Sun 6 Sep0-0Finished

⚽ Jupiler Pro League

Anderlecht vs Genk Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Anderlecht vs Genk in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Result: Anderlecht 0-0 Genk

Anderlecht vs Genk finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Anderlecht face Genk in the upcoming Jupiler Pro League tips, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Anderlecht have 1 win from their last 3, while Genk have 2 wins from their last 4. In their last 5 meetings, Genk won 4, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Anderlecht win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.5-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Anderlecht vs Genk with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Genk +1 @ 1.25
73%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.50 – 1.48 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 5.1% 7.5% 5.6% 2.7% 1.0%
1 7.6% 11.3% 8.3% 4.1% 1.5%
2 5.7% 8.5% 6.3% 3.1% 1.1%
3 2.9% 4.2% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6%
4 1.1% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
Projected score: 1-1
Anderlecht winDrawGenk win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Anderlecht vs Genk comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Genk with a +1 start at odds 1.25, with a 73% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Anderlecht win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean over 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points yes (60%).

📊 Key numbers

Anderlecht 38%Draw 25%Genk 37%
38%25%37%
38%
Anderlecht Win
57%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Anderlecht and Genk. Wins shown from Anderlecht’s perspective: 1 drawn · Genk 4.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-09-06 Anderlecht 0 – 0 Genk D
2025-05-25 Genk 2 – 1 Anderlecht L
2025-04-06 Anderlecht 1 – 2 Genk L
2024-12-22 Genk 2 – 0 Anderlecht L
2024-09-17 Anderlecht 0 – 2 Genk L

📈 Recent form

Anderlecht

Anderlecht come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 2. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Zulte Waregem. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Lyon.

  • WAnderlecht 3-0 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
  • LAnderlecht 1-2 LyonUEFA Europa League
  • WKV Mechelen 0-1 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
  • DAnderlecht 0-0 GenkJupiler Pro League
  • WAnderlecht 1-0 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
Genk

Genk come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to SK Beveren. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at Club Brugge KV.

  • LClub Brugge KV 3-0 GenkJupiler Pro League
  • DGenk 1-1 GentJupiler Pro League
  • DAnderlecht 0-0 GenkJupiler Pro League
  • WGenk 4-0 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
  • DAntwerp 4-4 GenkJupiler Pro League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Anderlecht at 38% to win and Genk at 37%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes an Anderlecht win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Anderlecht Win 38% 37% @ 2.50
Genk Win 37% 37% @ 2.55
Draw 25% 26% @ 3.60

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Anderlecht or Draw at 1.49 (64% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Anderlecht or Draw 64% 63% @ 1.49
Genk or Draw 63% 63% @ 1.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 80% 81% @ 1.16
Under 3.5 65% 61% @ 1.53
Over 2.5 57% 60% @ 1.56
Under 2.5 43% 40% @ 2.33
Over 3.5 35% 39% @ 2.43
Under 1.5 20% 19% @ 4.80

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 60% 63% @ 1.46
BTTS No 40% 37% @ 2.48

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Anderlecht or Genk is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Anderlecht +1.75 87% 86% 1.10
Genk +1.75 86% 84% 1.12
Anderlecht +1.5 84% 83% 1.15
Genk +1.5 83% 79% 1.19
Anderlecht +1.25 79% 80% 1.18
Genk +1.25 78% 77% 1.23
Anderlecht +1 74% 79% 1.21
Genk +1 73% 76% 1.25
Anderlecht +0.75 69% 71% 1.33
Genk +0.75 68% 68% 1.41
Anderlecht +0.5 64% 65% 1.47
Genk +0.5 63% 61% 1.55
Anderlecht +0.25 57% 59% 1.61
Genk +0.25 56% 56% 1.72
Anderlecht 0 50% 52% 1.84
Genk 0 50% 48% 2.00
Anderlecht -0.25 44% 44% 2.15
Genk -0.25 43% 41% @ 2.35
Anderlecht -0.5 37% 39% 2.45
Genk -0.5 36% 35% 2.71
Anderlecht -0.75 32% 32% 2.94
Genk -0.75 31% 29% @ 3.33
Anderlecht -1 27% 24% @ 3.92
Genk -1 26% 21% @ 4.53
Anderlecht -1.25 22% 23% 4.19
Genk -1.25 21% 20% @ 4.80
Anderlecht -1.5 17% 21% 4.50
Genk -1.5 16% 17% 5.50
Anderlecht -1.75 14% 16% 6.00
Genk -1.75 13% 14% 7.00

📈 How the market moved

22%33%44%09/0209/0309/0409/0509/06

Anderlecht 38%Draw 27%Genk 35%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Anderlecht vs Genk?

Our model's main pick is Genk with a +1 start at odds 1.25, with a 73% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.

Who is the favourite for Anderlecht vs Genk?

Our model makes an Anderlecht win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.5 scoreline for Anderlecht vs Genk.

What is the predicted score for Anderlecht vs Genk?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.50 for Anderlecht and 1.48 for Genk. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Anderlecht and Genk play?

Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.