⚽ Premiership
Aberdeen vs Heart Of Midlothian Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Aberdeen vs Heart Of Midlothian in the Premiership. Kick-off Saturday 01 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.
Result: Aberdeen 2-1 Heart Of Midlothian
Aberdeen vs Heart Of Midlothian finished 2-1. Aberdeen won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Aberdeen Asian Handicap with a +1 start at 1.42, landed.
Aberdeen face Heart Of Midlothian in the Premiership, kicking off Saturday 01 August 2026, 16:30 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 52%, projecting a 1.3-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Aberdeen vs Heart Of Midlothian with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.1% | 9.3% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 16.2% | 12.5% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 10.9% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Aberdeen vs Heart Of Midlothian comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Aberdeen Asian Handicap with a +1 start at odds 1.42, with a 81% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 52%. Goals lean under 2.5 (65%), both teams to score points no (60%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Aberdeen come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Motherwell. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at Celtic.
- DHibernian 1-1 AberdeenPremiership
- WMotherwell 0-4 AberdeenPremiership
- DKilmarnock 1-1 AberdeenLeague Cup
- DAberdeen 0-0 KilmarnockPremiership
- LCeltic 3-0 AberdeenPremiership
Heart Of Midlothian come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Stenhousemuir. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Falkirk.
- DKilmarnock 1-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
- LFalkirk 2-1 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
- WStenhousemuir 0-3 Heart Of MidlothianLeague Cup
- WHeart Of Midlothian 2-1 DundeePremiership
- WHibernian 1-3 Heart Of MidlothianPremiership
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Aberdeen at 27% to win and Heart Of Midlothian at 21%, with the draw at 52%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 52% | 27% | @ 3.49 |
| Aberdeen Win | 27% | 31% | @ 3.06 |
| Heart Of Midlothian Win | 21% | 43% | @ 2.20 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Aberdeen or Draw at 1.65 (73% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aberdeen or Draw | 73% | 57% | @ 1.65 |
| Heart Of Midlothian or Draw | 53% | 69% | @ 1.35 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 65% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 84% | 66% | @ 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 | 65% | 45% | @ 2.09 |
| Over 1.5 | 62% | 77% | @ 1.23 |
| Under 1.5 | 38% | 23% | @ 4.13 |
| Over 2.5 | 35% | 55% | @ 1.74 |
| Over 3.5 | 16% | 34% | @ 2.81 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 60%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 60% | 41% | @ 2.26 |
| BTTS Yes | 40% | 59% | @ 1.57 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Aberdeen or Heart Of Midlothian is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aberdeen +2 | 93% | 84% | @ 1.13 |
| Aberdeen +1.75 | 92% | – | @ 1.21 |
| Aberdeen +1.5 | 90% | – | @ 1.24 |
| Aberdeen +1.25 | 86% | 74% | @ 1.28 |
| Aberdeen +1 | 81% | – | @ 1.42 |
| Aberdeen +0.75 | 77% | 63% | @ 1.51 |
| Heart Of Midlothian +1.5 | 76% | – | 1.11 |
| Aberdeen +0.5 | 73% | 57% | @ 1.66 |
| Heart Of Midlothian +1.25 | 70% | 84% | 1.12 |
| Aberdeen +0.25 | 67% | 50% | @ 1.93 |
| Heart Of Midlothian +1 | 64% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Aberdeen 0 | 60% | 42% | @ 2.28 |
| Heart Of Midlothian +0.75 | 58% | 76% | 1.25 |
| Aberdeen -0.25 | 54% | 35% | @ 2.71 |
| Heart Of Midlothian +0.5 | 53% | 69% | 1.36 |
| Aberdeen -0.5 | 47% | 31% | @ 3.01 |
| Heart Of Midlothian +0.25 | 46% | 65% | 1.47 |
| Aberdeen -0.75 | 42% | 24% | @ 3.88 |
| Heart Of Midlothian 0 | 40% | 58% | 1.62 |
| Aberdeen -1 | 36% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| Heart Of Midlothian -0.25 | 33% | 50% | 1.93 |
| Aberdeen -1.25 | 30% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
| Heart Of Midlothian -0.5 | 27% | 43% | 2.16 |
| Heart Of Midlothian -0.75 | 23% | 37% | 2.54 |
| Heart Of Midlothian -1.25 | 14% | 26% | 3.63 |
| Heart Of Midlothian -2 | 7% | 16% | 5.90 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Aberdeen vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Our model's main pick is Aberdeen Asian Handicap with a +1 start at odds 1.42, with a 81% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.
Who is the favourite for Aberdeen vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 1.3-0.8 scoreline for Aberdeen vs Heart Of Midlothian.
What is the predicted score for Aberdeen vs Heart Of Midlothian?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.34 for Aberdeen and 0.77 for Heart Of Midlothian. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Aberdeen and Heart Of Midlothian play?
Kick-off is Saturday 01 August 2026, 16:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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