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⚽ Eredivisie

ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Saturday 24 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

ADO Den Haag face Heerenveen in the Eredivisie, kicking off Saturday 24 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: ADO Den Haag have 1 win from their last 5, while Heerenveen have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Heerenveen win the most likely result at 50%, projecting a 1.4-2.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Heerenveen or Draw @ 1.36

74%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.37 – 2.14 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.0%	6.4%	6.8%	4.9%	2.6%
1	4.1%	8.8%	9.4%	6.7%	3.6%
2	2.8%	6.0%	6.4%	4.6%	2.5%
3	1.3%	2.7%	2.9%	2.1%	1.1%
4	0.4%	0.9%	1.0%	0.7%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-2

ADO Den Haag winDrawHeerenveen win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Heerenveen or Draw at odds 1.36, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Heerenveen win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 50%. Goals lean over 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points yes (65%).

📊 Key numbers

ADO Den Haag 27%Draw 24%Heerenveen 50%

27%24%50%

50%

Heerenveen Win

68%

Over 2.5 goals

65%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

ADO Den Haag

ADO Den Haag come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 9. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to PSV Eindhoven. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Twente.

WADO Den Haag 2-1 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
DTelstar 2-2 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
DADO Den Haag 1-1 CambuurEredivisie
LTwente 2-0 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
LADO Den Haag 2-3 Fortuna SittardEredivisie

Heerenveen

Heerenveen come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Excelsior. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at PSV Eindhoven.

WHeerenveen 4-0 ExcelsiorEredivisie
LPSV Eindhoven 2-0 HeerenveenEredivisie
WSparta Rotterdam 0-4 HeerenveenEredivisie
DHeerenveen 0-0 TelstarEredivisie
LHeerenveen 2-3 AZ AlkmaarEredivisie

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices ADO Den Haag at 27% to win and Heerenveen at 50%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Heerenveen win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Heerenveen Win	50%	46%	@ 2.05
ADO Den Haag Win	27%	29%	@ 3.30
Draw	24%	25%	@ 3.80

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Heerenveen or Draw at 1.36 (74% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Heerenveen or Draw	74%	71%	@ 1.36
ADO Den Haag or Draw	51%	54%	@ 1.73

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-2.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 68% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	86%	84%	@ 1.12
Over 2.5	68%	64%	@ 1.48
Under 3.5	54%	56%	@ 1.67
Over 3.5	46%	44%	@ 2.10
Under 2.5	32%	36%	@ 2.60
Under 1.5	14%	16%	@ 6.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	65%	65%	@ 1.44
BTTS No	35%	35%	@ 2.62

📈 How the market moved

ADO Den Haag 28%Draw 25%Heerenveen 47%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen?

Our model's pick is Heerenveen or Draw at odds 1.36, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.

Who is the favourite for ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen?

Our model makes a Heerenveen win the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 1.4-2.1 scoreline for ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen.

What is the predicted score for ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.37 for ADO Den Haag and 2.14 for Heerenveen. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do ADO Den Haag and Heerenveen play?

Kick-off is Saturday 24 October 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.