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⚽ Serie A

Atalanta vs Parma Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Atalanta vs Parma in the Serie A. Kick-off Monday 02 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.

Atalanta face Parma in the Serie A, kicking off Monday 02 November 2026, 19:45 UTC. Recent form: Atalanta have 1 win from their last 5, while Parma have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Atalanta won 2, Parma won 1, 1 drawn. The bookmaker market makes an Atalanta win the most likely result at 66%, implying a 2.0-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Atalanta vs Parma with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. One of the teams has fewer than three earlier matches in our data, too few for a reliable model view, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome Market %
Atalanta win 66%
Draw 22%
Parma win 12%
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 48%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 2.00 – 0.75 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 6.4% 4.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.8% 9.6% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2%
2 12.8% 9.6% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 8.5% 6.4% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
4 4.3% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-0
Atalanta winDrawParma win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Atalanta vs Parma. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Atalanta win is the most likely result at 66%. Goals lean over 2.5 at 53%. Both teams to score: no at 52%.

📊 Key numbers

Atalanta 66%Draw 22%Parma 12%
66%22%12%
66%
Atalanta Win
53%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Atalanta and Parma. Wins shown from Atalanta’s perspective: Atalanta 2 · 1 drawn · Parma 1.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-01-25 Atalanta 4 – 0 Parma W
2025-08-30 Parma 1 – 1 Atalanta D
2025-05-25 Atalanta 2 – 3 Parma L
2024-11-23 Parma 1 – 3 Atalanta W

📈 Recent form

Atalanta

Atalanta come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Pafos. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Ajax.

  • DAtalanta 4-4 FrosinoneSerie A
  • LAjax 2-0 AtalantaUEFA Europa Conference
  • LAC Milan 3-2 AtalantaSerie A
  • WAtalanta 3-1 PafosUEFA Europa Conference
  • WAtalanta 3-1 VeneziaSerie A
Parma

Parma come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Genoa. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Lazio.

  • LLazio 2-1 ParmaSerie A
  • LParma 0-3 TorinoSerie A
  • LInter 3-0 ParmaSerie A
  • WParma 2-1 GenoaSerie A
  • LComo 2-1 ParmaSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 1 player listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Atalanta
  • I. HienMuscle Bruise
Parma

No absentees reported.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Atalanta at 66% to win and Parma at 12%, with the draw at 22%. The bookmaker market makes an Atalanta win the most likely outcome.

Selection Market % Odds
Atalanta Win 65% @ 1.42
Draw 22% @ 4.20
Parma Win 12% @ 7.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Atalanta or Draw at 1.10 (88% market).

Selection Market % Odds
Atalanta or Draw 88% @ 1.10
Parma or Draw 35% @ 2.75

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 2.0-0.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection Market % Odds
Over 1.5 76% @ 1.25
Under 3.5 68% @ 1.40
Over 2.5 53% @ 1.80
Under 2.5 47% @ 2.00
Over 3.5 32% @ 3.00
Under 1.5 24% @ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection Market % Odds
BTTS No 52% @ 1.80
BTTS Yes 48% @ 1.95

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atalanta vs Parma?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Atalanta win is the most likely result at 66%.

Who is the favourite for Atalanta vs Parma?

Our model makes an Atalanta win the most likely result at 66%. It projects an expected 2.0-0.8 scoreline for Atalanta vs Parma.

What is the predicted score for Atalanta vs Parma?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 2.00 for Atalanta and 0.75 for Parma. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Atalanta and Parma play?

Kick-off is Monday 02 November 2026, 19:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this match we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. One of the teams has fewer than three earlier matches in our data, too few for a reliable model view, so we don't publish a model pick for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.