⚽ Bundesliga

1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

1. FC Köln face Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: 1. FC Köln have 1 win from their last 5, while Werder Bremen have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, 1. FC Köln won 1, Werder Bremen won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Werder Bremen win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.6-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Werder Bremen or Draw @ 1.73

65%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.65 – 1.55 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.1%	6.3%	4.9%	2.5%	1.0%
1	6.7%	10.4%	8.1%	4.2%	1.6%
2	5.5%	8.6%	6.7%	3.4%	1.3%
3	3.1%	4.7%	3.7%	1.9%	0.7%
4	1.3%	2.0%	1.5%	0.8%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

1. FC Köln winDrawWerder Bremen win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Werder Bremen or Draw at odds 1.73, the selection our model is most confident in at 65%. On the match result, the model rates a Werder Bremen win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean over 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points yes (64%).

Best value

Werder Bremen or Draw at odds 1.73, 65% model probability, +12.4% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

1. FC Köln 34%Draw 28%Werder Bremen 38%

34%28%38%

38%

Werder Bremen Win

62%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

BTTS yes

+12.4%

Best value: Werder Bremen or Draw

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between 1. FC Köln and Werder Bremen. Wins shown from 1. FC Köln’s perspective: 1. FC Köln 1 · 1 drawn · Werder Bremen 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-04-12	1. FC Köln	3 – 1	Werder Bremen	W
2025-11-29	Werder Bremen	1 – 1	1. FC Köln	D
2024-02-16	1. FC Köln	0 – 1	Werder Bremen	L
2023-09-23	Werder Bremen	2 – 1	1. FC Köln	L

📈 Recent form

1. FC Köln

1. FC Köln come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to 1899 Hoffenheim. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-4 at VfB Stuttgart.

LVfB Stuttgart 4-1 1. FC KölnBundesliga
W1. FC Köln 3-2 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
WWürzburger Kickers 1-2 1. FC KölnDFB Pokal
W1. FC Köln 2-1 Real SociedadFriendlies Clubs
D1. FC Köln 2-2 Hertha BSCFriendlies Clubs

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Lüneburger SK Hansa. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at SC Freiburg.

WWerder Bremen 3-1 RB LeipzigBundesliga
LSC Freiburg 4-1 Werder BremenBundesliga
WLüneburger SK Hansa 0-3 Werder BremenDFB Pokal
LWerder Bremen 0-1 AuxerreFriendlies Clubs
DWerder Bremen 2-2 SC Paderborn 07Friendlies Clubs

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

1. FC Köln

T. HubersKnee Injury
S. El MalaIllness
S. SebulonsenMuscle Injury
L. WaldschmidtMuscle Injury

Werder Bremen

F. AguCalf Injury
J. NjinmahThigh Injury
J. StageMuscle Injury
K. ToppKnee Injury
E. DinkciInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices 1. FC Köln at 34% to win and Werder Bremen at 38%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Werder Bremen win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Werder Bremen Win	38%	@ 3.30	+24.3%
Draw	28%	@ 3.80	+7.2%
1. FC Köln Win	34%	@ 2.05	-30.1%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Werder Bremen or Draw at 1.73 (65% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Werder Bremen or Draw	65%	@ 1.73	+12.4%
1. FC Köln or Draw	61%	@ 1.33	-18.3%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 3.5	60%	@ 1.62	-2.4%
Over 1.5	83%	@ 1.17	-3.0%
Under 2.5	38%	@ 2.50	-5.0%
Over 2.5	62%	@ 1.53	-5.1%
Over 3.5	40%	@ 2.30	-8.6%
Under 1.5	17%	@ 5.00	-14.4%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	64%	@ 1.50	-4.4%
BTTS No	36%	@ 2.50	-9.3%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen?

Our main pick is Werder Bremen or Draw at odds 1.73, with 65% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen?

Our model makes a Werder Bremen win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.6 scoreline for 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen.

What is the predicted score for 1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.65 for 1. FC Köln and 1.55 for Werder Bremen. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do 1. FC Köln and Werder Bremen play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.