Qarabag
Dynamo Kyiv⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League
Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.
Result: Qarabag 2-0 Dynamo Kyiv
Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv finished 2-0. Qarabag won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Qarabag face Dynamo Kyiv in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 16:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Qarabag won 1, Dynamo Kyiv won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Qarabag win the most likely result at 60%, projecting a 1.8-0.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.3% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.4% | 9.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 16.4% | 8.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 9.7% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.38, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Qarabag win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 60%. Goals lean under 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points no (68%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Qarabag and Dynamo Kyiv. Wins shown from Qarabag’s perspective: Qarabag 1 · Dynamo Kyiv 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Qarabag | 2 – 0 | Dynamo Kyiv | W |
| 2026-08-06 | Dynamo Kyiv | 1 – 0 | Qarabag | L |
📈 Recent form
Qarabag come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Dynamo Kyiv. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Twente.
- WQarabag 1-0 Safa BakuPremyer Liqa
- DZira 1-1 QarabagPremyer Liqa
- LQarabag 1-2 TwenteUEFA Europa Conference
- WTwente 0-1 QarabagUEFA Europa Conference
- WQarabag 2-0 Dynamo KyivUEFA Europa Conference
Dynamo Kyiv come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Epitsentr Dunayivtsi. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at Bukovyna.
- WZorya Luhansk 0-2 Dynamo KyivPremier League
- WDynamo Kyiv 3-0 Epitsentr DunayivtsiPremier League
- WNyva Vinnytsya 0-1 Dynamo KyivCup
- DDynamo Kyiv 0-0 LNZ CherkasyPremier League
- LBukovyna 3-0 Dynamo KyivPremier League
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Qarabag at 60% to win and Dynamo Kyiv at 15%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Qarabag win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Qarabag Win | 60% | 55% | @ 1.68 |
| Draw | 25% | 24% | @ 3.80 |
| Dynamo Kyiv Win | 15% | 21% | @ 4.40 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Qarabag or Draw at 1.16 (83% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Qarabag or Draw | 83% | 79% | @ 1.16 |
| Dynamo Kyiv or Draw | 39% | 45% | @ 2.02 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-0.5 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 60% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 80% | 66% | @ 1.38 |
| Over 1.5 | 66% | 76% | @ 1.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 60% | 45% | @ 2.02 |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 55% | @ 1.67 |
| Under 1.5 | 34% | 24% | @ 3.85 |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 34% | @ 2.70 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 68%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 68% | 45% | @ 2.04 |
| BTTS Yes | 32% | 55% | @ 1.67 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Qarabag or Dynamo Kyiv is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Qarabag +1.5 | 95% | 86% | @ 1.06 |
| Qarabag +1.25 | 92% | 86% | @ 1.10 |
| Qarabag +1 | 89% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Qarabag +0.75 | 86% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Qarabag +0.5 | 83% | 76% | @ 1.22 |
| Qarabag +0.25 | 78% | 72% | @ 1.29 |
| Dynamo Kyiv +2 | 73% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Qarabag 0 | 72% | 69% | 1.35 |
| Dynamo Kyiv +1.75 | 68% | 78% | 1.21 |
| Qarabag -0.25 | 67% | 60% | @ 1.56 |
| Dynamo Kyiv +1.5 | 63% | – | 1.34 |
| Qarabag -0.5 | 62% | 54% | @ 1.73 |
| Dynamo Kyiv +1.25 | 57% | 67% | 1.39 |
| Qarabag -0.75 | 55% | 46% | @ 2.02 |
| Dynamo Kyiv +1 | 51% | 62% | 1.50 |
| Qarabag -1 | 49% | 38% | @ 2.46 |
| Dynamo Kyiv +0.75 | 45% | 54% | 1.75 |
| Qarabag -1.25 | 43% | 33% | @ 2.82 |
| Dynamo Kyiv +0.5 | 39% | 46% | 2.01 |
| Dynamo Kyiv +0.25 | 33% | 40% | 2.31 |
| Qarabag -1.75 | 32% | 22% | @ 4.25 |
| Dynamo Kyiv 0 | 28% | 31% | 2.96 |
| Qarabag -2 | 27% | 15% | @ 6.25 |
| Dynamo Kyiv -0.25 | 22% | 28% | 3.34 |
| Dynamo Kyiv -0.5 | 17% | 24% | 3.95 |
| Dynamo Kyiv -0.75 | 14% | 18% | 5.25 |
| Dynamo Kyiv -1 | 11% | 15% | 6.40 |
| Dynamo Kyiv -1.25 | 8% | 14% | 7.00 |
| Dynamo Kyiv -1.5 | 5% | 14% | 6.75 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv?
Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.38, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 66%.
Who is the favourite for Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv?
Our model makes a Qarabag win the most likely result at 60%. It projects an expected 1.8-0.5 scoreline for Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv.
What is the predicted score for Qarabag vs Dynamo Kyiv?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.78 for Qarabag and 0.49 for Dynamo Kyiv. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Qarabag and Dynamo Kyiv play?
Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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