Sun 6 Sep2-2Finished

⚽ Serie A

Bologna vs Sassuolo Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Bologna vs Sassuolo in the Serie A. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 16:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Bologna 2-2 Sassuolo

Bologna vs Sassuolo finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Bologna face Sassuolo in the upcoming Serie A tips, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 16:00 UTC. Recent form: Bologna have 2 wins from their last 5, while Sassuolo have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Bologna won 2, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bologna win the most likely result at 49%, projecting a 1.6-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Bologna vs Sassuolo with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.30

75%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.59 – 1.12 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.7%	7.5%	4.2%	1.6%	0.4%
1	10.6%	11.8%	6.6%	2.5%	0.7%
2	8.4%	9.4%	5.3%	2.0%	0.6%
3	4.5%	5.0%	2.8%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.8%	2.0%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Bologna winDrawSassuolo win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Bologna vs Sassuolo comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 75% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Bologna win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 49%. Goals lean over 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (53%).

📊 Key numbers

Bologna 49%Draw 27%Sassuolo 24%

49%27%24%

49%

Bologna Win

51%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Bologna and Sassuolo. Wins shown from Bologna’s perspective: Bologna 2 · 3 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-06	Bologna	2 – 2	Sassuolo	D
2026-03-15	Sassuolo	0 – 1	Bologna	W
2025-12-28	Bologna	1 – 1	Sassuolo	D
2024-02-03	Bologna	4 – 2	Sassuolo	W
2023-10-28	Sassuolo	1 – 1	Bologna	D

📈 Recent form

Bologna

Bologna come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 6. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Napoli.

DBologna 1-1 TorinoSerie A
LNapoli 1-0 BolognaSerie A
DBologna 2-2 SassuoloSerie A
LAtalanta 1-0 BolognaSerie A
LBologna 0-1 LazioSerie A

Sassuolo

Sassuolo come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Juventus. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Monza.

LMonza 2-1 SassuoloSerie A
WSassuolo 3-2 JuventusSerie A
DBologna 2-2 SassuoloSerie A
DSassuolo 1-1 FrosinoneCoppa Italia
WSassuolo 2-1 TorinoSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Bologna

O. El AzzouziThigh Injury
R. OrsoliniInjury

Sassuolo

D. BolocaMuscle Injury
F. CandeKnee Injury
I. KoneBroken Leg
Y. PazKnee Injury
E. PieragnoloKnee Injury
S. WalukiewiczMuscle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Bologna at 49% to win and Sassuolo at 24%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Bologna win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bologna Win	49%	49%	@ 1.89
Draw	27%	27%	@ 3.40
Sassuolo Win	24%	23%	@ 4.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bologna or Draw at 1.23 (75% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bologna or Draw	75%	77%	@ 1.23
Sassuolo or Draw	50%	51%	@ 1.87

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	72%	@ 1.30
Under 3.5	71%	73%	@ 1.29
Over 2.5	51%	48%	@ 1.98
Under 2.5	49%	52%	@ 1.81
Over 3.5	29%	27%	@ 3.50
Under 1.5	25%	28%	@ 3.40

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	53%	52%	@ 1.81
BTTS No	47%	48%	@ 1.93

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Bologna or Sassuolo is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Sassuolo +2	82%	86%	1.10
Bologna +0.75	79%	79%	1.19
Sassuolo +1.75	78%	81%	1.17
Bologna +0.5	75%	74%	1.28
Sassuolo +1.5	74%	75%	1.26
Bologna +0.25	69%	70%	1.35
Sassuolo +1.25	68%	73%	1.31
Bologna 0	62%	65%	1.47
Sassuolo +1	62%	69%	1.40
Sassuolo +0.75	56%	60%	1.60
Bologna -0.25	56%	54%	1.76
Sassuolo +0.5	50%	53%	1.82
Bologna -0.5	50%	47%	@ 2.06
Sassuolo +0.25	44%	46%	2.10
Bologna -0.75	44%	40%	@ 2.38
Bologna -1	38%	31%	@ 3.04
Sassuolo 0	38%	35%	@ 2.74
Bologna -1.25	32%	27%	@ 3.48
Sassuolo -0.25	31%	30%	@ 3.21
Bologna -1.5	26%	25%	@ 3.87
Sassuolo -0.5	25%	26%	3.69
Bologna -1.75	22%	19%	@ 5.00
Sassuolo -0.75	21%	21%	4.50
Bologna -2	18%	14%	@ 7.00

📈 How the market moved

Bologna 47%Draw 28%Sassuolo 25%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bologna vs Sassuolo?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 75% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.

Who is the favourite for Bologna vs Sassuolo?

Our model makes a Bologna win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.1 scoreline for Bologna vs Sassuolo.

What is the predicted score for Bologna vs Sassuolo?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.59 for Bologna and 1.12 for Sassuolo. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Bologna and Sassuolo play?

Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 16:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.