⚽ Major League Soccer
Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 15 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
Result: Orlando City SC 1-1 FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, FC Cincinnati Asian Handicap with a +1.25 start at 1.33, landed.
Orlando City SC face FC Cincinnati in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Saturday 15 August 2026, 23:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Orlando City SC won 2, FC Cincinnati won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Cincinnati win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 2.0-2.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| 2 | 2.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% |
| 3 | 1.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is FC Cincinnati Asian Handicap with a +1.25 start at odds 1.33, with a 81% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FC Cincinnati win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean over 2.5 (84%), both teams to score points yes (75%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Orlando City SC and FC Cincinnati. Wins shown from Orlando City SC’s perspective: Orlando City SC 2 · 1 drawn · FC Cincinnati 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Orlando City SC | 1 – 1 | FC Cincinnati | D |
| 2026-05-23 | FC Cincinnati | 6 – 2 | Orlando City SC | L |
| 2024-10-05 | FC Cincinnati | 1 – 3 | Orlando City SC | W |
| 2024-05-04 | Orlando City SC | 0 – 1 | FC Cincinnati | L |
| 2023-09-02 | FC Cincinnati | 0 – 1 | Orlando City SC | W |
📈 Recent form
Orlando City SC come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Toronto FC. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-4 at New England Revolution.
- LNew England Revolution 4-2 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- LColumbus Crew 2-1 Orlando City SCUS Open Cup
- WOrlando City SC 3-0 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
- WAtlanta United FC 2-3 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- WOrlando City SC 1-0 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
FC Cincinnati come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 15. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Philadelphia Union.
- DHouston Dynamo 2-2 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- DFC Cincinnati 3-3 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- LPhiladelphia Union 5-0 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- LNashville SC 4-0 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- DFC Cincinnati 1-1 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- E. AtuestaThigh Injury
- N. MillerKnee Injury
- B. OjedaFoot Injury
- M. OjedaThigh Injury
- G. ValenzuelaSuspended (red card)
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Orlando City SC at 35% to win and FC Cincinnati at 42%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes a FC Cincinnati win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati Win | 42% | 34% | @ 2.70 |
| Orlando City SC Win | 35% | 42% | @ 2.20 |
| Draw | 22% | 23% | @ 4.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Cincinnati or Draw at 1.63 (67% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati or Draw | 67% | 58% | @ 1.63 |
| Orlando City SC or Draw | 59% | 66% | @ 1.44 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-2.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 84% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 88% | @ 1.06 |
| Over 2.5 | 84% | 74% | @ 1.27 |
| Over 3.5 | 67% | 56% | @ 1.68 |
| Under 3.5 | 33% | 44% | @ 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 | 16% | 26% | @ 3.65 |
| Under 1.5 | 6% | 12% | @ 8.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 75%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 75% | 73% | @ 1.25 |
| BTTS No | 25% | 27% | @ 3.45 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Orlando City SC or FC Cincinnati is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati +2 | 91% | 84% | @ 1.12 |
| FC Cincinnati +1.75 | 88% | 79% | @ 1.20 |
| FC Cincinnati +1.5 | 86% | 74% | @ 1.25 |
| Orlando City SC +1.75 | 84% | 86% | 1.11 |
| FC Cincinnati +1.25 | 81% | 71% | @ 1.33 |
| Orlando City SC +1.5 | 81% | – | 1.16 |
| FC Cincinnati +1 | 76% | 68% | @ 1.40 |
| Orlando City SC +1.25 | 76% | 80% | 1.18 |
| FC Cincinnati +0.75 | 72% | 61% | @ 1.56 |
| Orlando City SC +1 | 70% | 79% | 1.20 |
| FC Cincinnati +0.5 | 67% | 56% | @ 1.69 |
| Orlando City SC +0.75 | 65% | 73% | 1.31 |
| FC Cincinnati +0.25 | 60% | 50% | @ 1.92 |
| Orlando City SC +0.5 | 59% | – | 1.43 |
| FC Cincinnati 0 | 54% | 43% | @ 2.21 |
| Orlando City SC +0.25 | 53% | 63% | 1.51 |
| FC Cincinnati -0.25 | 47% | 37% | @ 2.55 |
| Orlando City SC 0 | 46% | 57% | 1.66 |
| Orlando City SC -0.25 | 40% | 50% | 1.92 |
| FC Cincinnati -0.75 | 35% | 27% | @ 3.47 |
| Orlando City SC -0.5 | 33% | 44% | 2.13 |
| FC Cincinnati -1 | 30% | 21% | @ 4.40 |
| Orlando City SC -0.75 | 28% | 39% | 2.42 |
| FC Cincinnati -1.25 | 24% | 20% | @ 4.65 |
| Orlando City SC -1 | 24% | 32% | 2.98 |
| Orlando City SC -1.25 | 19% | 29% | 3.29 |
| FC Cincinnati -1.75 | 16% | 14% | @ 6.60 |
| Orlando City SC -1.5 | 14% | 26% | 3.58 |
| Orlando City SC -1.75 | 12% | 21% | 4.40 |
| Orlando City SC -2 | 9% | 16% | 6.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati?
Our model's main pick is FC Cincinnati Asian Handicap with a +1.25 start at odds 1.33, with a 81% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati?
Our model makes a FC Cincinnati win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 2.0-2.5 scoreline for Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati.
What is the predicted score for Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-2, based on expected goals of 2.05 for Orlando City SC and 2.55 for FC Cincinnati. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Orlando City SC and FC Cincinnati play?
Kick-off is Saturday 15 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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