Fri 14 Aug1-3Finished

⚽ Eredivisie

Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Friday 14 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Telstar 1-3 Sparta Rotterdam

Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam finished 1-3. Sparta Rotterdam won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, Telstar DC 1X at 1.41, did not land.

Telstar face Sparta Rotterdam in the upcoming Eredivisie tips, kicking off Friday 14 August 2026, 18:00 UTC. In their last 4 meetings, Telstar won 1, Sparta Rotterdam won 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Telstar win the most likely result at 57%, projecting a 1.8-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Telstar DC 1X @ 1.41

79%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.76 – 1.31 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.6%	6.1%	4.0%	1.7%	0.6%
1	8.2%	10.7%	7.0%	3.1%	1.0%
2	7.2%	9.4%	6.2%	2.7%	0.9%
3	4.2%	5.5%	3.6%	1.6%	0.5%
4	1.9%	2.4%	1.6%	0.7%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Telstar winDrawSparta Rotterdam win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Telstar DC 1X at odds 1.41, with a 79% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Telstar win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 57%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (61%).

📊 Key numbers

Telstar 57%Draw 20%Sparta Rotterdam 22%

57%20%22%

57%

Telstar Win

59%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Telstar and Sparta Rotterdam. Wins shown from Telstar’s perspective: Telstar 1 · Sparta Rotterdam 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-14	Telstar	1 – 3	Sparta Rotterdam	L
2026-07-11	Sparta Rotterdam	1 – 0	Telstar	L
2026-04-22	Telstar	4 – 1	Sparta Rotterdam	W
2025-10-25	Sparta Rotterdam	1 – 0	Telstar	L

📈 Recent form

Telstar

Telstar come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 8. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at AZ Alkmaar.

LAZ Alkmaar 1-0 TelstarEredivisie
DHeerenveen 0-0 TelstarEredivisie
LTwente 1-0 TelstarEredivisie
DTelstar 2-2 CambuurEredivisie
LTelstar 0-4 AjaxEredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam

Sparta Rotterdam come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 15. Their most recent defeat was 0-4 at home to Heerenveen.

LSparta Rotterdam 0-4 HeerenveenEredivisie
LPSV Eindhoven 4-1 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
DSparta Rotterdam 2-2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie
LExcelsior 2-1 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
DSparta Rotterdam 3-3 UtrechtEredivisie

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Telstar at 57% to win and Sparta Rotterdam at 22%, with the draw at 20%. Our model makes a Telstar win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Telstar Win	57%	42%	@ 2.23
Sparta Rotterdam Win	22%	31%	@ 3.00
Draw	20%	27%	@ 3.45

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Telstar or Draw at 1.37 (79% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Telstar or Draw	79%	69%	@ 1.37
Sparta Rotterdam or Draw	44%	58%	@ 1.62

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	81%	80%	@ 1.18
Under 3.5	63%	63%	@ 1.50
Over 2.5	59%	58%	@ 1.61
Under 2.5	41%	42%	@ 2.25
Over 3.5	37%	37%	@ 2.55
Under 1.5	19%	20%	@ 4.60

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	61%	62%	@ 1.49
BTTS No	39%	38%	@ 2.43

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Telstar or Sparta Rotterdam is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Telstar +1.5	93%	84%	@ 1.13
Telstar +1.25	89%	83%	@ 1.15
Telstar +1	86%	80%	@ 1.19
Telstar +0.75	83%	74%	@ 1.28
Telstar +0.5	79%	68%	@ 1.40
Telstar +0.25	73%	64%	@ 1.50
Sparta Rotterdam +1.75	73%	82%	1.16
Sparta Rotterdam +1.5	69%	76%	1.23
Telstar 0	68%	57%	@ 1.67
Sparta Rotterdam +1.25	63%	74%	1.27
Telstar -0.25	62%	49%	@ 1.97
Sparta Rotterdam +1	57%	72%	1.33
Telstar -0.5	56%	43%	@ 2.21
Sparta Rotterdam +0.75	50%	64%	1.50
Telstar -0.75	50%	36%	@ 2.64
Sparta Rotterdam +0.5	44%	57%	1.64
Telstar -1	43%	28%	@ 3.36
Sparta Rotterdam +0.25	38%	51%	1.87
Telstar -1.25	37%	26%	@ 3.69
Sparta Rotterdam 0	32%	43%	2.20
Telstar -1.5	31%	24%	@ 4.00
Telstar -1.75	27%	18%	@ 5.25
Sparta Rotterdam -0.25	27%	36%	2.62
Sparta Rotterdam -0.5	21%	32%	3.00
Sparta Rotterdam -0.75	17%	26%	3.63
Sparta Rotterdam -1	14%	20%	4.85
Sparta Rotterdam -1.25	11%	17%	5.50
Sparta Rotterdam -1.5	7%	16%	5.90

📈 How the market moved

Telstar 42%Draw 26%Sparta Rotterdam 32%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Our model's main pick is Telstar DC 1X at odds 1.41, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.

Who is the favourite for Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Our model makes a Telstar win the most likely result at 57%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.3 scoreline for Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam.

What is the predicted score for Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.76 for Telstar and 1.31 for Sparta Rotterdam. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Telstar and Sparta Rotterdam play?

Kick-off is Friday 14 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.