vs
⚽ UEFA Europa League
Anderlecht vs PAOK Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Anderlecht vs PAOK in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.
Result: Anderlecht 3-2 PAOK
Anderlecht vs PAOK finished 3-2. Anderlecht won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Anderlecht face PAOK in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Anderlecht won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Anderlecht win the most likely result at 51%, projecting a 1.8-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Anderlecht vs PAOK with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 8.2% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Anderlecht vs PAOK is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Anderlecht to win or draw at odds 1.62, the selection our model is most confident in at 77%. On the match result, the model rates an Anderlecht win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 51%. Goals lean over 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points yes (57%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Anderlecht to win at odds 2.96 (+56.4% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Anderlecht and PAOK. Wins shown from Anderlecht’s perspective: Anderlecht 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Anderlecht | 3 – 2 | PAOK | W |
| 2026-08-06 | PAOK | 0 – 1 | Anderlecht | W |
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Anderlecht at 51% to win and PAOK at 21%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes an Anderlecht win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht Win | 51% | 2.74 | +39.2% |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 | -2.3% |
| PAOK Win | 21% | 2.40 | -49.9% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Anderlecht or Draw at 1.55 (77% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht or Draw | 77% | 1.55 | +19.5% |
| PAOK or Draw | 47% | 1.42 | -32.9% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 58% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 3.25 | +14.6% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.90 | +9.6% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 1.28 | +2.5% |
| Under 3.5 | 65% | 1.33 | -13.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 1.85 | -21.7% |
| Under 1.5 | 20% | 3.55 | -29.3% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 | -5.1% |
| BTTS No | 43% | 2.05 | -11.5% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Anderlecht or PAOK is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht -1.25 | 35% | 5.90 | +104.0% |
| Anderlecht -0.75 | 47% | 3.67 | +71.4% |
| Anderlecht -0.5 | 53% | 2.96 | +56.4% |
| Anderlecht -0.25 | 59% | 2.61 | +53.6% |
| Anderlecht 0 | 65% | 2.17 | +40.7% |
| Anderlecht +0.25 | 71% | 1.82 | +29.3% |
| Anderlecht +0.5 | 77% | 1.62 | +24.9% |
| Anderlecht +0.75 | 81% | 1.45 | +16.7% |
| Anderlecht +1.5 | 92% | 1.19 | +9.2% |
| Anderlecht +1.25 | 88% | 1.23 | +7.9% |
| Anderlecht +1 | 84% | 1.26 | +6.8% |
| Anderlecht +1.75 | 93% | 1.12 | +4.5% |
| PAOK +1.5 | 72% | 1.10 | -21.4% |
| PAOK +1.25 | 65% | 1.13 | -26.1% |
| PAOK +1 | 59% | 1.16 | -31.1% |
| PAOK +0.75 | 53% | 1.27 | -32.3% |
| PAOK +0.5 | 47% | 1.37 | -35.4% |
| PAOK +0.25 | 41% | 1.49 | -38.9% |
| PAOK 0 | 35% | 1.67 | -41.3% |
| PAOK -0.25 | 29% | 2.00 | -41.9% |
| PAOK -1 | 16% | 3.71 | -42.4% |
| PAOK -0.75 | 19% | 2.73 | -47.4% |
| PAOK -0.5 | 23% | 2.22 | -49.1% |
| PAOK -1.25 | 12% | 4.16 | -50.5% |
| PAOK -1.75 | 7% | 6.00 | -59.6% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Anderlecht vs PAOK?
Our main pick is Anderlecht to win or draw at odds 1.62, with 77% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Anderlecht to win at 2.96 (+56.4% value).
Who is the favourite for Anderlecht vs PAOK?
Our model makes an Anderlecht win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.2 scoreline for Anderlecht vs PAOK.
What is the predicted score for Anderlecht vs PAOK?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.81 for Anderlecht and 1.19 for PAOK. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Anderlecht and PAOK play?
Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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AnnecyAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.