⚽ Jupiler Pro League

Anderlecht vs Genk Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Anderlecht vs Genk in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Anderlecht face Genk in the Jupiler Pro League, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Anderlecht have 1 win from their last 3, while Genk have 2 wins from their last 4. In their last 5 meetings, Anderlecht won 1, Genk won 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Anderlecht win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.6-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Anderlecht vs Genk with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Anderlecht or Draw @ 1.49

64%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.57 – 1.55 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.4%	6.8%	5.3%	2.7%	1.1%
1	6.9%	10.7%	8.3%	4.3%	1.7%
2	5.4%	8.4%	6.5%	3.4%	1.3%
3	2.8%	4.4%	3.4%	1.8%	0.7%
4	1.1%	1.7%	1.3%	0.7%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-1

Anderlecht winDrawGenk win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Anderlecht vs Genk is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Anderlecht or Draw at odds 1.49, the selection our model is most confident in at 64%. On the match result, the model rates an Anderlecht win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean over 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points yes (62%).

Best value

Anderlecht or Draw at odds 1.49, 64% model probability, -4.8% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Anderlecht 38%Draw 25%Genk 37%

38%25%37%

38%

Anderlecht Win

60%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

BTTS yes

-4.8%

Best value: Anderlecht or Draw

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Anderlecht and Genk. Wins shown from Anderlecht’s perspective: Anderlecht 1 · Genk 4.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2025-05-25	Genk	2 – 1	Anderlecht	L
2025-04-06	Anderlecht	1 – 2	Genk	L
2024-12-22	Genk	2 – 0	Anderlecht	L
2024-09-17	Anderlecht	0 – 2	Genk	L
2024-05-11	Anderlecht	2 – 1	Genk	W

📈 Recent form

Anderlecht

Anderlecht come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Kairat Almaty. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Union St. Gilloise.

WAnderlecht 1-0 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
LUnion St. Gilloise 3-0 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
WAnderlecht 3-0 Kairat AlmatyUEFA Europa League
WKairat Almaty 0-3 AnderlechtUEFA Europa League
LSK Beveren 1-0 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League

Genk

Genk come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 9. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to SK Beveren. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Zulte Waregem.

WGenk 4-0 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
DAntwerp 4-4 GenkJupiler Pro League
WGenk 3-2 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
LZulte Waregem 2-1 GenkJupiler Pro League
WGenk 2-1 TwenteFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Anderlecht at 38% to win and Genk at 37%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes an Anderlecht win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Anderlecht Win	38%	@ 2.50	-4.7%
Genk Win	37%	@ 2.55	-6.1%
Draw	25%	@ 3.60	-9.7%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Anderlecht or Draw at 1.49 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Anderlecht or Draw	64%	@ 1.49	-4.8%
Genk or Draw	63%	@ 1.50	-6.1%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 1.5	82%	@ 1.16	-5.1%
Under 3.5	62%	@ 1.53	-5.1%
Over 2.5	60%	@ 1.56	-5.9%
Under 2.5	40%	@ 2.33	-7.5%
Over 3.5	38%	@ 2.43	-7.8%
Under 1.5	18%	@ 4.80	-12.7%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 62%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	38%	@ 2.48	-6.9%
BTTS Yes	62%	@ 1.46	-8.8%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	45%
Dixon-Coles	Away	43%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.31 for the home side, 1.28 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Anderlecht vs Genk?

Our main pick is Anderlecht or Draw at odds 1.49, with 64% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Anderlecht vs Genk?

Our model makes an Anderlecht win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.6 scoreline for Anderlecht vs Genk.

What is the predicted score for Anderlecht vs Genk?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.57 for Anderlecht and 1.55 for Genk. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Anderlecht and Genk play?

Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.