Sat 15 Aug2-1Finished

⚽ Major League Soccer

Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 15 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Atlanta United FC 2-1 New York Red Bulls

Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls finished 2-1. Atlanta United FC won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Atlanta United FC face New York Red Bulls in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Saturday 15 August 2026, 23:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Atlanta United FC won 3, New York Red Bulls won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a New York Red Bulls win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.7-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

New York Red Bulls +1.5 @ 1.29

86%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.67 – 1.78 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.2%	5.7%	5.0%	3.0%	1.3%
1	5.3%	9.4%	8.4%	5.0%	2.2%
2	4.4%	7.9%	7.0%	4.2%	1.9%
3	2.5%	4.4%	3.9%	2.3%	1.0%
4	1.0%	1.8%	1.6%	1.0%	0.4%

Projected score: 1-1

Atlanta United FC winDrawNew York Red Bulls win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is New York Red Bulls with a +1.5 start at odds 1.29, with a 86% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a New York Red Bulls win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (67%), both teams to score points yes (66%).

📊 Key numbers

Atlanta United FC 33%Draw 27%New York Red Bulls 39%

33%27%39%

39%

New York Red Bulls Win

67%

Over 2.5 goals

66%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Atlanta United FC and New York Red Bulls. Wins shown from Atlanta United FC’s perspective: Atlanta United FC 3 · 1 drawn · New York Red Bulls 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-15	Atlanta United FC	2 – 1	New York Red Bulls	W
2024-10-05	Atlanta United FC	2 – 1	New York Red Bulls	W
2024-09-21	New York Red Bulls	2 – 2	Atlanta United FC	D
2023-06-24	New York Red Bulls	4 – 0	Atlanta United FC	L
2023-04-01	Atlanta United FC	1 – 0	New York Red Bulls	W

📈 Recent form

Atlanta United FC

Atlanta United FC come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Portland Timbers. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Orlando City SC.

WPortland Timbers 0-1 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
DDC United 0-0 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
LAtlanta United FC 2-3 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
DInter Miami 2-2 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
LAtlanta United FC 0-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer

New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at New York City FC. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Los Angeles FC.

WNew York City FC 0-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
WColumbus Crew 0-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
LLos Angeles FC 2-0 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
DSeattle Sounders 0-0 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
LNew York Red Bulls 1-3 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Atlanta United FC

M. AmaroNot in squad
A. FortuneHamstring Injury
E. MihajSuspended (red card)

New York Red Bulls

E. LomdonoInjury
A. MarcucciKnee Injury
R. MosqueraThigh Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Atlanta United FC at 33% to win and New York Red Bulls at 39%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a New York Red Bulls win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
New York Red Bulls Win	39%	30%	@ 3.15
Atlanta United FC Win	33%	46%	@ 2.02
Draw	27%	24%	@ 3.90

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is New York Red Bulls or Draw at 1.75 (66% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
New York Red Bulls or Draw	66%	54%	@ 1.75
Atlanta United FC or Draw	60%	70%	@ 1.34

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	86%	85%	@ 1.11
Over 2.5	67%	68%	@ 1.38
Under 3.5	55%	53%	@ 1.79
Over 3.5	45%	47%	@ 1.98
Under 2.5	33%	32%	@ 2.90
Under 1.5	14%	15%	@ 6.25

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	66%	69%	@ 1.34
BTTS No	34%	31%	@ 2.95

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Atlanta United FC or New York Red Bulls is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
New York Red Bulls +2	90%	85%	@ 1.12
New York Red Bulls +1.75	88%	79%	@ 1.20
New York Red Bulls +1.5	86%	73%	@ 1.29
Atlanta United FC +1.5	82%	–	1.11
New York Red Bulls +1.25	81%	71%	@ 1.34
Atlanta United FC +1.25	76%	83%	1.14
New York Red Bulls +1	76%	67%	@ 1.42
New York Red Bulls +0.75	71%	60%	@ 1.58
Atlanta United FC +1	71%	82%	1.16
New York Red Bulls +0.5	66%	53%	@ 1.77
Atlanta United FC +0.75	66%	76%	1.25
Atlanta United FC +0.5	60%	70%	1.35
New York Red Bulls +0.25	60%	47%	@ 2.02
Atlanta United FC +0.25	54%	66%	1.45
New York Red Bulls 0	53%	39%	@ 2.43
Atlanta United FC 0	47%	61%	1.55
New York Red Bulls -0.25	46%	34%	@ 2.79
Atlanta United FC -0.25	40%	53%	1.82
New York Red Bulls -0.5	40%	30%	@ 3.10
New York Red Bulls -0.75	34%	24%	@ 3.88
Atlanta United FC -0.5	34%	47%	2.00
New York Red Bulls -1	29%	18%	@ 5.25
Atlanta United FC -0.75	29%	40%	2.37
Atlanta United FC -1	24%	33%	2.86
New York Red Bulls -1.25	24%	17%	@ 5.75
Atlanta United FC -1.25	19%	29%	3.26
Atlanta United FC -1.5	14%	27%	3.41
Atlanta United FC -1.75	12%	21%	4.40
Atlanta United FC -2	10%	15%	6.25

📈 How the market moved

Atlanta United FC 47%Draw 24%New York Red Bulls 29%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls?

Our model's main pick is New York Red Bulls with a +1.5 start at odds 1.29, with a 86% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

Who is the favourite for Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls?

Our model makes a New York Red Bulls win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.8 scoreline for Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls.

What is the predicted score for Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.67 for Atlanta United FC and 1.78 for New York Red Bulls. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Atlanta United FC and New York Red Bulls play?

Kick-off is Saturday 15 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.