FC Nordsjaelland

Thu 13 Aug5-0Finished

Valur Reykjavik

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: FC Nordsjaelland 5-0 Valur Reykjavik

FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik finished 5-0. FC Nordsjaelland won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

FC Nordsjaelland face Valur Reykjavik in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, FC Nordsjaelland won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely result at 66%, projecting a 3.0-0.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.25

71%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 3.01 – 0.68 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.5%	1.7%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
1	7.5%	5.1%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
2	11.3%	7.7%	2.6%	0.6%	0.1%
3	11.4%	7.7%	2.6%	0.6%	0.1%
4	8.5%	5.8%	2.0%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 3-0

FC Nordsjaelland winDrawValur Reykjavik win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 71% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 66%. Goals lean over 2.5 (71%), both teams to score points no (57%).

📊 Key numbers

FC Nordsjaelland 66%Draw 20%Valur Reykjavik 14%

66%20%14%

66%

FC Nordsjaelland Win

71%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between FC Nordsjaelland and Valur Reykjavik. Wins shown from FC Nordsjaelland’s perspective: FC Nordsjaelland 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-13	FC Nordsjaelland	5 – 0	Valur Reykjavik	W
2026-08-06	Valur Reykjavik	0 – 2	FC Nordsjaelland	W

📈 Recent form

FC Nordsjaelland

FC Nordsjaelland come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Vatanspor. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at Viborg.

LViborg 4-1 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
WVatanspor 0-3 FC NordsjaellandDBU Pokalen
WFC Nordsjaelland 2-0 AarhusSuperliga
DFC Midtjylland 2-2 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
LFC Copenhagen 2-0 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga

Valur Reykjavik

Valur Reykjavik come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Thor Akureyri. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Vikingur Reykjavik.

DIBV Vestmannaeyjar 1-1 Valur ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild
WValur Reykjavik 4-1 Thor AkureyriÚrvalsdeild
WKeflavik 1-2 Valur ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild
DValur Reykjavik 2-2 IA AkranesÚrvalsdeild
LVikingur Reykjavik 2-0 Valur ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC Nordsjaelland at 66% to win and Valur Reykjavik at 14%, with the draw at 20%. Our model makes a FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC Nordsjaelland Win	66%	87%	@ 1.08
Draw	20%	9%	@ 10.50
Valur Reykjavik Win	14%	4%	@ 21.00

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 3.0-0.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 71% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	88%	86%	@ 1.07
Over 2.5	71%	73%	@ 1.25
Over 3.5	50%	55%	@ 1.68
Under 3.5	50%	45%	@ 2.02
Under 2.5	29%	27%	@ 3.40
Under 1.5	12%	14%	@ 6.40

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 57%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	57%	59%	@ 1.56
BTTS Yes	43%	41%	@ 2.23

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when FC Nordsjaelland or Valur Reykjavik is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Valur Reykjavik +2	69%	31%	@ 2.97
FC Nordsjaelland -0.5	66%	–	1.09
Valur Reykjavik +1.75	64%	29%	@ 3.30
FC Nordsjaelland -0.75	59%	86%	1.10
Valur Reykjavik +1.5	59%	27%	@ 3.48
FC Nordsjaelland -1	53%	86%	1.11
Valur Reykjavik +1.25	53%	21%	@ 4.50
FC Nordsjaelland -1.25	47%	79%	1.19
Valur Reykjavik +1	47%	14%	@ 6.60
FC Nordsjaelland -1.5	41%	73%	1.26
Valur Reykjavik +0.75	41%	14%	@ 7.00
FC Nordsjaelland -1.75	36%	71%	1.32
FC Nordsjaelland -2	31%	69%	1.36

📈 How the market moved

FC Nordsjaelland 86%Draw 9%Valur Reykjavik 4%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik?

Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 71% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

Who is the favourite for FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik?

Our model makes a FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely result at 66%. It projects an expected 3.0-0.7 scoreline for FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik.

What is the predicted score for FC Nordsjaelland vs Valur Reykjavik?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 3-0, based on expected goals of 3.01 for FC Nordsjaelland and 0.68 for Valur Reykjavik. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC Nordsjaelland and Valur Reykjavik play?

Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.