⚽ UEFA Europa League

Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers All markets FAQ

Gornik Zabrze face Ferencvarosi TC in the UEFA Europa League, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.9-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.27

81%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.92 – 1.15 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.6%	5.3%	3.1%	1.2%	0.3%
1	8.9%	10.2%	5.9%	2.3%	0.6%
2	8.6%	9.8%	5.7%	2.2%	0.6%
3	5.5%	6.3%	3.6%	1.4%	0.4%
4	2.6%	3.0%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Gornik Zabrze winDrawFerencvarosi TC win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.27, the selection our model is most confident in at 81%. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (58%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.89 (+11.6% model value).

Best value

Over 2.5 at odds 1.89, 59% model probability, +11.6% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Gornik Zabrze 37%Draw 40%Ferencvarosi TC 23%

37%40%23%

40%

Draw

59%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

BTTS yes

+11.6%

Best value: Over 2.5

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Gornik Zabrze at 37% to win and Ferencvarosi TC at 23%, with the draw at 40%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	40%	3.30	+32.7%
Gornik Zabrze Win	37%	2.26	-17.0%
Ferencvarosi TC Win	23%	2.93	-32.5%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Gornik Zabrze or Draw at 1.34 (70% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Gornik Zabrze or Draw	70%	1.34	-6.4%
Ferencvarosi TC or Draw	56%	1.57	-11.7%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	37%	3.18	+17.2%
Over 2.5	59%	1.89	+11.6%
Over 1.5	81%	1.27	+3.2%
Under 3.5	63%	1.33	-16.1%
Under 2.5	41%	1.87	-23.6%
Under 1.5	19%	3.52	-33.4%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	58%	1.67	-2.3%
BTTS No	42%	2.07	-14.1%

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Gornik Zabrze or Ferencvarosi TC is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Gornik Zabrze -1	33%	3.60	+17.1%
Ferencvarosi TC -1	21%	5.50	+16.3%
Gornik Zabrze -1.75	18%	6.25	+12.6%
Gornik Zabrze -1.25	27%	4.04	+8.7%
Gornik Zabrze -0.75	38%	2.68	+2.4%
Gornik Zabrze -0.25	50%	1.99	+-0.0%
Gornik Zabrze +1.75	90%	1.10	-1.1%
Ferencvarosi TC -1.25	17%	5.90	-1.8%
Gornik Zabrze -0.5	44%	2.21	-2.9%
Gornik Zabrze +1.5	88%	1.10	-2.9%
Gornik Zabrze +0.5	70%	1.38	-3.6%
Ferencvarosi TC +1.5	79%	1.21	-4.8%
Ferencvarosi TC 0	43%	2.20	-5.2%
Gornik Zabrze +0.25	63%	1.50	-5.3%
Ferencvarosi TC -0.25	37%	2.58	-5.5%
Gornik Zabrze +0.75	74%	1.27	-5.6%
Gornik Zabrze 0	57%	1.66	-5.8%
Gornik Zabrze +1.25	83%	1.13	-5.8%
Ferencvarosi TC -0.75	26%	3.65	-6.4%
Ferencvarosi TC +1.75	82%	1.12	-8.2%
Ferencvarosi TC +0.5	56%	1.63	-8.7%
Ferencvarosi TC +0.25	50%	1.83	-8.9%
Gornik Zabrze +1	79%	1.15	-9.3%
Ferencvarosi TC +1.25	73%	1.24	-9.8%
Ferencvarosi TC +0.75	62%	1.46	-9.8%
Ferencvarosi TC -0.5	30%	2.90	-12.5%
Ferencvarosi TC +1	67%	1.28	-13.7%
Ferencvarosi TC -1.75	10%	7.00	-29.4%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	55%
GradientBoosting	Draw	46%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.45 for the home side, 1.16 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.27, with 81% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 2.5 goals at 1.89 (+11.6% value).

Who is the favourite for Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC?

Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.1 scoreline for Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC.

What is the predicted score for Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.92 for Gornik Zabrze and 1.15 for Ferencvarosi TC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Gornik Zabrze and Ferencvarosi TC play?

Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.