CSKA Sofia
Maccabi Tel Aviv⚽ UEFA Europa League
CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.
Result: CSKA Sofia 1-3 Maccabi Tel Aviv
CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv finished 1-3. Maccabi Tel Aviv won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
CSKA Sofia face Maccabi Tel Aviv in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 18:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, CSKA Sofia won 1, Maccabi Tel Aviv won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a CSKA Sofia win the most likely result at 63%, projecting a 1.7-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 7.6% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| 2 | 6.3% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| 3 | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is CSKA Sofia with a +0.75 start at odds 1.26, with a 86% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a CSKA Sofia win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 63%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (61%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between CSKA Sofia and Maccabi Tel Aviv. Wins shown from CSKA Sofia’s perspective: CSKA Sofia 1 · Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | CSKA Sofia | 1 – 3 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | L |
| 2026-08-06 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 0 – 3 | CSKA Sofia | W |
📈 Recent form
CSKA Sofia come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Arda Kardzhali. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at home to OFI.
- WCSKA Sofia 4-1 Arda KardzhaliFirst League
- WLevski Sofia 2-4 CSKA SofiaSuper Cup
- DSpartak Varna 1-1 CSKA SofiaFirst League
- WCSKA Sofia 3-1 Cherno More VarnaFirst League
- LCSKA Sofia 0-2 OFIUEFA Europa League
Maccabi Tel Aviv come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Hapoel Tel Aviv. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WMaccabi Netanya 1-2 Maccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'al
- WMaccabi Tel Aviv 4-1 Hapoel Tel AvivLigat Ha'al
- WHapoel Beer Sheva 1-4 Maccabi Tel AvivLigat Ha'al
- WMaccabi Tel Aviv 3-1 Maccabi HaifaLigat Ha'al
- DMaccabi Tel Aviv 1-1 FC LuganoUEFA Europa Conference
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices CSKA Sofia at 63% to win and Maccabi Tel Aviv at 19%, with the draw at 18%. Our model makes a CSKA Sofia win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Sofia Win | 63% | 41% | @ 2.25 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv Win | 19% | 30% | @ 3.10 |
| Draw | 18% | 29% | @ 3.15 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is CSKA Sofia or Draw at 1.30 (83% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Sofia or Draw | 83% | 70% | @ 1.30 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv or Draw | 39% | 59% | @ 1.55 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 68% | @ 1.35 |
| Under 3.5 | 63% | 75% | @ 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 44% | @ 2.07 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 56% | @ 1.65 |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 25% | @ 3.70 |
| Under 1.5 | 19% | 32% | @ 2.88 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 50% | @ 1.83 |
| BTTS No | 39% | 50% | @ 1.84 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when CSKA Sofia or Maccabi Tel Aviv is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Sofia +1.5 | 94% | 85% | @ 1.10 |
| CSKA Sofia +1.25 | 92% | 84% | @ 1.13 |
| CSKA Sofia +1 | 89% | – | @ 1.16 |
| CSKA Sofia +0.75 | 86% | 75% | @ 1.26 |
| CSKA Sofia +0.5 | 83% | 68% | @ 1.37 |
| CSKA Sofia +0.25 | 77% | 63% | @ 1.50 |
| CSKA Sofia 0 | 72% | 56% | @ 1.67 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv +1.75 | 68% | 85% | 1.12 |
| CSKA Sofia -0.25 | 66% | 47% | @ 2.03 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv +1.5 | 64% | 79% | 1.18 |
| CSKA Sofia -0.5 | 61% | 41% | @ 2.29 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv +1.25 | 58% | 77% | 1.22 |
| CSKA Sofia -0.75 | 55% | 34% | @ 2.79 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv +1 | 51% | 75% | 1.26 |
| CSKA Sofia -1 | 49% | 25% | @ 3.73 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv +0.75 | 45% | 66% | 1.43 |
| CSKA Sofia -1.25 | 42% | 23% | @ 4.19 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv +0.5 | 39% | 59% | 1.59 |
| CSKA Sofia -1.5 | 36% | 21% | @ 4.35 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv +0.25 | 34% | 53% | 1.79 |
| CSKA Sofia -1.75 | 32% | 15% | @ 6.25 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv 0 | 28% | 44% | 2.15 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv -0.25 | 23% | 37% | 2.54 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv -0.5 | 17% | 32% | 2.95 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv -0.75 | 14% | 25% | 3.73 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv -1.25 | 8% | 16% | 5.90 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv -1.5 | 6% | 15% | 6.17 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
Our model's main pick is CSKA Sofia with a +0.75 start at odds 1.26, with a 86% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
Our model makes a CSKA Sofia win the most likely result at 63%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.4 scoreline for CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv.
What is the predicted score for CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.66 for CSKA Sofia and 1.42 for Maccabi Tel Aviv. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do CSKA Sofia and Maccabi Tel Aviv play?
Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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