Sun 6 Sep2-3Finished

⚽ Eredivisie

ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 14:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: ADO Den Haag 2-3 Fortuna Sittard

ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard finished 2-3. Fortuna Sittard won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

ADO Den Haag face Fortuna Sittard in the upcoming Eredivisie tips, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 14:45 UTC. Recent form: ADO Den Haag have no wins from their last 4, while Fortuna Sittard have 2 wins from their last 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Fortuna Sittard win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 1.4-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Fortuna Sittard +1.5 @ 1.27

87%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.43 – 1.95 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.4%	6.6%	6.5%	4.2%	2.1%
1	4.9%	9.5%	9.3%	6.0%	2.9%
2	3.5%	6.8%	6.6%	4.3%	2.1%
3	1.7%	3.2%	3.2%	2.1%	1.0%
4	0.6%	1.2%	1.1%	0.7%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-1

ADO Den Haag winDrawFortuna Sittard win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Fortuna Sittard with a +1.5 start at odds 1.27, with a 87% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Fortuna Sittard win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean over 2.5 (66%), both teams to score points yes (66%).

📊 Key numbers

ADO Den Haag 31%Draw 27%Fortuna Sittard 42%

31%27%42%

42%

Fortuna Sittard Win

66%

Over 2.5 goals

66%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

ADO Den Haag

ADO Den Haag come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 11. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Twente.

DADO Den Haag 1-1 CambuurEredivisie
LTwente 2-0 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
LADO Den Haag 2-3 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
DFeyenoord 2-2 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
LGo Ahead Eagles 3-1 ADO Den HaagEredivisie

Fortuna Sittard

Fortuna Sittard come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Willem II. Their most recent defeat was 1-5 at home to Ajax.

WWillem II 0-1 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
LFortuna Sittard 1-5 AjaxEredivisie
WADO Den Haag 2-3 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
WGroningen 2-3 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
LFortuna Sittard 0-2 AZ AlkmaarEredivisie

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

ADO Den Haag

D. BaranyKnee Injury
C. PeupionKnee Injury

Fortuna Sittard

R. BayramKnee Injury
I. MarquezInjury
K. PetersonNot in squad
O. RomenyNot in squad
S. SimonsHamstring Injury
S. WylinInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices ADO Den Haag at 31% to win and Fortuna Sittard at 42%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Fortuna Sittard win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Fortuna Sittard Win	42%	30%	@ 3.10
ADO Den Haag Win	31%	45%	@ 2.05
Draw	27%	25%	@ 3.80

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Fortuna Sittard or Draw at 1.74 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Fortuna Sittard or Draw	68%	55%	@ 1.74
ADO Den Haag or Draw	58%	70%	@ 1.35

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 66% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	85%	85%	@ 1.11
Over 2.5	66%	66%	@ 1.43
Under 3.5	56%	55%	@ 1.72
Over 3.5	44%	45%	@ 2.10
Under 2.5	34%	34%	@ 2.75
Under 1.5	15%	15%	@ 6.10

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	66%	67%	@ 1.38
BTTS No	34%	33%	@ 2.80

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when ADO Den Haag or Fortuna Sittard is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Fortuna Sittard +2	91%	85%	@ 1.12
Fortuna Sittard +1.75	89%	79%	@ 1.20
Fortuna Sittard +1.5	87%	74%	@ 1.27
Fortuna Sittard +1.25	82%	71%	@ 1.33
ADO Den Haag +1.5	80%	84%	1.13
Fortuna Sittard +1	78%	68%	@ 1.41
ADO Den Haag +1.25	74%	83%	1.15
Fortuna Sittard +0.75	73%	60%	@ 1.59
ADO Den Haag +1	69%	82%	1.16
Fortuna Sittard +0.5	68%	55%	@ 1.75
ADO Den Haag +0.75	64%	75%	1.27
Fortuna Sittard +0.25	62%	48%	@ 2.01
ADO Den Haag +0.5	58%	69%	1.39
Fortuna Sittard 0	55%	40%	@ 2.38
ADO Den Haag +0.25	51%	65%	1.47
Fortuna Sittard -0.25	49%	35%	@ 2.73
ADO Den Haag 0	45%	60%	1.60
Fortuna Sittard -0.5	42%	31%	@ 3.06
ADO Den Haag -0.25	38%	52%	1.84
Fortuna Sittard -0.75	36%	25%	@ 3.78
ADO Den Haag -0.5	32%	45%	2.10
Fortuna Sittard -1	31%	18%	@ 5.25
ADO Den Haag -0.75	27%	40%	2.40
Fortuna Sittard -1.25	26%	17%	@ 5.50
ADO Den Haag -1	22%	32%	2.92
Fortuna Sittard -1.5	20%	16%	@ 5.90
ADO Den Haag -1.25	18%	29%	3.33
ADO Den Haag -1.5	13%	26%	3.55
ADO Den Haag -1.75	11%	21%	4.40
ADO Den Haag -2	9%	15%	6.40

📈 How the market moved

ADO Den Haag 46%Draw 24%Fortuna Sittard 30%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard?

Our model's main pick is Fortuna Sittard with a +1.5 start at odds 1.27, with a 87% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard?

Our model makes a Fortuna Sittard win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.9 scoreline for ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard.

What is the predicted score for ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.43 for ADO Den Haag and 1.95 for Fortuna Sittard. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do ADO Den Haag and Fortuna Sittard play?

Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 14:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.