NSÍ Runavík

Thu 13 Aug2-2Finished

FC Lugano

⚽ UEFA Europa Conference League

NSÍ Runavík vs FC Lugano Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for NSÍ Runavík vs FC Lugano in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: NSÍ Runavík 2-2 FC Lugano

NSÍ Runavík vs FC Lugano finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

NSÍ Runavík face FC Lugano in the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League tips, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:30 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, FC Lugano won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a NSÍ Runavík win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.9-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for NSÍ Runavík vs FC Lugano with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.52

68%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.93 – 1.59 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.0%	4.7%	3.7%	2.0%	0.8%
1	5.7%	9.1%	7.2%	3.8%	1.5%
2	5.5%	8.8%	7.0%	3.7%	1.5%
3	3.5%	5.6%	4.5%	2.4%	0.9%
4	1.7%	2.7%	2.2%	1.1%	0.5%

Projected score: 1-1

NSÍ Runavík winDrawFC Lugano win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for NSÍ Runavík vs FC Lugano comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.52, with a 68% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a NSÍ Runavík win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points yes (68%).

📊 Key numbers

NSÍ Runavík 39%Draw 25%FC Lugano 36%

39%25%36%

39%

NSÍ Runavík Win

68%

Over 2.5 goals

68%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between NSÍ Runavík and FC Lugano. Wins shown from NSÍ Runavík’s perspective: 1 drawn · FC Lugano 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-13	NSÍ Runavík	2 – 2	FC Lugano	D
2026-08-06	FC Lugano	2 – 0	NSÍ Runavík	L

📈 Recent form

NSÍ Runavík

NSÍ Runavík come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to AB. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WB36 Torshavn 1-2 NSÍ RunavíkMeistaradeildin
DNSÍ Runavík 1-1 Vikingur GotaMeistaradeildin
WNSÍ Runavík 3-1 ABMeistaradeildin
DKÍ Klaksvík 2-2 NSÍ RunavíkMeistaradeildin
WNSÍ Runavík 4-2 EB / StreymurMeistaradeildin

FC Lugano

FC Lugano come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Lausanne. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WLausanne 0-4 FC LuganoSuper League
WFC Lugano 4-1 FC St. GallenSuper League
DFC Lugano 2-2 BSC Young BoysSuper League
WFC Basel 1893 1-3 FC LuganoSuper League
WFC Lugano 1-0 Servette FCSuper League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices NSÍ Runavík at 39% to win and FC Lugano at 36%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a NSÍ Runavík win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
NSÍ Runavík Win	39%	10%	@ 9.00
FC Lugano Win	36%	71%	@ 1.30
Draw	25%	18%	@ 5.10

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is NSÍ Runavík or Draw at 3.10 (65% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
NSÍ Runavík or Draw	65%	29%	@ 3.10
FC Lugano or Draw	62%	90%	@ 1.05

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 68% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	87%	80%	@ 1.15
Over 2.5	68%	60%	@ 1.52
Under 3.5	53%	60%	@ 1.52
Over 3.5	47%	40%	@ 2.30
Under 2.5	32%	40%	@ 2.30
Under 1.5	13%	20%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 68%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	68%	49%	@ 1.87
BTTS No	32%	51%	@ 1.80

📈 How the market moved

NSÍ Runavík 11%Draw 18%FC Lugano 71%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for NSÍ Runavík vs FC Lugano?

Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.52, with a 68% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 60%.

Who is the favourite for NSÍ Runavík vs FC Lugano?

Our model makes a NSÍ Runavík win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.6 scoreline for NSÍ Runavík vs FC Lugano.

What is the predicted score for NSÍ Runavík vs FC Lugano?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.93 for NSÍ Runavík and 1.59 for FC Lugano. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do NSÍ Runavík and FC Lugano play?

Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.