⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Midtjylland vs Bohemians Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Midtjylland vs Bohemians in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers All markets FAQ

FC Midtjylland face Bohemians in the UEFA Europa Conference League, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Midtjylland win the most likely result at 56%, projecting a 2.9-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Midtjylland vs Bohemians with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Bohemians +1.75 @ 2.08

73%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.86 – 1.29 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	1.6%	2.0%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%
1	4.5%	5.8%	3.8%	1.6%	0.5%
2	6.4%	8.3%	5.4%	2.3%	0.7%
3	6.1%	7.9%	5.1%	2.2%	0.7%
4	4.4%	5.7%	3.7%	1.6%	0.5%

Projected score: 2-1

FC Midtjylland winDrawBohemians win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC Midtjylland vs Bohemians is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Bohemians with a +1.75 start at odds 2.08, the selection our model is most confident in at 73%. On the match result, the model rates a FC Midtjylland win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 56%. Goals lean over 2.5 (78%), both teams to score points yes (68%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Bohemians with a +1.25 start at odds 2.72 (+70.2% model value).

Best value

Bohemians +1.25 at odds 2.72, 63% model probability, +70.2% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

FC Midtjylland 56%Draw 24%Bohemians 20%

56%24%20%

56%

FC Midtjylland Win

78%

Over 2.5 goals

68%

BTTS yes

+70.2%

Best value: Bohemians +1.25

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC Midtjylland at 56% to win and Bohemians at 20%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a FC Midtjylland win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Bohemians Win	20%	14.00	+185.7%
Draw	24%	5.90	+40.8%
FC Midtjylland Win	56%	1.18	-34.3%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.9-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 78% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	59%	1.95	+15.9%
Over 2.5	78%	1.40	+9.5%
Over 1.5	92%	1.11	+1.9%
Under 3.5	41%	1.80	-27.0%
Under 2.5	22%	2.80	-39.0%
Under 1.5	8%	5.75	-52.9%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 68%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	68%	1.85	+26.6%
BTTS No	32%	1.80	-43.2%

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when FC Midtjylland or Bohemians is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Bohemians +0.25	38%	5.50	+110.5%
Bohemians 0	32%	6.00	+94.4%
Bohemians +1	56%	3.30	+86.3%
Bohemians +0.75	50%	3.55	+78.6%
Bohemians -0.25	26%	6.60	+75.0%
Bohemians +1.25	63%	2.72	+70.2%
Bohemians +1.5	69%	2.28	+56.7%
Bohemians +1.75	73%	2.08	+51.5%
Bohemians -0.5	21%	7.00	+44.4%
Bohemians +2	77%	1.84	+42.5%
FC Midtjylland +0.5	79%	1.10	-12.7%
FC Midtjylland +0.25	74%	1.11	-18.4%
FC Midtjylland 0	68%	1.12	-24.3%
FC Midtjylland -0.25	62%	1.15	-29.0%
FC Midtjylland -0.5	56%	1.19	-33.6%
FC Midtjylland -0.75	50%	1.27	-36.9%
FC Midtjylland -1	44%	1.32	-42.5%
FC Midtjylland -1.25	37%	1.43	-46.7%
FC Midtjylland -1.5	31%	1.57	-51.0%
FC Midtjylland -1.75	27%	1.72	-53.7%
FC Midtjylland -2	23%	1.91	-56.7%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	70%
GradientBoosting	Home	51%

Both models that could assess this match agree. Our Dixon-Coles model has no reliable team ratings for this competition and was left out, so this rests on two models rather than three.

Expected goals: 1.75 for the home side, 0.96 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%), 2-0 (6%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Midtjylland vs Bohemians?

Our main pick is Bohemians with a +1.75 start at odds 2.08, with 73% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Bohemians with a +1.25 start at 2.72 (+70.2% value).

Who is the favourite for FC Midtjylland vs Bohemians?

Our model makes a FC Midtjylland win the most likely result at 56%. It projects an expected 2.9-1.3 scoreline for FC Midtjylland vs Bohemians.

What is the predicted score for FC Midtjylland vs Bohemians?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.86 for FC Midtjylland and 1.29 for Bohemians. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC Midtjylland and Bohemians play?

Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.