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⚽ Bundesliga

1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04 Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 24 October 2026, 13:30 UTC.

1. FC Köln face FC Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 24 October 2026, 13:30 UTC. Recent form: 1. FC Köln have 1 win from their last 5, while FC Schalke 04 have 1 win from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Schalke 04 win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.7-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04 with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
FC Schalke 04 or Draw @ 1.80
69%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.70 – 1.60 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 3.7% 5.9% 4.7% 2.5% 1.0%
1 6.3% 10.0% 8.0% 4.3% 1.7%
2 5.3% 8.5% 6.8% 3.6% 1.5%
3 3.0% 4.8% 3.9% 2.1% 0.8%
4 1.3% 2.1% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4%
Projected score: 1-1
1. FC Köln winDrawFC Schalke 04 win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04 comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is FC Schalke 04 or Draw at odds 1.80, with a 69% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FC Schalke 04 win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean over 2.5 (64%), both teams to score points yes (65%).

📊 Key numbers

1. FC Köln 29%Draw 30%FC Schalke 04 41%
29%30%41%
41%
FC Schalke 04 Win
64%
Over 2.5 goals
65%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

1. FC Köln

1. FC Köln come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Borussia Mönchengladbach. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Eintracht Frankfurt.

  • LEintracht Frankfurt 1-0 1. FC KölnBundesliga
  • W1. FC Köln 2-1 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
  • DFC Viktoria Köln 2-2 1. FC KölnFriendlies Clubs
  • LHamburger SV 2-1 1. FC KölnBundesliga
  • D1. FC Köln 1-1 Werder BremenBundesliga
FC Schalke 04

FC Schalke 04 come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Union Berlin. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to FSV Mainz 05.

  • LFC Schalke 04 0-1 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
  • LSC Freiburg 2-1 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
  • WAustria Lustenau 0-1 FC Schalke 04Friendlies Clubs
  • DFC Schalke 04 0-0 SV ElversbergBundesliga
  • WUnion Berlin 1-3 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices 1. FC Köln at 29% to win and FC Schalke 04 at 41%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a FC Schalke 04 win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
FC Schalke 04 Win 41% 29% @ 3.20
Draw 30% 24% @ 4.00
1. FC Köln Win 29% 47% @ 2.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Schalke 04 or Draw at 1.80 (69% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
FC Schalke 04 or Draw 69% 53% @ 1.80
1. FC Köln or Draw 57% 71% @ 1.36

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 64% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 84% 81% @ 1.17
Over 2.5 64% 60% @ 1.57
Under 3.5 58% 62% @ 1.53
Over 3.5 42% 38% @ 2.50
Under 2.5 36% 40% @ 2.38
Under 1.5 16% 19% @ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 65% 61% @ 1.53
BTTS No 35% 39% @ 2.38

📈 How the market moved

20%36%51%10/1910/2010/2110/22

1. FC Köln 47%Draw 24%FC Schalke 04 29%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04?

Our model's pick is FC Schalke 04 or Draw at odds 1.80, with a 69% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 53%.

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04?

Our model makes a FC Schalke 04 win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.6 scoreline for 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04.

What is the predicted score for 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.70 for 1. FC Köln and 1.60 for FC Schalke 04. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do 1. FC Köln and FC Schalke 04 play?

Kick-off is Saturday 24 October 2026, 13:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.