Sat 15 Aug3-0Finished

⚽ La Liga

Alavés vs Getafe Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Alavés vs Getafe in the La Liga. Kick-off Saturday 15 August 2026, 17:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Alavés 3-0 Getafe

Alavés vs Getafe finished 3-0. Alavés won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Alavés face Getafe in the upcoming La Liga tips, kicking off Saturday 15 August 2026, 17:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Alavés won 1, Getafe won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Alavés win the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.1-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Alavés vs Getafe with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 2.5 @ 1.34

67%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.07 – 0.96 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.1%	12.6%	6.1%	1.9%	0.5%
1	14.1%	13.5%	6.5%	2.1%	0.5%
2	7.5%	7.2%	3.5%	1.1%	0.3%
3	2.7%	2.6%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.7%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Alavés winDrawGetafe win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Alavés vs Getafe comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.34, with a 67% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Alavés win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean under 2.5 (67%), both teams to score points no (60%).

📊 Key numbers

Alavés 37%Draw 32%Getafe 31%

37%32%31%

37%

Alavés Win

67%

Under 2.5 goals

60%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Alavés and Getafe. Wins shown from Alavés’s perspective: Alavés 1 · 1 drawn · Getafe 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-15	Alavés	3 – 0	Getafe	W
2026-02-08	Alavés	0 – 2	Getafe	L
2025-09-24	Getafe	1 – 1	Alavés	D
2025-02-09	Alavés	0 – 1	Getafe	L
2024-09-28	Getafe	2 – 0	Alavés	L

📈 Recent form

Alavés

Alavés come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at home to Osasuna. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Valencia.

DAthletic Club 0-0 AlavésLa Liga
LAlavés 0-1 ValenciaLa Liga
LRacing Santander 2-1 AlavésLa Liga
WAlavés 5-2 OsasunaLa Liga
WAlavés 1-0 VillarrealLa Liga

Getafe

Getafe come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Málaga. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Real Betis.

WGetafe 1-0 MálagaLa Liga
LReal Betis 1-0 GetafeLa Liga
DGetafe 1-1 Deportivo La CoruñaLa Liga
DGetafe 1-1 Celta VigoLa Liga
LOsasuna 1-0 GetafeLa Liga

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Alavés

F. GarcesSuspended
T. MendesKnee Injury
N. ValentiniSuspended (red card)

Getafe

JuanmiInjury
C. UcheKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Alavés at 37% to win and Getafe at 31%, with the draw at 32%. Our model makes an Alavés win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Alavés Win	37%	40%	@ 2.35
Draw	32%	34%	@ 2.75
Getafe Win	31%	26%	@ 3.70

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Alavés or Draw at 1.26 (66% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Alavés or Draw	66%	74%	@ 1.26
Getafe or Draw	60%	60%	@ 1.58

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 67% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	85%	87%	@ 1.09
Under 2.5	67%	70%	@ 1.34
Over 1.5	60%	56%	@ 1.68
Under 1.5	40%	44%	@ 2.16
Over 2.5	33%	30%	@ 3.20
Over 3.5	15%	13%	@ 7.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 60%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	60%	61%	@ 1.52
BTTS Yes	40%	39%	@ 2.40

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Alavés or Getafe is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Getafe +1.75	85%	86%	1.10
Getafe +1.5	82%	–	1.14
Getafe +1.25	76%	80%	1.19
Getafe +1	71%	77%	1.24
Alavés +0.75	71%	–	1.18
Alavés +0.5	66%	74%	1.27
Getafe +0.75	66%	67%	1.43
Getafe +0.5	60%	59%	1.60
Alavés +0.25	59%	69%	1.39
Getafe +0.25	54%	51%	@ 1.91
Alavés 0	53%	62%	1.54
Getafe 0	47%	38%	@ 2.47
Alavés -0.25	46%	49%	1.98
Getafe -0.25	41%	31%	@ 3.12
Alavés -0.5	40%	41%	2.29
Alavés -0.75	34%	33%	2.89
Getafe -0.5	34%	26%	@ 3.61
Alavés -1	29%	23%	@ 4.18
Alavés -1.25	24%	20%	@ 4.79
Alavés -1.75	15%	14%	@ 7.00

📈 How the market moved

Alavés 41%Draw 34%Getafe 25%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alavés vs Getafe?

Our model's main pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.34, with a 67% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

Who is the favourite for Alavés vs Getafe?

Our model makes an Alavés win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.0 scoreline for Alavés vs Getafe.

What is the predicted score for Alavés vs Getafe?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.07 for Alavés and 0.96 for Getafe. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Alavés and Getafe play?

Kick-off is Saturday 15 August 2026, 17:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.