Sun 25 Oct16:15Upcoming

⚽ Ligue 1

Auxerre vs Le Mans Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Auxerre vs Le Mans in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Sunday 25 October 2026, 16:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Auxerre face Le Mans in the Ligue 1, kicking off Sunday 25 October 2026, 16:15 UTC. Recent form: Auxerre have 3 wins from their last 5, while Le Mans have 1 win from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Auxerre win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.9-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Auxerre vs Le Mans with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Auxerre or Draw @ 1.33

67%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.88 – 1.18 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.7%	5.5%	3.3%	1.3%	0.4%
1	8.8%	10.4%	6.1%	2.4%	0.7%
2	8.3%	9.8%	5.8%	2.3%	0.7%
3	5.2%	6.1%	3.6%	1.4%	0.4%
4	2.4%	2.9%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Auxerre winDrawLe Mans win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Auxerre vs Le Mans comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is Auxerre or Draw at odds 1.33, with a 67% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Auxerre win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (59%).

📊 Key numbers

Auxerre 40%Draw 27%Le Mans 32%

40%27%32%

40%

Auxerre Win

59%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Auxerre

Auxerre come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Le Havre. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at Rennes.

WLe Havre 1-3 AuxerreLigue 1
LRennes 4-1 AuxerreLigue 1
WAuxerre 2-1 BrestLigue 1
WAuxerre 1-0 NiceLigue 1
LLyon 3-1 AuxerreLigue 1

Le Mans

Le Mans come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Lorient. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Toulouse.

LLe Mans 0-3 ToulouseLigue 1
LParis Saint-Germain 3-1 Le MansLigue 1
WLe Mans 2-1 LorientLigue 1
DLe Mans 2-2 LensLigue 1
DNice 1-1 Le MansLigue 1

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Auxerre at 40% to win and Le Mans at 32%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes an Auxerre win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Auxerre Win	40%	45%	@ 2.10
Le Mans Win	32%	27%	@ 3.50
Draw	27%	27%	@ 3.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Auxerre or Draw at 1.33 (67% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Auxerre or Draw	67%	73%	@ 1.33
Le Mans or Draw	59%	55%	@ 1.70

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	81%	78%	@ 1.22
Under 3.5	63%	66%	@ 1.44
Over 2.5	59%	55%	@ 1.73
Under 2.5	41%	45%	@ 2.10
Over 3.5	37%	34%	@ 2.75
Under 1.5	19%	22%	@ 4.33

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 59%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	59%	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS No	41%	41%	@ 2.25

📈 How the market moved

Auxerre 45%Draw 26%Le Mans 28%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Auxerre vs Le Mans?

Our model's pick is Auxerre or Draw at odds 1.33, with a 67% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

Who is the favourite for Auxerre vs Le Mans?

Our model makes an Auxerre win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.2 scoreline for Auxerre vs Le Mans.

What is the predicted score for Auxerre vs Le Mans?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.88 for Auxerre and 1.18 for Le Mans. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Auxerre and Le Mans play?

Kick-off is Sunday 25 October 2026, 16:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.