ā½ Major League Soccer
Los Angeles FC vs San Diego Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Los Angeles FC vs San Diego in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 16 August 2026, 02:30 UTC.
Result: Los Angeles FC 0-1 San Diego
Los Angeles FC vs San Diego finished 0-1. San Diego won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Los Angeles FC face San Diego in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 16 August 2026, 02:30 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, San Diego won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Los Angeles FC win the most likely result at 56%, projecting a 2.4-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Los Angeles FC vs San Diego with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
š„ Best Bet
šÆ Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| 3 | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| 4 | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
š§ Model summary
Our prediction for Los Angeles FC vs San Diego comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is San Diego with a +2 start at odds 1.25, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Los Angeles FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 56%. Goals lean over 2.5 (74%), both teams to score points yes (65%).
š Key numbers
š Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Los Angeles FC and San Diego. Wins shown from Los Angeles FCās perspective: 1 drawn · San Diego 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Los Angeles FC | 0 – 1 | San Diego | L |
| 2026-05-03 | San Diego | 2 – 2 | Los Angeles FC | D |
š Recent form
Los Angeles FC come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to New York Red Bulls. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Sporting Kansas City.
- DSan Jose Earthquakes 2-2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- LSporting Kansas City 3-1 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- WLos Angeles FC 2-0 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
- DReal Salt Lake 2-2 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
- DDC United 0-0 Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer
San Diego come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Los Angeles Galaxy. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at home to Philadelphia Union.
- DInter Miami 2-2 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
- LSan Diego 0-5 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
- LSan Diego 2-3 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
- LOrlando City SC 1-0 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
- WSan Diego 3-1 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
š„ Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- Igor JesusKnee Injury
- S. PalenciaGroin Injury
- P. SisniegaBack Injury
ā½ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Los Angeles FC at 56% to win and San Diego at 23%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes a Los Angeles FC win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles FC Win | 56% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| San Diego Win | 23% | 20% | @ 4.60 |
| Draw | 22% | 22% | @ 4.20 |
š Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Los Angeles FC or Draw at 1.18 (78% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles FC or Draw | 78% | 80% | @ 1.18 |
| San Diego or Draw | 46% | 42% | @ 2.23 |
š Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.4-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 74% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 84% | @ 1.12 |
| Over 2.5 | 74% | 66% | @ 1.43 |
| Over 3.5 | 53% | 45% | @ 2.10 |
| Under 3.5 | 47% | 55% | @ 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 | 26% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
| Under 1.5 | 10% | 16% | @ 5.80 |
š„ Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 64% | @ 1.45 |
| BTTS No | 35% | 36% | @ 2.55 |
āļø Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Los Angeles FC or San Diego is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles FC +0.75 | 82% | 83% | 1.14 |
| San Diego +2 | 78% | 76% | 1.25 |
| Los Angeles FC +0.5 | 78% | 78% | 1.19 |
| San Diego +1.75 | 74% | 69% | @ 1.38 |
| Los Angeles FC +0.25 | 72% | 76% | 1.25 |
| San Diego +1.5 | 70% | 63% | @ 1.50 |
| Los Angeles FC 0 | 66% | 74% | 1.30 |
| San Diego +1.25 | 64% | 59% | @ 1.62 |
| Los Angeles FC -0.25 | 60% | 65% | 1.47 |
| San Diego +1 | 58% | 53% | @ 1.81 |
| Los Angeles FC -0.5 | 54% | 58% | 1.61 |
| San Diego +0.75 | 52% | 47% | @ 2.06 |
| Los Angeles FC -0.75 | 48% | 53% | 1.79 |
| San Diego +0.5 | 46% | 42% | @ 2.25 |
| Los Angeles FC -1 | 42% | 47% | 2.01 |
| San Diego +0.25 | 40% | 35% | @ 2.72 |
| Los Angeles FC -1.25 | 36% | 41% | 2.33 |
| San Diego 0 | 34% | 26% | @ 3.62 |
| Los Angeles FC -1.5 | 30% | 37% | 2.55 |
| San Diego -0.25 | 28% | 24% | @ 3.98 |
| Los Angeles FC -1.75 | 26% | 31% | 3.10 |
| Los Angeles FC -2 | 22% | 24% | 4.03 |
| San Diego -0.5 | 22% | 22% | 4.25 |
| San Diego -0.75 | 18% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
š How the market moved
ā Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Los Angeles FC vs San Diego?
Our model's main pick is San Diego with a +2 start at odds 1.25, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.
Who is the favourite for Los Angeles FC vs San Diego?
Our model makes a Los Angeles FC win the most likely result at 56%. It projects an expected 2.4-1.5 scoreline for Los Angeles FC vs San Diego.
What is the predicted score for Los Angeles FC vs San Diego?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.38 for Los Angeles FC and 1.46 for San Diego. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Los Angeles FC and San Diego play?
Kick-off is Sunday 16 August 2026, 02:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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