⚽ UEFA Europa League

Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers All markets FAQ

Universitatea Craiova face KuPS in the UEFA Europa League, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 54%, projecting a 1.6-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

KuPS +1.5 @ 1.67

85%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.63 – 1.17 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	7.1%	4.2%	1.6%	0.5%
1	9.9%	11.6%	6.8%	2.6%	0.8%
2	8.1%	9.5%	5.5%	2.2%	0.6%
3	4.4%	5.1%	3.0%	1.2%	0.3%
4	1.8%	2.1%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Universitatea Craiova winDrawKuPS win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is KuPS with a +1.5 start at odds 1.67, the selection our model is most confident in at 85%. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 54%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (55%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is KuPS or Draw at odds 3.00 (+96.5% model value).

Best value

KuPS or Draw at odds 3.00, 66% model probability, +96.5% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Universitatea Craiova 20%Draw 54%KuPS 25%

20%54%25%

54%

Draw

53%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS yes

+96.5%

Best value: KuPS or Draw

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Universitatea Craiova at 20% to win and KuPS at 25%, with the draw at 54%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	54%	4.35	+136.7%
KuPS Win	25%	9.40	+135.7%
Universitatea Craiova Win	20%	1.36	-72.1%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is KuPS or Draw at 3.00 (66% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
KuPS or Draw	66%	3.00	+96.5%
Universitatea Craiova or Draw	61%	1.05	-36.1%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 1.5	77%	1.28	-1.6%
Over 2.5	53%	1.83	-2.9%
Over 3.5	31%	3.10	-4.5%
Under 3.5	69%	1.36	-5.9%
Under 2.5	47%	1.95	-8.5%
Under 1.5	23%	3.65	-15.7%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	55%	2.05	+13.6%
BTTS No	45%	1.67	-25.6%

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Universitatea Craiova or KuPS is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
KuPS -0.25	46%	7.00	+219.9%
KuPS -0.5	39%	6.42	+151.3%
KuPS +0.25	59%	3.84	+126.2%
KuPS +0.5	66%	2.87	+88.2%
KuPS +0.75	70%	2.61	+83.8%
KuPS +1	75%	2.24	+68.5%
KuPS +1.25	80%	1.92	+53.7%
KuPS +1.5	85%	1.67	+42.5%
KuPS +1.75	88%	1.51	+32.8%
KuPS +2	90%	1.34	+20.7%
Universitatea Craiova +0.5	61%	1.09	-33.6%
Universitatea Craiova +0.25	54%	1.10	-40.3%
Universitatea Craiova 0	48%	1.14	-45.9%
Universitatea Craiova -0.25	41%	1.25	-48.6%
Universitatea Craiova -0.5	34%	1.38	-52.3%
Universitatea Craiova -0.75	30%	1.49	-56.1%
Universitatea Craiova -1	25%	1.63	-59.9%
Universitatea Craiova -1.25	20%	1.91	-62.4%
Universitatea Craiova -2	10%	3.19	-68.4%
Universitatea Craiova -1.5	15%	2.13	-68.4%
Universitatea Craiova -1.75	12%	2.49	-69.2%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	48%
GradientBoosting	Draw	64%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.25 for the home side, 1.35 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS?

Our main pick is KuPS with a +1.5 start at odds 1.67, with 85% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is KuPS or Draw at 3.00 (+96.5% value).

Who is the favourite for Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS?

Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 54%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline for Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS.

What is the predicted score for Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.63 for Universitatea Craiova and 1.17 for KuPS. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Universitatea Craiova and KuPS play?

Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.