vs
⚽ Major League Soccer
Toronto FC vs New England Revolution Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Toronto FC vs New England Revolution in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 15 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
Result: Toronto FC 2-1 New England Revolution
Toronto FC vs New England Revolution finished 2-1. Toronto FC won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, New England Revolution Asian Handicap with a +1.25 start at 1.30, was a half-win.
Toronto FC face New England Revolution in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Saturday 15 August 2026, 23:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Toronto FC won 3, New England Revolution won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a New England Revolution win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.4-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Toronto FC vs New England Revolution with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| 2 | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| 3 | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Toronto FC vs New England Revolution is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is New England Revolution Asian Handicap with a +1.25 start at odds 1.30, the selection our model is most confident in at 82%. On the match result, the model rates a New England Revolution win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (59%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is New England Revolution 0 at odds 2.39 (+31.0% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Toronto FC and New England Revolution. Wins shown from Toronto FC’s perspective: Toronto FC 3 · 1 drawn · New England Revolution 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Toronto FC | 2 – 1 | New England Revolution | W |
| 2026-07-22 | New England Revolution | 0 – 0 | Toronto FC | D |
| 2024-04-20 | Toronto FC | 1 – 0 | New England Revolution | W |
| 2024-03-03 | New England Revolution | 0 – 1 | Toronto FC | W |
| 2023-06-24 | New England Revolution | 2 – 1 | Toronto FC | L |
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Toronto FC at 30% to win and New England Revolution at 40%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a New England Revolution win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution Win | 40% | @ 3.16 | +27.5% |
| Draw | 29% | @ 3.54 | +3.1% |
| Toronto FC Win | 30% | @ 2.13 | -35.1% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is New England Revolution or Draw at 1.67 (68% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution or Draw | 68% | @ 1.67 | +13.6% |
| Toronto FC or Draw | 58% | @ 1.34 | -21.7% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 59% | @ 1.70 | -0.5% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | @ 2.74 | -0.9% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | @ 1.21 | -2.4% |
| Under 3.5 | 64% | @ 1.44 | -8.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | @ 2.12 | -12.2% |
| Under 1.5 | 19% | @ 4.30 | -16.8% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 59%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 59% | @ 1.57 | -6.9% |
| BTTS No | 41% | @ 2.25 | -8.2% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Toronto FC or New England Revolution is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution -1 | 31% | @ 5.90 | +81.6% |
| New England Revolution -1.25 | 25% | @ 6.25 | +58.0% |
| New England Revolution -0.75 | 36% | @ 4.10 | +48.7% |
| New England Revolution -0.25 | 48% | @ 2.83 | +36.5% |
| New England Revolution 0 | 55% | @ 2.39 | +31.0% |
| New England Revolution +0.25 | 61% | @ 2.00 | +22.9% |
| New England Revolution +0.5 | 68% | @ 1.70 | +15.7% |
| New England Revolution +0.75 | 73% | @ 1.56 | +13.4% |
| New England Revolution +1.25 | 82% | @ 1.30 | +7.1% |
| New England Revolution +1.5 | 87% | @ 1.23 | +6.2% |
| New England Revolution +1 | 77% | @ 1.36 | +5.6% |
| New England Revolution +1.75 | 89% | @ 1.17 | +4.1% |
| Toronto FC +1.5 | 80% | 1.10 | -11.7% |
| Toronto FC +1.25 | 75% | 1.12 | -16.3% |
| Toronto FC +0.75 | 64% | 1.24 | -21.3% |
| Toronto FC +0.5 | 58% | 1.34 | -21.8% |
| Toronto FC +1 | 69% | 1.13 | -21.8% |
| Toronto FC +0.25 | 52% | 1.43 | -26.1% |
| Toronto FC -0.25 | 39% | 1.83 | -29.2% |
| Toronto FC -1 | 23% | 3.12 | -29.5% |
| Toronto FC 0 | 45% | 1.56 | -29.5% |
| Toronto FC -0.5 | 32% | 2.10 | -32.8% |
| Toronto FC -0.75 | 27% | 2.43 | -33.6% |
| Toronto FC -1.25 | 18% | 3.50 | -37.3% |
| Toronto FC -1.75 | 11% | 5.00 | -44.9% |
| Toronto FC -1.5 | 13% | 3.83 | -49.2% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?
Our main pick is New England Revolution Asian Handicap with a +1.25 start at odds 1.30, with 82% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is New England Revolution 0 at 2.39 (+31.0% value).
Who is the favourite for Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?
Our model makes a New England Revolution win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.6 scoreline for Toronto FC vs New England Revolution.
What is the predicted score for Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.40 for Toronto FC and 1.64 for New England Revolution. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Toronto FC and New England Revolution play?
Kick-off is Saturday 15 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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AnnecyAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.