 | -64.1% |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna?
Our main pick is FK Liepaja Asian Handicap with a +2 start at odds 1.32, with 91% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Austria Vienna to win by 2+ goals at 2.50 (+103.5% value).
Who is the favourite for FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna?
Our model makes an Austria Vienna win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.3 scoreline for FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna.
What is the predicted score for FK Liepaja vs Austria Vienna?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 1.59 for FK Liepaja and 1.33 for Austria Vienna. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do FK Liepaja and Austria Vienna play?
Kick-off is Thursday 23 July 2026, 15:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
More predictions
Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.