⚽ UEFA Europa League

Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers All markets FAQ

Vikingur Reykjavik face FC Thun in the UEFA Europa League, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:30 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 65%, projecting a 1.6-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

FC Thun +1.25 @ 1.25

78%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.63 – 1.17 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	7.1%	4.2%	1.6%	0.5%
1	9.9%	11.6%	6.8%	2.6%	0.8%
2	8.1%	9.5%	5.5%	2.2%	0.6%
3	4.4%	5.1%	3.0%	1.2%	0.3%
4	1.8%	2.1%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Vikingur Reykjavik winDrawFC Thun win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is FC Thun with a +1.25 start at odds 1.25, the selection our model is most confident in at 78%. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 65%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (55%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.65 (+14.2% model value).

Best value

Under 3.5 at odds 1.65, 69% model probability, +14.2% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Vikingur Reykjavik 19%Draw 65%FC Thun 16%

19%65%16%

65%

Draw

53%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS yes

+14.2%

Best value: Under 3.5

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Vikingur Reykjavik at 19% to win and FC Thun at 16%, with the draw at 65%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	65%	3.90	+154.6%
Vikingur Reykjavik Win	19%	2.42	-54.9%
FC Thun Win	16%	2.50	-59.8%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Vikingur Reykjavik or Draw at 1.50 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Vikingur Reykjavik or Draw	64%	1.50	-3.3%
FC Thun or Draw	62%	1.53	-5.2%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	23%	5.50	+27.1%
Under 2.5	47%	2.62	+23.0%
Under 3.5	69%	1.65	+14.2%
Over 1.5	77%	1.14	-12.3%
Over 2.5	53%	1.48	-21.5%
Over 3.5	31%	2.20	-32.2%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	45%	2.65	+18.1%
BTTS Yes	55%	1.40	-22.4%

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Vikingur Reykjavik or FC Thun is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
FC Thun -1	26%	4.17	+6.2%
FC Thun +1.5	83%	1.22	+0.6%
FC Thun +1.75	86%	1.17	+0.2%
FC Thun -0.25	42%	2.35	-0.8%
FC Thun +0.5	62%	1.59	-1.7%
FC Thun 0	49%	2.02	-1.7%
Vikingur Reykjavik +1.5	84%	1.16	-1.9%
FC Thun +0.75	67%	1.46	-2.3%
FC Thun +0.25	55%	1.76	-2.3%
Vikingur Reykjavik +1.75	87%	1.12	-2.5%
FC Thun +2	88%	1.10	-2.8%
FC Thun +1.25	78%	1.25	-3.0%
FC Thun -0.75	30%	3.15	-3.8%
Vikingur Reykjavik -1	28%	3.46	-4.3%
Vikingur Reykjavik +1.25	80%	1.20	-4.6%
Vikingur Reykjavik +0.5	64%	1.47	-5.4%
FC Thun +1	72%	1.30	-5.9%
Vikingur Reykjavik +0.75	70%	1.34	-6.5%
FC Thun -0.5	36%	2.60	-7.8%
Vikingur Reykjavik +0.25	58%	1.58	-8.2%
Vikingur Reykjavik -0.25	45%	2.04	-8.6%
Vikingur Reykjavik 0	51%	1.78	-8.6%
Vikingur Reykjavik +1	74%	1.23	-8.7%
FC Thun -1.25	20%	4.40	-9.9%
Vikingur Reykjavik -0.75	33%	2.69	-11.5%
Vikingur Reykjavik -0.5	38%	2.29	-12.9%
Vikingur Reykjavik -2	12%	7.00	-18.7%
FC Thun -1.75	13%	6.25	-19.2%
FC Thun -1.5	16%	4.70	-27.3%
Vikingur Reykjavik -1.75	14%	5.00	-28.0%
Vikingur Reykjavik -1.5	17%	3.95	-32.2%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	48%
GradientBoosting	Draw	79%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.32 for the home side, 1.27 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?

Our main pick is FC Thun with a +1.25 start at odds 1.25, with 78% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 3.5 goals at 1.65 (+14.2% value).

Who is the favourite for Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?

Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 65%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline for Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun.

What is the predicted score for Vikingur Reykjavik vs FC Thun?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.63 for Vikingur Reykjavik and 1.17 for FC Thun. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Vikingur Reykjavik and FC Thun play?

Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 17:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.