vs
⚽ Major League Soccer
Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 16 August 2026, 00:30 UTC.
Result: Houston Dynamo 1-0 Los Angeles Galaxy
Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy finished 1-0. Houston Dynamo won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Houston Dynamo face Los Angeles Galaxy in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 16 August 2026, 00:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Houston Dynamo won 2, Los Angeles Galaxy won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.5-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.1% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 9.3% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 7.1% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Los Angeles Galaxy with a +1.75 start at odds 1.34, the selection our model is most confident in at 84%. On the match result, the model rates a Houston Dynamo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (55%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Los Angeles Galaxy with a +0.25 start at odds 2.79 (+49.3% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Houston Dynamo and Los Angeles Galaxy. Wins shown from Houston Dynamo’s perspective: Houston Dynamo 2 · 2 drawn · Los Angeles Galaxy 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Houston Dynamo | 1 – 0 | Los Angeles Galaxy | W |
| 2026-05-24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 1 – 1 | Houston Dynamo | D |
| 2024-10-20 | Houston Dynamo | 2 – 1 | Los Angeles Galaxy | W |
| 2024-05-26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 2 – 1 | Houston Dynamo | L |
| 2023-09-03 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 0 – 0 | Houston Dynamo | D |
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Houston Dynamo at 41% to win and Los Angeles Galaxy at 35%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Galaxy Win | 35% | @ 4.20 | +45.2% |
| Draw | 25% | @ 3.95 | -2.5% |
| Houston Dynamo Win | 41% | @ 1.73 | -29.5% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Los Angeles Galaxy or Draw at 2.05 (60% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Galaxy or Draw | 60% | @ 2.05 | +23.2% |
| Houston Dynamo or Draw | 66% | @ 1.20 | -20.5% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 | 47% | @ 2.35 | +10.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 23% | @ 4.75 | +9.8% |
| Under 3.5 | 69% | @ 1.55 | +7.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | @ 1.18 | -9.3% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | @ 1.57 | -16.7% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | @ 2.40 | -26.1% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 45% | @ 2.30 | +3.2% |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | @ 1.55 | -14.6% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Houston Dynamo or Los Angeles Galaxy is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Galaxy -0.75 | 29% | @ 6.40 | +85.0% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy 0 | 47% | @ 3.80 | +78.4% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy -0.25 | 40% | @ 4.34 | +75.3% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +0.25 | 54% | @ 2.79 | +49.3% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +0.5 | 60% | @ 2.22 | +33.5% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +0.75 | 66% | @ 2.03 | +32.9% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +1 | 71% | @ 1.73 | +22.6% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +1.25 | 76% | @ 1.58 | +20.8% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +1.5 | 82% | @ 1.46 | +19.1% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +1.75 | 84% | @ 1.34 | +13.7% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy +2 | 88% | @ 1.22 | +6.7% |
| Houston Dynamo +0.75 | 71% | 1.12 | -20.4% |
| Houston Dynamo +0.5 | 66% | 1.18 | -21.8% |
| Houston Dynamo +0.25 | 60% | 1.22 | -27.2% |
| Houston Dynamo 0 | 53% | 1.27 | -32.6% |
| Houston Dynamo -0.25 | 46% | 1.45 | -32.9% |
| Houston Dynamo -0.5 | 40% | 1.64 | -34.8% |
| Houston Dynamo -0.75 | 34% | 1.82 | -37.0% |
| Houston Dynamo -1 | 29% | 2.12 | -38.3% |
| Houston Dynamo -1.25 | 24% | 2.42 | -42.5% |
| Houston Dynamo -2 | 13% | 4.15 | -47.9% |
| Houston Dynamo -1.75 | 16% | 3.27 | -49.3% |
| Houston Dynamo -1.5 | 18% | 2.65 | -51.2% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
Our main pick is Los Angeles Galaxy with a +1.75 start at odds 1.34, with 84% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Los Angeles Galaxy with a +0.25 start at 2.79 (+49.3% value).
Who is the favourite for Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
Our model makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.3 scoreline for Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy.
What is the predicted score for Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.53 for Houston Dynamo and 1.27 for Los Angeles Galaxy. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Houston Dynamo and Los Angeles Galaxy play?
Kick-off is Sunday 16 August 2026, 00:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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AnnecyAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.