Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol
Thu 23 Jul0-5Finished
Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv

⚽ UEFA Europa League

Sheriff Tiraspol vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sheriff Tiraspol vs Maccabi Tel Aviv in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 23 July 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Result: Sheriff Tiraspol 0-5 Maccabi Tel Aviv

Sheriff Tiraspol vs Maccabi Tel Aviv finished 0-5. Maccabi Tel Aviv won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, over 1.5 goals at 1.42, landed.

Sheriff Tiraspol face Maccabi Tel Aviv in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 23 July 2026, 17:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Maccabi Tel Aviv won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Sheriff Tiraspol win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.6-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sheriff Tiraspol vs Maccabi Tel Aviv with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 1.5 @ 1.42
83%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.62 – 1.61 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 4.0% 6.4% 5.1% 2.8% 1.1%
1 6.4% 10.3% 8.3% 4.5% 1.8%
2 5.2% 8.4% 6.7% 3.6% 1.5%
3 2.8% 4.5% 3.6% 1.9% 0.8%
4 1.1% 1.8% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%
Projected score: 1-1
Sheriff Tiraspol winDrawMaccabi Tel Aviv win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Sheriff Tiraspol vs Maccabi Tel Aviv comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.42, with a 83% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Sheriff Tiraspol win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean over 2.5 (63%), both teams to score points yes (63%).

📊 Key numbers

Sheriff Tiraspol 41%Draw 29%Maccabi Tel Aviv 30%
41%29%30%
41%
Sheriff Tiraspol Win
63%
Over 2.5 goals
63%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Sheriff Tiraspol and Maccabi Tel Aviv. Wins shown from Sheriff Tiraspol’s perspective: Maccabi Tel Aviv 2.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-07-30 Maccabi Tel Aviv 1 – 0 Sheriff Tiraspol L
2026-07-23 Sheriff Tiraspol 0 – 5 Maccabi Tel Aviv L

📈 Recent form

Sheriff Tiraspol

Sheriff Tiraspol come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 15 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 7-0 at home to CSF Bălți. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Zimbru.

  • WSheriff Tiraspol 7-0 CSF BălțiSuper Liga
  • WMilsami Orhei 0-1 Sheriff TiraspolSuper Liga
  • DSheriff Tiraspol 2-2 PetrocubSuper Liga
  • LZimbru 2-1 Sheriff TiraspolSuper Liga
  • WSheriff Tiraspol 4-0 Politehnica UTMSuper Liga
Maccabi Tel Aviv

Maccabi Tel Aviv come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Hapoel Tel Aviv. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • WMaccabi Netanya 1-2 Maccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'al
  • WMaccabi Tel Aviv 4-1 Hapoel Tel AvivLigat Ha'al
  • WHapoel Beer Sheva 1-4 Maccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'al
  • WMaccabi Tel Aviv 3-1 Maccabi HaifaLigat Ha'al
  • DMaccabi Tel Aviv 1-1 FC LuganoUEFA Europa Conference

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Sheriff Tiraspol at 41% to win and Maccabi Tel Aviv at 30%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Sheriff Tiraspol win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Sheriff Tiraspol Win 41% 28% @ 3.30
Maccabi Tel Aviv Win 30% 44% @ 2.10
Draw 29% 28% @ 3.30

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sheriff Tiraspol or Draw at 1.63 (68% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Sheriff Tiraspol or Draw 68% 56% @ 1.63
Maccabi Tel Aviv or Draw 56% 72% @ 1.27

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 63% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 83% 65% @ 1.42
Over 2.5 63% 40% @ 2.28
Under 3.5 60% 79% @ 1.17
Over 3.5 40% 21% @ 4.30
Under 2.5 37% 60% @ 1.53
Under 1.5 17% 35% @ 2.60

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 63%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 63% 45% @ 2.02
BTTS No 37% 55% @ 1.68

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sheriff Tiraspol vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.42, with a 83% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 65%.

Who is the favourite for Sheriff Tiraspol vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

Our model makes a Sheriff Tiraspol win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.6 scoreline for Sheriff Tiraspol vs Maccabi Tel Aviv.

What is the predicted score for Sheriff Tiraspol vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.62 for Sheriff Tiraspol and 1.61 for Maccabi Tel Aviv. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Sheriff Tiraspol and Maccabi Tel Aviv play?

Kick-off is Thursday 23 July 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.