vs
⚽ Ligue 1
Angers vs Rennes Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Angers vs Rennes in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 15:15 UTC.
Angers face Rennes in the Ligue 1, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 15:15 UTC. Recent form: Angers have 1 win from their last 5, while Rennes have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Rennes won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Rennes win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 1.1-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Angers vs Rennes with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| 1 | 6.2% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| 2 | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| 3 | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Angers vs Rennes is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.42, the selection our model is most confident in at 67%. On the match result, the model rates a Rennes win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points yes (56%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Angers or Draw at odds 1.97 (+3.9% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 4 meetings between Angers and Rennes. Wins shown from Angers’s perspective: 1 drawn · Rennes 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Rennes | 2 – 1 | Angers | L |
| 2025-08-31 | Angers | 1 – 1 | Rennes | D |
| 2025-03-30 | Angers | 0 – 3 | Rennes | L |
| 2024-12-15 | Rennes | 2 – 0 | Angers | L |
📈 Recent form
Angers come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Auxerre. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Lille.
- WAuxerre 1-3 AngersLigue 1
- LAngers 0-2 LilleLigue 1
- WAngers 3-2 Paris FCFriendlies Clubs
- WAngers 2-1 LorientFriendlies Clubs
- LAngers 2-3 Le MansFriendlies Clubs
Rennes come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Le Mans. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Sunderland.
- WRennes 3-2 Le MansLigue 1
- DParis Saint Germain 2-2 RennesLigue 1
- LSunderland 2-1 RennesFriendlies Clubs
- LRennes 2-4 BrentfordFriendlies Clubs
- DGalatasaray 3-3 RennesFriendlies Clubs
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 2 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- H. BelkeblaThigh Injury
- L. MoutonKnee Injury
No absentees reported.
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Angers at 26% to win and Rennes at 46%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Rennes win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Angers Win | 26% | @ 4.00 | +4.8% |
| Draw | 28% | @ 3.75 | +3.8% |
| Rennes Win | 46% | @ 1.79 | -17.4% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Angers or Draw at 1.97 (53% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Angers or Draw | 53% | @ 1.97 | +3.9% |
| Rennes or Draw | 73% | @ 1.23 | -10.5% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 67% | @ 1.42 | -4.9% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | @ 1.71 | -5.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | @ 2.12 | -5.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | @ 1.20 | -5.8% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | @ 2.80 | -7.5% |
| Under 1.5 | 22% | @ 4.30 | -7.7% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 44% | @ 2.18 | -3.9% |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | @ 1.62 | -9.4% |
🔬 How our AI model reached this pick
| Model | Match result | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Poisson | Away | 47% |
| Dixon-Coles | Away | 58% |
| GradientBoosting | Away | 42% |
All three of our models point the same way. This is our strongest confidence signal.
Expected goals: 1.10 for the home side, 1.53 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11%), 0-2 (10%), 0-1 (10%).
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Angers vs Rennes?
Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.42, with 67% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Angers or Draw at 1.97 (+3.9% value).
Who is the favourite for Angers vs Rennes?
Our model makes a Rennes win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.8 scoreline for Angers vs Rennes.
What is the predicted score for Angers vs Rennes?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.12 for Angers and 1.78 for Rennes. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Angers and Rennes play?
Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 15:15 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
