⚽ UEFA Europa League
Rangers vs Jagiellonia Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Rangers vs Jagiellonia in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 13 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.
Result: Rangers 1-1 Jagiellonia
Rangers vs Jagiellonia finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Rangers face Jagiellonia in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 13 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Jagiellonia won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Rangers win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.2-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Rangers vs Jagiellonia with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.2% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 13.2% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 7.7% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Rangers vs Jagiellonia comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Jagiellonia with a +1.75 start at odds 1.37, with a 83% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Rangers win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean under 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points no (54%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Rangers and Jagiellonia. Wins shown from Rangers’s perspective: 1 drawn · Jagiellonia 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Rangers | 1 – 1 | Jagiellonia | D |
| 2026-08-06 | Jagiellonia | 2 – 1 | Rangers | L |
📈 Recent form
Rangers come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 1. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Celtic. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WCeltic 0-1 RangersPremiership
- WRangers 3-0 CelticLeague Cup
- WRangers 1-0 St MirrenPremiership
- WRangers 1-0 MotherwellPremiership
- WFalkirk 1-2 RangersPremiership
Jagiellonia come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Slask Wroclaw. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Legia Warszawa.
- LJagiellonia 1-3 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa
- LOlympiakos Piraeus 2-1 JagielloniaUEFA Europa League
- LWisla Krakow 2-0 JagielloniaEkstraklasa
- WJagiellonia 2-1 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
- LLech Poznan 2-1 JagielloniaEkstraklasa
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Rangers at 41% to win and Jagiellonia at 30%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Rangers win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers Win | 41% | 62% | @ 1.49 |
| Jagiellonia Win | 30% | 15% | @ 6.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 23% | @ 4.10 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Rangers or Draw at 1.09 (69% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers or Draw | 69% | 85% | @ 1.09 |
| Jagiellonia or Draw | 57% | 38% | @ 2.40 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 60% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 80% | 65% | @ 1.40 |
| Over 1.5 | 66% | 76% | @ 1.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 60% | 45% | @ 2.04 |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 55% | @ 1.67 |
| Under 1.5 | 34% | 24% | @ 3.90 |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 35% | @ 2.65 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 54%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 54% | 49% | @ 1.89 |
| BTTS Yes | 46% | 51% | @ 1.78 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Rangers or Jagiellonia is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jagiellonia +2 | 86% | 77% | @ 1.24 |
| Jagiellonia +1.75 | 83% | 69% | @ 1.37 |
| Jagiellonia +1.5 | 80% | 62% | @ 1.52 |
| Jagiellonia +1.25 | 74% | 58% | @ 1.63 |
| Rangers +0.75 | 73% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Rangers +0.5 | 69% | 83% | 1.13 |
| Jagiellonia +1 | 68% | 51% | @ 1.85 |
| Jagiellonia +0.75 | 63% | 44% | @ 2.17 |
| Rangers +0.25 | 62% | 79% | 1.19 |
| Jagiellonia +0.5 | 57% | 38% | @ 2.44 |
| Rangers 0 | 56% | 78% | 1.22 |
| Jagiellonia +0.25 | 51% | 32% | @ 2.98 |
| Rangers -0.25 | 49% | 68% | 1.39 |
| Jagiellonia 0 | 44% | 22% | @ 4.24 |
| Rangers -0.5 | 43% | 62% | 1.51 |
| Jagiellonia -0.25 | 38% | 21% | @ 4.57 |
| Rangers -0.75 | 37% | 56% | 1.68 |
| Rangers -1 | 32% | 49% | 1.95 |
| Jagiellonia -0.5 | 31% | 17% | @ 5.35 |
| Jagiellonia -0.75 | 27% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Rangers -1.25 | 26% | 42% | 2.25 |
| Rangers -1.5 | 20% | 38% | 2.44 |
| Rangers -1.75 | 17% | 31% | 3.04 |
| Rangers -2 | 14% | 23% | 4.03 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Rangers vs Jagiellonia?
Our model's main pick is Jagiellonia with a +1.75 start at odds 1.37, with a 83% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 69%.
Who is the favourite for Rangers vs Jagiellonia?
Our model makes a Rangers win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.1 scoreline for Rangers vs Jagiellonia.
What is the predicted score for Rangers vs Jagiellonia?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.23 for Rangers and 1.05 for Jagiellonia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Rangers and Jagiellonia play?
Kick-off is Thursday 13 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.


