⚽ Major League Soccer
Austin vs FC Dallas Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Austin vs FC Dallas in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Monday 17 August 2026, 00:30 UTC.
Result: Austin 1-2 FC Dallas
Austin vs FC Dallas finished 1-2. FC Dallas won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Austin face FC Dallas in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Monday 17 August 2026, 00:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Austin won 1, FC Dallas won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Dallas win the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 1.4-2.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Austin vs FC Dallas with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| 2 | 2.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| 3 | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Austin vs FC Dallas comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is FC Dallas with a +0.75 start at odds 1.28, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FC Dallas win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean over 2.5 (69%), both teams to score points yes (63%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Austin and FC Dallas. Wins shown from Austin’s perspective: Austin 1 · 1 drawn · FC Dallas 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | FC Dallas | 0 – 0 | Austin | D |
| 2026-08-17 | Austin | 1 – 2 | FC Dallas | L |
| 2024-07-18 | FC Dallas | 3 – 1 | Austin | L |
| 2024-05-12 | FC Dallas | 2 – 1 | Austin | L |
| 2024-03-31 | Austin | 2 – 1 | FC Dallas | W |
📈 Recent form
Austin come into this game with 2 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Vancouver Whitecaps.
- DFC Dallas 0-0 AustinMajor League Soccer
- WVancouver Whitecaps 1-2 AustinMajor League Soccer
- DAustin 1-1 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- DAustin 1-1 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer
- WPortland Timbers 1-2 AustinMajor League Soccer
FC Dallas come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 8. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Portland Timbers.
- DFC Dallas 0-0 AustinMajor League Soccer
- WFC Dallas 2-1 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
- WMinnesota United FC 1-2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- WFC Dallas 4-3 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- DSt. Louis City 3-3 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- M. DeslerAchilles Tendon Injury
- O. WolffAnkle Injury
- DanielHamstring Injury
- P. DelgadoLeg Injury
- Geovane JesusKnee Injury
- A. A. Julio SantosInjury
- N. NorrisSuspended (cards)
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Austin at 31% to win and FC Dallas at 45%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a FC Dallas win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas Win | 45% | 42% | @ 2.23 |
| Austin Win | 31% | 32% | @ 2.90 |
| Draw | 24% | 26% | @ 3.60 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Dallas or Draw at 1.38 (70% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas or Draw | 70% | 68% | @ 1.38 |
| Austin or Draw | 56% | 58% | @ 1.63 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-2.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 69% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 80% | @ 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 59% | @ 1.60 |
| Under 3.5 | 53% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| Over 3.5 | 47% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 31% | 41% | @ 2.28 |
| Under 1.5 | 13% | 20% | @ 4.70 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 63%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 37% | 38% | @ 2.43 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Austin or FC Dallas is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas +1.5 | 88% | – | 1.12 |
| FC Dallas +1.25 | 84% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Austin +1.75 | 82% | 83% | 1.14 |
| FC Dallas +1 | 79% | 80% | 1.19 |
| Austin +1.5 | 78% | – | 1.21 |
| FC Dallas +0.75 | 74% | 74% | 1.28 |
| Austin +1.25 | 73% | 76% | 1.25 |
| FC Dallas +0.5 | 70% | – | 1.42 |
| Austin +1 | 67% | 73% | 1.31 |
| FC Dallas +0.25 | 64% | 63% | 1.52 |
| Austin +0.75 | 62% | 65% | 1.47 |
| FC Dallas 0 | 57% | 56% | 1.70 |
| Austin +0.5 | 56% | 58% | 1.62 |
| FC Dallas -0.25 | 51% | 48% | @ 2.02 |
| Austin +0.25 | 49% | 52% | 1.83 |
| FC Dallas -0.5 | 44% | 42% | 2.24 |
| Austin 0 | 43% | 44% | 2.16 |
| FC Dallas -0.75 | 38% | 35% | @ 2.73 |
| Austin -0.25 | 36% | 37% | 2.56 |
| FC Dallas -1 | 33% | 27% | @ 3.52 |
| FC Dallas -1.25 | 27% | 24% | @ 3.97 |
| Austin -0.75 | 26% | 26% | 3.63 |
| Austin -1 | 21% | 20% | @ 4.85 |
| FC Dallas -1.75 | 18% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| Austin -1.25 | 16% | 17% | 5.50 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Austin vs FC Dallas?
Our model's main pick is FC Dallas with a +0.75 start at odds 1.28, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.
Who is the favourite for Austin vs FC Dallas?
Our model makes a FC Dallas win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 1.4-2.1 scoreline for Austin vs FC Dallas.
What is the predicted score for Austin vs FC Dallas?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.39 for Austin and 2.15 for FC Dallas. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Austin and FC Dallas play?
Kick-off is Monday 17 August 2026, 00:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Lask Linzvs
LiverpoolUEFA Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct16:45
Feyenoordvs
ComoUEFA Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct16:45
Slovan Bratislavavs
VfB StuttgartUEFA Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct19:00
Shakhtar Donetskvs
AEK Athens FCUEFA Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct19:00
Manchester Cityvs
Paris Saint GermainUEFA Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct19:00
Bodo/Glimtvs
Borussia DortmundUEFA Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct19:00Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.