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⚽ Championship

Bolton vs Bristol City Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Bolton vs Bristol City in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Bolton face Bristol City in the Championship, kicking off Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:00 UTC. Recent form: Bolton have 2 wins from their last 5, while Bristol City have 1 win from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bolton win the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.3-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Bolton vs Bristol City with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.44

67%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.33 – 1.57 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.5%	8.6%	6.8%	3.5%	1.4%
1	7.3%	11.5%	9.0%	4.7%	1.9%
2	4.9%	7.6%	6.0%	3.1%	1.2%
3	2.2%	3.4%	2.7%	1.4%	0.5%
4	0.7%	1.1%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Bolton winDrawBristol City win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Bolton vs Bristol City comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 67% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Bolton win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean over 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points yes (58%).

📊 Key numbers

Bolton 37%Draw 31%Bristol City 33%

37%31%33%

37%

Bolton Win

55%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Bolton

Bolton come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Wolves. Their most recent defeat was 1-5 at home to Middlesbrough.

LBolton 1-5 MiddlesbroughChampionship
DSouthampton 0-0 BoltonChampionship
WWolves 1-3 BoltonChampionship
LBolton 1-2 Stoke CityChampionship
WNorwich 3-4 BoltonChampionship

Bristol City

Bristol City come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Crystal Palace. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Sheffield Utd.

DStoke City 0-0 Bristol CityChampionship
LBristol City 0-1 Sheffield UtdChampionship
LBristol City 0-1 BlackburnChampionship
DCharlton 1-1 Bristol CityChampionship
WCrystal Palace 0-2 Bristol CityFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Bolton at 37% to win and Bristol City at 33%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Bolton win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bolton Win	37%	34%	@ 2.70
Bristol City Win	33%	38%	@ 2.38
Draw	31%	28%	@ 3.30

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bolton or Draw at 1.53 (65% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bolton or Draw	65%	62%	@ 1.53
Bristol City or Draw	61%	66%	@ 1.44

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	78%	78%	@ 1.22
Under 3.5	67%	66%	@ 1.44
Over 2.5	55%	55%	@ 1.73
Under 2.5	45%	45%	@ 2.10
Over 3.5	33%	34%	@ 2.75
Under 1.5	22%	22%	@ 4.33

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	58%	59%	@ 1.57
BTTS No	42%	41%	@ 2.25

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bolton vs Bristol City?

Our model's pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.44, with a 67% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 66%.

Who is the favourite for Bolton vs Bristol City?

Our model makes a Bolton win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.6 scoreline for Bolton vs Bristol City.

What is the predicted score for Bolton vs Bristol City?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.33 for Bolton and 1.57 for Bristol City. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Bolton and Bristol City play?

Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026, 15:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.