ML Vitebsk
Borac Banja Luka⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League
ML Vitebsk vs Borac Banja Luka Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for ML Vitebsk vs Borac Banja Luka in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Result: ML Vitebsk 1-0 Borac Banja Luka
ML Vitebsk vs Borac Banja Luka finished 1-0. ML Vitebsk won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
ML Vitebsk face Borac Banja Luka in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, ML Vitebsk won 1, Borac Banja Luka won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a ML Vitebsk win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 1.4-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for ML Vitebsk vs Borac Banja Luka with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.3% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 12.7% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 9.3% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for ML Vitebsk vs Borac Banja Luka comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is ML Vitebsk with a +0.75 start at odds 1.30, with a 73% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a ML Vitebsk win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean under 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points no (53%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between ML Vitebsk and Borac Banja Luka. Wins shown from ML Vitebsk’s perspective: ML Vitebsk 1 · Borac Banja Luka 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | ML Vitebsk | 1 – 0 | Borac Banja Luka | W |
| 2026-08-06 | Borac Banja Luka | 1 – 0 | ML Vitebsk | L |
📈 Recent form
ML Vitebsk come into this game with 2 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to Arsenal.
- WML Vitebsk 5-1 ArsenalPremier League
- DFC Dnepr Mogilev 1-1 ML VitebskPremier League
- DML Vitebsk 0-0 Dinamo MinskPremier League
- DML Vitebsk 1-1 BelshinaPremier League
- WDinamo Brest 1-3 ML VitebskPremier League
Borac Banja Luka come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Zeljeznicar Sarajevo. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at ML Vitebsk.
- WBorac Banja Luka 1-0 ZrinjskiPremijer Liga
- WBorac Banja Luka 2-0 Zeljeznicar SarajevoPremijer Liga
- WBorac Banja Luka 3-1 Vikingur ReykjavikUEFA Europa Conference
- WVikingur Reykjavik 1-3 Borac Banja LukaUEFA Europa Conference
- LML Vitebsk 1-0 Borac Banja LukaUEFA Europa Conference
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices ML Vitebsk at 42% to win and Borac Banja Luka at 31%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a ML Vitebsk win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| ML Vitebsk Win | 42% | 37% | @ 2.48 |
| Borac Banja Luka Win | 31% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 29% | @ 3.15 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is ML Vitebsk or Draw at 1.38 (68% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| ML Vitebsk or Draw | 68% | 66% | @ 1.38 |
| Borac Banja Luka or Draw | 58% | 63% | @ 1.46 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 58% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 78% | 75% | @ 1.23 |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 68% | @ 1.34 |
| Under 2.5 | 58% | 56% | @ 1.64 |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 44% | @ 2.08 |
| Under 1.5 | 32% | 32% | @ 2.90 |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 25% | @ 3.60 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 53%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 53% | 49% | @ 1.86 |
| BTTS Yes | 47% | 51% | @ 1.81 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when ML Vitebsk or Borac Banja Luka is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| ML Vitebsk +1.75 | 89% | 86% | 1.10 |
| ML Vitebsk +1.5 | 87% | – | 1.12 |
| Borac Banja Luka +1.75 | 83% | 85% | 1.12 |
| ML Vitebsk +1.25 | 82% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Borac Banja Luka +1.5 | 80% | 81% | 1.15 |
| ML Vitebsk +1 | 78% | 80% | 1.18 |
| Borac Banja Luka +1.25 | 74% | 79% | 1.20 |
| ML Vitebsk +0.75 | 73% | 72% | 1.30 |
| Borac Banja Luka +1 | 69% | 76% | 1.24 |
| ML Vitebsk +0.5 | 68% | 65% | 1.42 |
| Borac Banja Luka +0.75 | 63% | 67% | 1.39 |
| ML Vitebsk +0.25 | 62% | 60% | 1.56 |
| Borac Banja Luka +0.5 | 58% | 61% | 1.54 |
| ML Vitebsk 0 | 55% | 53% | 1.77 |
| Borac Banja Luka +0.25 | 51% | 55% | 1.73 |
| ML Vitebsk -0.25 | 49% | 45% | @ 2.07 |
| Borac Banja Luka 0 | 45% | 47% | 2.00 |
| ML Vitebsk -0.5 | 42% | 39% | 2.37 |
| Borac Banja Luka -0.25 | 38% | 40% | 2.35 |
| ML Vitebsk -0.75 | 37% | 33% | @ 2.85 |
| Borac Banja Luka -0.5 | 32% | 35% | 2.66 |
| ML Vitebsk -1 | 31% | 24% | @ 3.90 |
| Borac Banja Luka -0.75 | 27% | 28% | 3.33 |
| ML Vitebsk -1.25 | 26% | 21% | @ 4.40 |
| Borac Banja Luka -1 | 22% | 20% | @ 4.65 |
| ML Vitebsk -1.5 | 20% | 19% | 4.90 |
| Borac Banja Luka -1.25 | 18% | 18% | 5.25 |
| ML Vitebsk -1.75 | 17% | 15% | @ 6.40 |
| Borac Banja Luka -1.75 | 11% | 14% | 6.80 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for ML Vitebsk vs Borac Banja Luka?
Our model's main pick is ML Vitebsk with a +0.75 start at odds 1.30, with a 73% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.
Who is the favourite for ML Vitebsk vs Borac Banja Luka?
Our model makes a ML Vitebsk win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.0 scoreline for ML Vitebsk vs Borac Banja Luka.
What is the predicted score for ML Vitebsk vs Borac Banja Luka?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.41 for ML Vitebsk and 0.96 for Borac Banja Luka. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do ML Vitebsk and Borac Banja Luka play?
Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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