Sat 24 Oct13:00Upcoming

⚽ Serie A

Como vs Sassuolo Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Como vs Sassuolo in the Serie A. Kick-off Saturday 24 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Como face Sassuolo in the Serie A, kicking off Saturday 24 October 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Como have 3 wins from their last 5, while Sassuolo have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Como won 1, Sassuolo won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Como win the most likely result at 66%, projecting a 2.0-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Como vs Sassuolo with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Como Win @ 1.48

66%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.00 – 1.04 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.8%	5.0%	2.6%	0.9%	0.2%
1	9.6%	9.9%	5.2%	1.8%	0.5%
2	9.6%	9.9%	5.2%	1.8%	0.5%
3	6.4%	6.6%	3.4%	1.2%	0.3%
4	3.2%	3.3%	1.7%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Como winDrawSassuolo win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Como vs Sassuolo comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is a Como win at odds 1.48, with a 66% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Como win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 66%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (56%).

📊 Key numbers

Como 66%Draw 22%Sassuolo 12%

66%22%12%

66%

Como Win

59%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Como and Sassuolo. Wins shown from Como’s perspective: Como 1 · Sassuolo 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-04-17	Sassuolo	2 – 1	Como	L
2025-11-28	Como	2 – 0	Sassuolo	W

📈 Recent form

Como

Como come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Fiorentina. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at Feyenoord.

WFiorentina 1-3 ComoSerie A
LFeyenoord 3-2 ComoUEFA Champions League
DComo 0-0 AS RomaSerie A
LFrosinone 2-0 ComoSerie A
WComo 2-1 ParmaSerie A

Sassuolo

Sassuolo come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Juventus. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 2-4 at Frosinone.

LFrosinone 4-2 SassuoloSerie A
DSassuolo 1-1 AC MilanSerie A
LMonza 2-1 SassuoloSerie A
WSassuolo 3-2 JuventusSerie A
DBologna 2-2 SassuoloSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Como

T. ChalobahInjury
A. DiaoThigh Injury
M. KeanLeg Injury
J. RodriguezInjury

Sassuolo

D. BolocaMuscle Injury
J. IdzesMuscle Injury
I. KoneBroken Leg
F. LeysenKnee Injury
Y. PazKnee Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Como at 66% to win and Sassuolo at 12%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes a Como win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Como Win	66%	63%	@ 1.48
Draw	22%	21%	@ 4.50
Sassuolo Win	12%	16%	@ 5.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Como or Draw at 1.14 (87% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Como or Draw	87%	84%	@ 1.14
Sassuolo or Draw	33%	37%	@ 2.62

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	81%	84%	@ 1.12
Under 3.5	64%	55%	@ 1.73
Over 2.5	59%	66%	@ 1.44
Under 2.5	41%	34%	@ 2.75
Over 3.5	36%	45%	@ 2.10
Under 1.5	19%	16%	@ 6.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	56%	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS No	44%	41%	@ 2.25

📈 How the market moved

Como 64%Draw 21%Sassuolo 15%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Como vs Sassuolo?

Our model's pick is a Como win at odds 1.48, with a 66% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 63%.

Who is the favourite for Como vs Sassuolo?

Our model makes a Como win the most likely result at 66%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.0 scoreline for Como vs Sassuolo.

What is the predicted score for Como vs Sassuolo?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 2.00 for Como and 1.04 for Sassuolo. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Como and Sassuolo play?

Kick-off is Saturday 24 October 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.