Thu 13 Aug3-2Finished

PAOK

⚽ UEFA Europa League

Anderlecht vs PAOK Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Anderlecht vs PAOK in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Anderlecht 3-2 PAOK

Anderlecht vs PAOK finished 3-2. Anderlecht won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Anderlecht face PAOK in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Anderlecht won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Anderlecht win the most likely result at 51%, projecting a 1.8-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Anderlecht vs PAOK with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Anderlecht +1 @ 1.26

84%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.81 – 1.19 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.0%	5.9%	3.5%	1.4%	0.4%
1	9.0%	10.7%	6.4%	2.5%	0.8%
2	8.2%	9.7%	5.8%	2.3%	0.7%
3	4.9%	5.9%	3.5%	1.4%	0.4%
4	2.2%	2.6%	1.6%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Anderlecht winDrawPAOK win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Anderlecht vs PAOK comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Anderlecht with a +1 start at odds 1.26, with a 84% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Anderlecht win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 51%. Goals lean over 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points yes (57%).

📊 Key numbers

Anderlecht 51%Draw 28%PAOK 21%

51%28%21%

51%

Anderlecht Win

58%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Anderlecht and PAOK. Wins shown from Anderlecht’s perspective: Anderlecht 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-13	Anderlecht	3 – 2	PAOK	W
2026-08-06	PAOK	0 – 1	Anderlecht	W

📈 Recent form

Anderlecht

Anderlecht come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 2. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Zulte Waregem. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Lyon.

WAnderlecht 3-0 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
LAnderlecht 1-2 LyonUEFA Europa League
WKV Mechelen 0-1 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
DAnderlecht 0-0 GenkJupiler Pro League
WAnderlecht 1-0 KortrijkJupiler Pro League

PAOK

PAOK come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Panetolikos. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Panathinaikos.

WPanetolikos 1-3 PAOKSuper League 1
WAtromitos 0-1 PAOKCup
WPAOK 2-0 Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1
LPanathinaikos 3-1 PAOKSuper League 1
DPAOK 0-0 OFICup

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Anderlecht at 51% to win and PAOK at 21%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes an Anderlecht win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Anderlecht Win	51%	30%	@ 3.05
Draw	28%	28%	@ 3.35
PAOK Win	21%	42%	@ 2.18

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Anderlecht or Draw at 1.58 (77% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Anderlecht or Draw	77%	58%	@ 1.58
PAOK or Draw	47%	70%	@ 1.30

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	80%	73%	@ 1.26
Under 3.5	65%	70%	@ 1.30
Over 2.5	58%	50%	@ 1.82
Under 2.5	42%	50%	@ 1.85
Over 3.5	35%	30%	@ 3.10
Under 1.5	20%	27%	@ 3.35

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	57%	55%	@ 1.66
BTTS No	43%	45%	@ 2.05

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Anderlecht or PAOK is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Anderlecht +1.75	93%	84%	@ 1.12
Anderlecht +1.5	92%	–	@ 1.19
Anderlecht +1.25	88%	77%	@ 1.23
Anderlecht +1	84%	75%	@ 1.26
Anderlecht +0.75	81%	65%	@ 1.45
Anderlecht +0.5	77%	58%	@ 1.62
PAOK +1.5	72%	–	1.10
Anderlecht +0.25	71%	52%	@ 1.82
PAOK +1.25	65%	84%	1.13
Anderlecht 0	65%	44%	@ 2.17
PAOK +1	59%	–	1.16
Anderlecht -0.25	59%	36%	@ 2.61
PAOK +0.75	53%	74%	1.27
Anderlecht -0.5	53%	32%	@ 2.96
PAOK +0.5	47%	68%	1.37
Anderlecht -0.75	47%	26%	@ 3.67
PAOK +0.25	41%	64%	1.49
PAOK 0	35%	56%	1.67
Anderlecht -1.25	35%	16%	@ 5.90
PAOK -0.25	29%	48%	2.00
PAOK -0.5	23%	42%	2.22
PAOK -0.75	19%	35%	2.73
PAOK -1	16%	25%	3.71
PAOK -1.25	12%	23%	4.16
PAOK -1.75	7%	16%	6.00

📈 How the market moved

Anderlecht 31%Draw 28%PAOK 41%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Anderlecht vs PAOK?

Our model's main pick is Anderlecht with a +1 start at odds 1.26, with a 84% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.

Who is the favourite for Anderlecht vs PAOK?

Our model makes an Anderlecht win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.2 scoreline for Anderlecht vs PAOK.

What is the predicted score for Anderlecht vs PAOK?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.81 for Anderlecht and 1.19 for PAOK. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Anderlecht and PAOK play?

Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.