Sat 15 Aug3-1Finished

⚽ Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Saturday 15 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Fortuna Sittard 3-1 Cambuur

Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur finished 3-1. Fortuna Sittard won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Fortuna Sittard face Cambuur in the upcoming Eredivisie tips, kicking off Saturday 15 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Fortuna Sittard win the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 1.6-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Cambuur +1.75 @ 1.33

81%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.59 – 1.46 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.7%	6.9%	5.0%	2.5%	0.9%
1	7.5%	11.0%	8.0%	3.9%	1.4%
2	6.0%	8.7%	6.4%	3.1%	1.1%
3	3.2%	4.6%	3.4%	1.6%	0.6%
4	1.3%	1.8%	1.3%	0.7%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Fortuna Sittard winDrawCambuur win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Cambuur with a +1.75 start at odds 1.33, with a 81% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Fortuna Sittard win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (61%).

📊 Key numbers

Fortuna Sittard 45%Draw 26%Cambuur 29%

45%26%29%

45%

Fortuna Sittard Win

59%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Fortuna Sittard

Fortuna Sittard come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Willem II. Their most recent defeat was 1-5 at home to Ajax.

WWillem II 0-1 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
LFortuna Sittard 1-5 AjaxEredivisie
WADO Den Haag 2-3 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
WGroningen 2-3 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
LFortuna Sittard 0-2 AZ AlkmaarEredivisie

Cambuur

Cambuur come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 12. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to NEC Nijmegen. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at home to Twente.

DADO Den Haag 1-1 CambuurEredivisie
WCambuur 3-0 NEC NijmegenEredivisie
DTelstar 2-2 CambuurEredivisie
LCambuur 1-4 TwenteEredivisie
LCambuur 2-5 FeyenoordEredivisie

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Fortuna Sittard

I. MarquezInjury
S. SimonsHamstring Injury

Cambuur

D. VisserKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Fortuna Sittard at 45% to win and Cambuur at 29%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Fortuna Sittard win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Fortuna Sittard Win	45%	55%	@ 1.68
Cambuur Win	29%	22%	@ 4.25
Draw	26%	23%	@ 4.10

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Fortuna Sittard or Draw at 1.21 (71% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Fortuna Sittard or Draw	71%	78%	@ 1.21
Cambuur or Draw	55%	45%	@ 2.12

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	81%	84%	@ 1.13
Under 3.5	64%	57%	@ 1.64
Over 2.5	59%	64%	@ 1.48
Under 2.5	41%	36%	@ 2.60
Over 3.5	36%	43%	@ 2.20
Under 1.5	19%	16%	@ 5.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	61%	63%	@ 1.47
BTTS No	39%	37%	@ 2.50

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Fortuna Sittard or Cambuur is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Cambuur +2	84%	78%	@ 1.21
Cambuur +1.75	81%	71%	@ 1.33
Cambuur +1.5	78%	65%	@ 1.47
Fortuna Sittard +0.75	75%	84%	1.13
Cambuur +1.25	72%	61%	@ 1.56
Fortuna Sittard +0.5	71%	79%	1.20
Cambuur +1	66%	55%	@ 1.71
Fortuna Sittard +0.25	64%	76%	1.25
Cambuur +0.75	61%	49%	@ 1.97
Fortuna Sittard 0	58%	72%	1.31
Cambuur +0.5	55%	44%	@ 2.15
Fortuna Sittard -0.25	52%	64%	1.50
Cambuur +0.25	48%	36%	@ 2.62
Fortuna Sittard -0.5	45%	56%	1.67
Cambuur 0	42%	28%	@ 3.44
Fortuna Sittard -0.75	39%	51%	1.86
Cambuur -0.25	36%	24%	@ 3.90
Fortuna Sittard -1	34%	45%	2.12
Cambuur -0.5	29%	21%	@ 4.40
Fortuna Sittard -1.25	28%	39%	2.41
Cambuur -0.75	25%	16%	@ 5.90
Fortuna Sittard -1.5	22%	35%	2.70
Fortuna Sittard -1.75	19%	29%	3.29
Fortuna Sittard -2	16%	22%	4.25

📈 How the market moved

Fortuna Sittard 56%Draw 23%Cambuur 21%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur?

Our model's main pick is Cambuur with a +1.75 start at odds 1.33, with a 81% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.

Who is the favourite for Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur?

Our model makes a Fortuna Sittard win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.5 scoreline for Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur.

What is the predicted score for Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.59 for Fortuna Sittard and 1.46 for Cambuur. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Fortuna Sittard and Cambuur play?

Kick-off is Saturday 15 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.