Sat 12 Sep1-1Finished

⚽ Bundesliga

1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: 1. FC Köln 1-1 Werder Bremen

1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, Werder Bremen or Draw at 1.80, landed.

1. FC Köln face Werder Bremen in the upcoming Bundesliga tips, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: 1. FC Köln have 1 win from their last 5, while Werder Bremen have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, 1. FC Köln won 1, Werder Bremen won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Werder Bremen win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.6-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Werder Bremen +1.5 @ 1.29

85%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.65 – 1.55 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.1%	6.3%	4.9%	2.5%	1.0%
1	6.7%	10.4%	8.1%	4.2%	1.6%
2	5.5%	8.6%	6.7%	3.4%	1.3%
3	3.1%	4.7%	3.7%	1.9%	0.7%
4	1.3%	2.0%	1.5%	0.8%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

1. FC Köln winDrawWerder Bremen win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Werder Bremen with a +1.5 start at odds 1.29, with a 85% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Werder Bremen win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (64%).

📊 Key numbers

1. FC Köln 34%Draw 28%Werder Bremen 38%

34%28%38%

38%

Werder Bremen Win

62%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between 1. FC Köln and Werder Bremen. Wins shown from 1. FC Köln’s perspective: 1. FC Köln 1 · 2 drawn · Werder Bremen 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-12	1. FC Köln	1 – 1	Werder Bremen	D
2026-04-12	1. FC Köln	3 – 1	Werder Bremen	W
2025-11-29	Werder Bremen	1 – 1	1. FC Köln	D
2024-02-16	1. FC Köln	0 – 1	Werder Bremen	L
2023-09-23	Werder Bremen	2 – 1	1. FC Köln	L

📈 Recent form

1. FC Köln

1. FC Köln come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Hoffenheim. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Hamburger SV.

LHamburger SV 2-1 1. FC KölnBundesliga
D1. FC Köln 1-1 Werder BremenBundesliga
LVfB Stuttgart 4-1 1. FC KölnBundesliga
W1. FC Köln 3-2 HoffenheimBundesliga
WWürzburger Kickers 1-2 1. FC KölnDFB Pokal

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 8. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Lüneburger SK Hansa. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-4 at SC Freiburg.

WWerder Bremen 3-2 FC AugsburgBundesliga
D1. FC Köln 1-1 Werder BremenBundesliga
WWerder Bremen 3-1 RB LeipzigBundesliga
LSC Freiburg 4-1 Werder BremenBundesliga
WLüneburger SK Hansa 0-3 Werder BremenDFB Pokal

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

1. FC Köln

T. HubersKnee Injury

Werder Bremen

F. AguCalf Injury
S. LynenHip Injury
J. NjinmahThigh Injury
J. StageMuscle Injury
K. ToppKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices 1. FC Köln at 34% to win and Werder Bremen at 38%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Werder Bremen win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Werder Bremen Win	38%	29%	@ 3.30
1. FC Köln Win	34%	46%	@ 2.05
Draw	28%	25%	@ 3.80

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Werder Bremen or Draw at 1.73 (65% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Werder Bremen or Draw	65%	54%	@ 1.73
1. FC Köln or Draw	61%	71%	@ 1.33

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	83%	81%	@ 1.17
Over 2.5	62%	60%	@ 1.57
Under 3.5	60%	59%	@ 1.62
Over 3.5	40%	41%	@ 2.30
Under 2.5	38%	40%	@ 2.38
Under 1.5	17%	19%	@ 5.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	64%	62%	@ 1.50
BTTS No	36%	38%	@ 2.50

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when 1. FC Köln or Werder Bremen is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Werder Bremen +2	90%	86%	1.11
Werder Bremen +1.75	87%	79%	@ 1.19
1. FC Köln +1.75	85%	86%	1.10
Werder Bremen +1.5	85%	74%	@ 1.29
1. FC Köln +1.5	82%	85%	1.12
Werder Bremen +1.25	80%	72%	@ 1.33
1. FC Köln +1.25	77%	84%	1.13
Werder Bremen +1	75%	68%	@ 1.41
1. FC Köln +1	72%	83%	1.14
Werder Bremen +0.75	70%	60%	@ 1.59
1. FC Köln +0.75	67%	77%	1.25
Werder Bremen +0.5	65%	54%	@ 1.77
1. FC Köln +0.5	61%	71%	1.35
Werder Bremen +0.25	58%	47%	@ 2.04
1. FC Köln +0.25	55%	67%	1.43
Werder Bremen 0	52%	39%	@ 2.46
1. FC Köln 0	48%	61%	1.56
Werder Bremen -0.25	45%	33%	@ 2.85
1. FC Köln -0.25	42%	53%	1.83
Werder Bremen -0.5	39%	29%	@ 3.23
1. FC Köln -0.5	35%	46%	2.08
Werder Bremen -0.75	33%	23%	@ 4.08
1. FC Köln -0.75	30%	40%	2.40
Werder Bremen -1	28%	17%	@ 5.75
1. FC Köln -1	25%	32%	2.94
Werder Bremen -1.25	23%	16%	@ 5.90
1. FC Köln -1.25	20%	28%	3.36
Werder Bremen -1.5	18%	15%	@ 6.40
1. FC Köln -1.5	15%	26%	3.62
Werder Bremen -1.75	15%	14%	@ 7.00
1. FC Köln -1.75	13%	21%	4.50
1. FC Köln -2	10%	14%	6.60

📈 How the market moved

1. FC Köln 46%Draw 25%Werder Bremen 29%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen?

Our model's main pick is Werder Bremen with a +1.5 start at odds 1.29, with a 85% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen?

Our model makes a Werder Bremen win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.6 scoreline for 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen.

What is the predicted score for 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.65 for 1. FC Köln and 1.55 for Werder Bremen. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do 1. FC Köln and Werder Bremen play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.