Sun 25 Oct16:15Upcoming

⚽ Ligue 1

Angers vs Lorient Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Angers vs Lorient in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Sunday 25 October 2026, 16:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Angers face Lorient in the Ligue 1, kicking off Sunday 25 October 2026, 16:15 UTC. Recent form: Angers have 1 win from their last 5, while Lorient have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 3 meetings, Angers won 2, Lorient won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Lorient win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.1-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Angers vs Lorient with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.30

73%Bookmaker odds imply 73%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.15 – 1.35 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.2%	11.1%	7.5%	3.4%	1.1%
1	9.4%	12.7%	8.6%	3.9%	1.3%
2	5.4%	7.3%	4.9%	2.2%	0.8%
3	2.1%	2.8%	1.9%	0.9%	0.3%
4	0.6%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Angers winDrawLorient win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Angers vs Lorient comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Lorient win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (50%).

📊 Key numbers

Angers 30%Draw 30%Lorient 40%

30%30%40%

40%

Lorient Win

54%

Under 2.5 goals

50%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Angers and Lorient. Wins shown from Angers’s perspective: Angers 2 · Lorient 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-08	Angers	2 – 1	Lorient	W
2026-02-15	Lorient	2 – 0	Angers	L
2025-10-26	Angers	2 – 0	Lorient	W

📈 Recent form

Angers

Angers come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 12. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Estac Troyes. Their most recent defeat was 2-5 at home to Marseille.

LAngers 2-5 MarseilleLigue 1
LBrest 5-1 AngersLigue 1
WAngers 2-0 Estac TroyesLigue 1
DLe Havre 0-0 AngersLigue 1
LAngers 1-2 RennesLigue 1

Lorient

Lorient come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Monaco. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Le Mans.

WLorient 1-0 MonacoLigue 1
WLorient 1-0 Paris FCLigue 1
LLe Mans 2-1 LorientLigue 1
DLorient 2-2 ToulouseLigue 1
WLens 0-1 LorientLigue 1

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Angers at 30% to win and Lorient at 40%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Lorient win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lorient Win	40%	40%	@ 2.40
Draw	30%	29%	@ 3.30
Angers Win	30%	32%	@ 3.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lorient or Draw at 1.36 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lorient or Draw	68%	68%	@ 1.36
Angers or Draw	58%	60%	@ 1.53

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-1.4 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	76%	73%	@ 1.30
Over 1.5	71%	72%	@ 1.33
Under 2.5	54%	53%	@ 1.80
Over 2.5	46%	47%	@ 2.00
Under 1.5	29%	28%	@ 3.40
Over 3.5	24%	27%	@ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 50%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	50%	52%	@ 1.80
BTTS No	50%	48%	@ 1.95

📈 How the market moved

Angers 32%Draw 29%Lorient 39%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Angers vs Lorient?

Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Angers vs Lorient?

Our model makes a Lorient win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.4 scoreline for Angers vs Lorient.

What is the predicted score for Angers vs Lorient?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.15 for Angers and 1.35 for Lorient. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Angers and Lorient play?

Kick-off is Sunday 25 October 2026, 16:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.