⚽ Major League Soccer
CF Montreal vs Inter Miami Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for CF Montreal vs Inter Miami in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 25 July 2026, 23:30 UTC.
Result: CF Montreal 0-1 Inter Miami
CF Montreal vs Inter Miami finished 0-1. Inter Miami won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, CF Montreal Asian Handicap with a +1.25 start at 1.31, was a half-win.
CF Montreal face Inter Miami in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Saturday 25 July 2026, 23:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, CF Montreal won 2, Inter Miami won 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Inter Miami win the most likely result at 55%, projecting a 1.7-2.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for CF Montreal vs Inter Miami with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.4% |
| 2 | 2.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| 3 | 1.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for CF Montreal vs Inter Miami comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is CF Montreal Asian Handicap with a +1.25 start at odds 1.31, with a 81% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Inter Miami win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 55%. Goals lean over 2.5 (75%), both teams to score points yes (70%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between CF Montreal and Inter Miami. Wins shown from CF Montreal’s perspective: CF Montreal 2 · Inter Miami 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Inter Miami | 7 – 1 | CF Montreal | L |
| 2026-07-25 | CF Montreal | 0 – 1 | Inter Miami | L |
| 2024-05-11 | CF Montreal | 2 – 3 | Inter Miami | L |
| 2024-03-10 | Inter Miami | 2 – 3 | CF Montreal | W |
| 2023-05-27 | CF Montreal | 1 – 0 | Inter Miami | W |
📈 Recent form
CF Montreal come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Vancouver Whitecaps. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Columbus Crew.
- LCF Montreal 0-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
- WCF Montreal 2-1 Vancouver WhitecapsCanadian Championship
- LColorado Rapids 1-0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
- LCF Montreal 1-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- LPhiladelphia Union 2-0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
Inter Miami come into this game with 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Cruz Azul. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- DInter Miami 2-2 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
- WInter Miami 2-0 Cruz AzulCampeones Cup
- DInter Miami 2-2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- DChicago Fire 1-1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
- DInter Miami 2-2 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 12 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- F. AmayaLower-Body Injury
- W. CarmonaKnee Injury
- T. GillierConcussion
- B. HidalgoGroin Injury
- T. AllendeKnee Injury
- D. AyalaMuscle Injury
- M. FalconCalf Injury
- G. LujanCalf Injury
- L. MessiRest
- S. MoralesInternational duty
- A. ShawInternational duty
- R. de PaulRest
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices CF Montreal at 24% to win and Inter Miami at 55%, with the draw at 21%. Our model makes an Inter Miami win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami Win | 55% | 43% | @ 2.20 |
| CF Montreal Win | 24% | 33% | @ 2.85 |
| Draw | 21% | 24% | @ 3.95 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is CF Montreal or Draw at 1.65 (68% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| CF Montreal or Draw | 68% | 57% | @ 1.65 |
| Inter Miami or Draw | 56% | 67% | @ 1.41 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-2.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 75% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 86% | @ 1.09 |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 70% | @ 1.35 |
| Over 3.5 | 56% | 49% | @ 1.92 |
| Under 3.5 | 44% | 51% | @ 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 | 25% | 30% | @ 3.10 |
| Under 1.5 | 10% | 14% | @ 6.75 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 70%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 70% | 70% | @ 1.33 |
| BTTS No | 30% | 30% | @ 3.05 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when CF Montreal or Inter Miami is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| CF Montreal +2 | 90% | 86% | @ 1.11 |
| CF Montreal +1.75 | 88% | 79% | @ 1.19 |
| CF Montreal +1.5 | 86% | 74% | @ 1.25 |
| CF Montreal +1.25 | 81% | 73% | @ 1.31 |
| Inter Miami +1.75 | 81% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Inter Miami +1.5 | 78% | – | 1.14 |
| CF Montreal +1 | 77% | 69% | @ 1.38 |
| Inter Miami +1.25 | 73% | 81% | 1.17 |
| CF Montreal +0.75 | 72% | 62% | @ 1.54 |
| CF Montreal +0.5 | 68% | 56% | @ 1.70 |
| Inter Miami +1 | 67% | 79% | 1.19 |
| CF Montreal +0.25 | 62% | 50% | @ 1.92 |
| Inter Miami +0.75 | 62% | 73% | 1.31 |
| Inter Miami +0.5 | 56% | 67% | 1.41 |
| CF Montreal 0 | 56% | 43% | @ 2.22 |
| Inter Miami +0.25 | 50% | 63% | 1.52 |
| CF Montreal -0.25 | 50% | 37% | @ 2.54 |
| Inter Miami 0 | 44% | 57% | 1.65 |
| CF Montreal -0.5 | 44% | 33% | @ 2.80 |
| CF Montreal -0.75 | 38% | 27% | @ 3.50 |
| Inter Miami -0.25 | 38% | 50% | 1.92 |
| CF Montreal -1 | 33% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
| Inter Miami -0.5 | 32% | 44% | 2.12 |
| Inter Miami -0.75 | 28% | 38% | 2.48 |
| CF Montreal -1.25 | 27% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
| Inter Miami -1 | 23% | 31% | 3.08 |
| CF Montreal -1.75 | 19% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Inter Miami -1.25 | 19% | 27% | 3.48 |
| Inter Miami -1.5 | 14% | 26% | 3.62 |
| Inter Miami -1.75 | 12% | 21% | 4.50 |
| Inter Miami -2 | 10% | 14% | 6.60 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for CF Montreal vs Inter Miami?
Our model's main pick is CF Montreal Asian Handicap with a +1.25 start at odds 1.31, with a 81% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.
Who is the favourite for CF Montreal vs Inter Miami?
Our model makes an Inter Miami win the most likely result at 55%. It projects an expected 1.7-2.2 scoreline for CF Montreal vs Inter Miami.
What is the predicted score for CF Montreal vs Inter Miami?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.72 for CF Montreal and 2.22 for Inter Miami. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do CF Montreal and Inter Miami play?
Kick-off is Saturday 25 July 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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