⚽ Brazilian Série A

Bahia vs Internacional Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Bahia vs Internacional in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 22:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Bahia face Internacional in the Brazilian Série A, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 22:30 UTC. Recent form: Bahia have 1 win from their last 5, while Internacional have 0 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Bahia won 1, Internacional won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bahia win the most likely result at 35%, projecting a 1.4-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Bahia vs Internacional with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.33

76%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.36 – 1.15 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.1%	9.3%	5.4%	2.1%	0.6%
1	11.1%	12.7%	7.3%	2.8%	0.8%
2	7.5%	8.6%	5.0%	1.9%	0.5%
3	3.4%	3.9%	2.3%	0.9%	0.2%
4	1.2%	1.3%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Bahia winDrawInternacional win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Bahia vs Internacional is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, the selection our model is most confident in at 76%. On the match result, the model rates a Bahia win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 35%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (51%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Internacional or Draw at odds 1.85 (+14.0% model value).

Best value

Internacional or Draw at odds 1.85, 62% model probability, +14.0% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Bahia 35%Draw 33%Internacional 32%

35%33%32%

35%

Bahia Win

54%

Under 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS yes

+14.0%

Best value: Internacional or Draw

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Bahia and Internacional. Wins shown from Bahia’s perspective: Bahia 1 · 1 drawn · Internacional 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2024-07-27	Bahia	1 – 1	Internacional	D
2024-04-13	Internacional	2 – 1	Bahia	L
2023-10-19	Bahia	1 – 0	Internacional	W
2023-05-28	Internacional	2 – 0	Bahia	L

📈 Recent form

Bahia

Bahia come into this game with 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Vitoria.

WVitoria 0-2 BahiaBrazilian Série A
DChapecoense-sc 3-3 BahiaBrazilian Série A
DBahia 0-0 Vasco DA GamaBrazilian Série A
DBahia 1-1 CorinthiansBrazilian Série A
DAtletico-MG 1-1 BahiaBrazilian Série A

Internacional

Internacional come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Corinthians. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Corinthians.

DInternacional 0-0 Atletico-MGBrazilian Série A
DInternacional 1-1 RemoBrazilian Série A
DPalmeiras 0-0 InternacionalBrazilian Série A
LCorinthians 2-1 InternacionalCopa Do Brasil
WInternacional 2-0 CorinthiansCopa Do Brasil

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Bahia at 35% to win and Internacional at 32%, with the draw at 33%. Our model makes a Bahia win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Internacional Win	32%	@ 3.90	+24.0%
Draw	33%	@ 3.50	+16.4%
Bahia Win	35%	@ 1.90	-33.6%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Internacional or Draw at 1.85 (62% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Internacional or Draw	62%	@ 1.85	+14.0%
Bahia or Draw	65%	@ 1.25	-19.0%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 2.5	54%	@ 1.91	+3.4%
Under 3.5	76%	@ 1.33	+0.5%
Under 1.5	28%	@ 3.50	-0.2%
Over 1.5	72%	@ 1.28	-8.5%
Over 2.5	46%	@ 1.85	-15.1%
Over 3.5	24%	@ 3.20	-21.7%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	49%	@ 2.00	-2.8%
BTTS Yes	51%	@ 1.73	-11.1%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bahia vs Internacional?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with 76% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Internacional or Draw at 1.85 (+14.0% value).

Who is the favourite for Bahia vs Internacional?

Our model makes a Bahia win the most likely result at 35%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline for Bahia vs Internacional.

What is the predicted score for Bahia vs Internacional?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.36 for Bahia and 1.15 for Internacional. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Bahia and Internacional play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 22:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.