Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova
Thu 13 Aug2-1Finished
KuPSKuPS

⚽ UEFA Europa League

Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Result: Universitatea Craiova 2-1 KuPS

Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS finished 2-1. Universitatea Craiova won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Universitatea Craiova face KuPS in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Universitatea Craiova won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 54%, projecting a 1.6-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
KuPS +2 @ 1.34
90%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.63 – 1.17 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 6.1% 7.1% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
1 9.9% 11.6% 6.8% 2.6% 0.8%
2 8.1% 9.5% 5.5% 2.2% 0.6%
3 4.4% 5.1% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3%
4 1.8% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
Universitatea Craiova winDrawKuPS win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is KuPS with a +2 start at odds 1.34, with a 90% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 54%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (55%).

📊 Key numbers

Universitatea Craiova 20%Draw 54%KuPS 25%
20%54%25%
54%
Draw
53%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Universitatea Craiova and KuPS. Wins shown from Universitatea Craiova’s perspective: Universitatea Craiova 1 · 1 drawn.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-08-13 Universitatea Craiova 2 – 1 KuPS W
2026-08-06 KuPS 1 – 1 Universitatea Craiova D

📈 Recent form

Universitatea Craiova

Universitatea Craiova come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to FCSB. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • WUniversitatea Craiova 5-0 FCSBLiga I
  • WCorvinul Hunedoara 0-1 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
  • WUniversitatea Craiova 4-0 Universitatea ClujLiga I
  • WFC Bacau 1-2 Universitatea CraiovaCupa României
  • DRapid 1-1 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
KuPS

KuPS come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at VPS. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Inter Turku.

  • WVPS 0-2 KuPSVeikkausliiga
  • DKuPS 0-0 HJK HelsinkiVeikkausliiga
  • DGnistan 1-1 KuPSVeikkausliiga
  • LInter Turku 1-0 KuPSVeikkausliiga
  • WKuPS 1-0 Shamrock RoversUEFA Europa Conference

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Universitatea Craiova at 20% to win and KuPS at 25%, with the draw at 54%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Draw 54% 21% @ 4.40
KuPS Win 25% 12% @ 7.50
Universitatea Craiova Win 20% 67% @ 1.38

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is KuPS or Draw at 2.70 (66% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
KuPS or Draw 66% 33% @ 2.70
Universitatea Craiova or Draw 61% 88% @ 1.06

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 77% 74% @ 1.25
Under 3.5 69% 69% @ 1.32
Over 2.5 53% 51% @ 1.80
Under 2.5 47% 49% @ 1.87
Over 3.5 31% 31% @ 3.00
Under 1.5 23% 26% @ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 55% 44% @ 2.07
BTTS No 45% 56% @ 1.64

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Universitatea Craiova or KuPS is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
KuPS +2 90% 70% @ 1.34
KuPS +1.75 88% 62% @ 1.51
KuPS +1.5 85% 56% @ 1.67
KuPS +1.25 80% 50% @ 1.92
KuPS +1 75% 42% @ 2.24
KuPS +0.75 70% 36% @ 2.61
KuPS +0.5 66% 32% @ 2.87
Universitatea Craiova +0.5 61% 85% 1.09
KuPS +0.25 59% 25% @ 3.84
Universitatea Craiova +0.25 54% 86% 1.10
Universitatea Craiova 0 48% – 1.14
KuPS -0.25 46% 14% @ 7.00
Universitatea Craiova -0.25 41% 75% 1.25
KuPS -0.5 39% 15% @ 6.42
Universitatea Craiova -0.5 34% 68% 1.38
Universitatea Craiova -0.75 30% 64% 1.49
Universitatea Craiova -1 25% 58% 1.63
Universitatea Craiova -1.25 20% 50% 1.91
Universitatea Craiova -1.5 15% 44% 2.13
Universitatea Craiova -1.75 12% 38% 2.49
Universitatea Craiova -2 10% 30% 3.19

📈 How the market moved

7%40%73%08/1108/1208/13

Universitatea Craiova 67%Draw 21%KuPS 12%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS?

Our model's main pick is KuPS with a +2 start at odds 1.34, with a 90% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

Who is the favourite for Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS?

Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 54%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline for Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS.

What is the predicted score for Universitatea Craiova vs KuPS?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.63 for Universitatea Craiova and 1.17 for KuPS. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Universitatea Craiova and KuPS play?

Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.