Avellino

Sat 24 Oct13:00Upcoming

Padova

⚽ Serie B

Avellino vs Padova Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Avellino vs Padova in the Serie B. Kick-off Saturday 24 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Market view Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Avellino face Padova in the Serie B, kicking off Saturday 24 October 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Avellino have 2 wins from their last 5, while Padova have 1 win from their last 5. The bookmaker market makes an Avellino win the most likely result at 43%, implying a 1.4-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the market view, a score probability heatmap and every betting market for Avellino vs Padova with probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

📈 Market view

We don’t publish a pick for this match. In our own testing, our model did not beat the bookmaker market in this competition, so this page shows the market’s view: probabilities implied by the odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. See today’s picks for the matches we do cover.

Outcome	Market %
Avellino win	43%
Draw	30%
Padova win	27%
Over 2.5 goals	45%
Both teams to score	50%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 1.40 – 1.05 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.6%	9.1%	4.8%	1.7%	0.4%
1	12.1%	12.7%	6.7%	2.3%	0.6%
2	8.5%	8.9%	4.7%	1.6%	0.4%
3	3.9%	4.1%	2.2%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.4%	1.5%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Avellino winDrawPadova win

🧠 Market summary

This page shows the bookmaker market’s view of Avellino vs Padova. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Avellino win is the most likely result at 43%. Goals lean under 2.5 at 55%. Both teams to score: yes at 50%.

📊 Key numbers

Avellino 43%Draw 30%Padova 27%

43%30%27%

43%

Avellino Win

55%

Under 2.5 goals

50%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Avellino

Avellino come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Sampdoria. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Ascoli.

DCesena 1-1 AvellinoSerie B
WAvellino 4-1 SampdoriaSerie B
LAscoli 3-1 AvellinoSerie B
DAvellino 1-1 PalermoSerie B
WModena 0-1 AvellinoSerie B

Padova

Padova come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Ascoli. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Virtus Entella.

LPadova 1-2 Virtus EntellaSerie B
LPadova 0-2 CarrareseSerie B
LPalermo 2-1 PadovaSerie B
WPadova 1-0 AscoliSerie B
LCremonese 3-1 PadovaSerie B

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Avellino at 43% to win and Padova at 27%, with the draw at 30%. The bookmaker market makes an Avellino win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Avellino Win	43%	@ 2.15
Draw	30%	@ 3.10
Padova Win	27%	@ 3.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Avellino or Draw at 1.28 (73% market).

Selection	Market %	Odds
Avellino or Draw	73%	@ 1.28
Padova or Draw	57%	@ 1.67

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals implied by the odds point to an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	75%	@ 1.25
Over 1.5	71%	@ 1.33
Under 2.5	55%	@ 1.70
Over 2.5	45%	@ 2.10
Under 1.5	29%	@ 3.25
Over 3.5	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. The market leans towards both teams to score at 50%.

Selection	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	50%	@ 1.91
BTTS No	50%	@ 1.91

📈 How the market moved

Avellino 43%Draw 30%Padova 27%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Avellino vs Padova?

We don't publish a pick for this match. Based on the bookmaker odds, an Avellino win is the most likely result at 43%.

Who is the favourite for Avellino vs Padova?

Our model makes an Avellino win the most likely result at 43%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline for Avellino vs Padova.

What is the predicted score for Avellino vs Padova?

The most likely scoreline implied by the bookmaker odds is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.40 for Avellino and 1.05 for Padova. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Avellino and Padova play?

Kick-off is Saturday 24 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

For this competition we show probabilities implied by the bookmaker odds, with the margin removed. In our own testing our model did not beat the market here, so we don't publish model picks for it. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.