⚽ UEFA Europa League

Anderlecht vs Lyon Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Anderlecht vs Lyon in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Wednesday 16 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Anderlecht face Lyon in the UEFA Europa League, kicking off Wednesday 16 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Lyon win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 1.3-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Anderlecht vs Lyon with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Lyon or Draw @ 1.29

68%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.29 – 1.83 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.4%	8.1%	7.4%	4.5%	2.1%
1	5.7%	10.4%	9.5%	5.8%	2.7%
2	3.7%	6.7%	6.2%	3.8%	1.7%
3	1.6%	2.9%	2.6%	1.6%	0.7%
4	0.5%	0.9%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Anderlecht winDrawLyon win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Anderlecht vs Lyon is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Lyon or Draw at odds 1.29, the selection our model is most confident in at 68%. On the match result, the model rates a Lyon win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean over 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points yes (60%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Anderlecht or Draw at odds 1.82 (+5.2% model value).

Best value

Anderlecht or Draw at odds 1.82, 58% model probability, +5.2% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Anderlecht 31%Draw 27%Lyon 42%

31%27%42%

42%

Lyon Win

60%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

BTTS yes

+5.2%

Best value: Anderlecht or Draw

📈 Recent form

Anderlecht

Anderlecht come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Kairat Almaty. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at Union St. Gilloise.

DAnderlecht 0-0 GenkJupiler Pro League
WAnderlecht 1-0 KortrijkJupiler Pro League
LUnion St. Gilloise 3-0 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
WAnderlecht 3-0 Kairat AlmatyUEFA Europa League
WKairat Almaty 0-3 AnderlechtUEFA Europa League

Lyon

Lyon come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Auxerre. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Fenerbahçe.

WLyon 3-1 AuxerreLigue 1
DLyon 1-1 Le HavreLigue 1
LLyon 1-2 FenerbahçeUEFA Champions League
WToulouse 0-2 LyonLigue 1
DFenerbahçe 1-1 LyonUEFA Champions League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Anderlecht at 31% to win and Lyon at 42%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Lyon win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Anderlecht Win	31%	@ 3.50	+9.8%
Draw	27%	@ 3.80	+1.4%
Lyon Win	42%	@ 1.97	-17.4%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Anderlecht or Draw at 1.82 (58% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Anderlecht or Draw	58%	@ 1.82	+5.2%
Lyon or Draw	68%	@ 1.29	-11.8%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 1.5	82%	@ 1.18	-3.5%
Over 2.5	60%	@ 1.58	-4.7%
Over 3.5	38%	@ 2.48	-5.9%
Under 3.5	62%	@ 1.50	-6.9%
Under 2.5	40%	@ 2.28	-9.5%
Under 1.5	18%	@ 4.75	-13.6%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	40%	@ 2.38	-5.3%
BTTS Yes	60%	@ 1.52	-8.5%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Anderlecht vs Lyon?

Our main pick is Lyon or Draw at odds 1.29, with 68% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Anderlecht or Draw at 1.82 (+5.2% value).

Who is the favourite for Anderlecht vs Lyon?

Our model makes a Lyon win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.8 scoreline for Anderlecht vs Lyon.

What is the predicted score for Anderlecht vs Lyon?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.29 for Anderlecht and 1.83 for Lyon. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Anderlecht and Lyon play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 16 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.